Nature Geoscience: Farm and bench -

doi:10.1038/ngeo2163

Climate change could compromise food security over the coming century. Scientists working towards mitigation and adaptation have to win over those who work on the land.

Full text - Information storage | PDF (854 KB) - Information storage

Nature Geoscience: Déjà vu on climate change -

doi:10.1038/ngeo1983

The latest report on global warming brings yet another rise in confidence that human actions are altering the Earth's climate. But in contrast to its 2007 predecessor, it is unlikely to cause a stir.

Full text - Information storage | PDF (84 KB) - Information storage

Nature Climate Change: Rapid growth in CO₂ emissions after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis -

Glen Peters et al.

doi:10.1038/nclimate1332

Full text - Information storage | PDF (252 KB) - Information storage

Nature Geoscience: Committed climate warming -

H. Damon Matthews & Andrew J. Weaver

doi:10.1038/ngeo813

Full text - Information storage | PDF (156 KB) - Information storage

Nature Climate Change: The climate policy narrative for a dangerously warming world -

Todd Sanford et al.

doi:10.1038/nclimate2148

It is time to acknowledge that global average temperatures are likely to rise above the 2 °C policy target and consider how that deeply troubling prospect should affect priorities for communicating and managing the risks of a dangerously warming climate.

Full text - Information storage | PDF (630 KB) - Information storage

Nature Geoscience: China's carbon conundrum -

Ye Qi et al.

doi:10.1038/ngeo1870

China's carbon dioxide emissions are rising fast. Yet, per capita, gross domestic product and energy use are only a fraction of their United States equivalents. With a growing urban middle class, the trend will continue, but there is progress on the path to a low-carbon economy.

Full text - Information storage | PDF (598 KB) - Information storage

Nature Geoscience: Similar spatial patterns of climate responses to aerosol and greenhouse gas changes -

Shang-Ping Xie et al.

doi:10.1038/ngeo1931

Anthropogenic aerosols are highly spatially variable, whereas greenhouse gases are largely well-mixed at the global scale, but both affect climate. Nevertheless, climate simulations suggest that regional changes in sea surface temperature and precipitation to changes in greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings are similar.

First paragraph - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (717 KB) - Information storage

Nature Climate Change: Reduced uncertainty in temperature projections using carbon cycle and climate observations -

Roger W. Bodman et al.

doi:10.1038/nclimate1903

Accurately determining the warming associated with scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions remains an overarching aim of climate modelling. Research now shows that contemporary measurements significantly reduce uncertainty bounds and indicate that some more extreme warming predictions may be less likely.

First paragraph - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (197 KB) - Information storage

Nature: The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions -

Matthews, H. D. et al.

doi:10.1038/nature08047

Climate sensitivity models may inaccurately characterize the full Earth system response, as they ignore changes in the carbon cycle, aerosols, land use and land cover. A combination of a simplified climate model, a range of simulations from a recent model intercomparison and historical constraints now show that, independent of the timing of emissions or the atmospheric concentration of CO₂, emitting a trillion tonnes of carbon will cause global warming of 1.0 to 2.1 degrees Celsius.

First paragraph - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (370 KB) - Information storage

Nature: Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C -

Meinshausen, M. et al.

doi:10.1038/nature08017

The politically defined threshold of dangerous climate change is an increase of 2 degrees Celsius in the mean global temperature. Simulations here show that when carbon dioxide and a full suite of positive and negative radiative forcings are considered, total emissions from 2000 to 2050 of about 1,400 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide yield a 50% probability of exceeding this threshold by the end of the twenty-first century. 'Business as usual' emissions will probably meet or exceed this 50% probability.

First paragraph - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (2,832 KB) - Information storage

Nature: Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne -

Allen, M. R. et al.

doi:10.1038/nature08019

The politically defined threshold of dangerous climate change is an increase of 2 degrees Celsius in the mean global temperature. Simulations here show that when carbon dioxide and a full suite of positive and negative radiative forcings are considered, total emissions from 2000 to 2050 of about 1,400 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide yield a 50% probability of exceeding this threshold by the end of the twenty-first century. 'Business as usual' emissions will probably meet or exceed this 50% probability.

First paragraph - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (838 KB) - Information storage

Nature Climate Change: 2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 °C -

Joeri Rogelj et al.

doi:10.1038/nclimate1758

A substantial amount of atmospheric carbon taken up on land is transported laterally from upland terrestrial ecosystems to the ocean. A synthesis of the available literature suggests that human activities have significantly increased soil carbon inputs to inland waters, but have only slightly affected carbon delivery to the open ocean.

Abstract - Information storage | Full text - Information storage | PDF (434 KB) - Information storage