Abstract
SO2 emissions lead to various harmful effects on environment and human health. The SO2 emission in China has significant contribution to the global SO2 emission, so it is necessary to employ various methods to study SO2 emissions in China with great details in order to lay the foundation for policymaking to improve environmental conditions in China. Network analysis is used to analyze the SO2 emissions from power generation, industrial, residential and transportation sectors in China for 2008 and 2010, which are recently available from 1744 ground surface monitoring stations. The results show that the SO2 emissions from power generation sector were highly individualized as small-sized clusters, the SO2 emissions from industrial sector underwent an integration process with a large cluster contained 1674 places covering all industrial areas in China, the SO2 emissions from residential sector was not impacted by time, and the SO2 emissions from transportation sector underwent significant integration. Hierarchical structure is obtained by further combining SO2 emissions from all four sectors and is potentially useful to find out similar patterns of SO2 emissions, which can provide information on understanding the mechanisms of SO2 pollution and on designing different environmental measure to combat SO2 emissions.
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Introduction
Of various air pollutants, SO2 is extremely important because it can be adsorbed onto the surface of mineral dust and serves as adsorbed sulfite that is oxidized to form sulfate1. Therefore, the oxidation of SO2 to sulfate is significant although atmospheric sulfate can come from volcanic ash, sea spray and sulfur-containing species2. As the precursor for sulfate and sulfuric acid, which play crucial roles in the nucleation of fine particles3, the SO2 concentration is always high during new particle formation events4,5. Specifically, a long-term study from 1985 to 2000 showed that 1% increase in SO2 emission in East Asia resulted in 1.29% increase in surface aerosol sulfate concentration6. In general, the density of particle is about 1.7 g cm−37, which was determined according to the density of sulfate and a major aerosol component in Beijing8. The formation of sulfate from SO2 can be facilitated by ozone9, surface defect sites of mineral dust10,11, photooxidation12,13, and NOx because of their synergistic effect on the surface of mineral dust14. Furthermore, dimethylsulfide can also be converted into sulfate15,16.
Besides its adverse effect on human health, SO2 is harmful to environments17,18 because sulfate aerosols turn out the major source for the growth of fine particles, which subsequently lead to visibility impairment, acid rain, haze formation and photochemical smog. Indeed China and East Asia have been experiencing a continuous dimming in solar radiation since 200019,20,21, acid rains22,23,24 and haze25,26,27. The primary anthropogenic source of SO2 emission is burning of coal and heavy oil whose sulfur content is usually higher than coal, and decomposition of Na2SO428. The national average sulfur contents in coal in China were 1.08% and 1.02% in 2000 and 200529,30,31,32, and 0.22% and 0.05% for diesel and gasoline31. The anthropogenic SO2 emission in China has accounted for one quarter of global emission since 1990s30,33,34. Although the concentration of SO2 was about 60–120 ppb during heavy haze episodes in cities in North China15, the coexistence of NOx from vehicles speeds up the formation of fine particles.
SO2 emissions have been studied in different locations in China with ground surface observations, aircraft measurements and remote sensing in satellite35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42. Several models have been applied to simulating of SO2 chemistry and transport in East Asia43,44, whereas overestimation of SO2 concentrations is typical in modeling of sulfate aerosols on a global scale45. The consensus is that SO2 concentrations vary greatly in both spatial and temporal distributions14. So far, most studies have been concentrated on East, Middle and South China, where industrialized and heavily populated cities are located. For SO2 observations, the ground surface SO2 observations are less subject to the long-range transport, which usually takes place over 2000 meters in free troposphere46.
As a matter of fact, not many studies were oriented to the SO2 emissions beyond 2008 in China30,47. Surely 2008 is a turning point in this regard, and the coal consumption increased to 2740 Mt from 1271 Mt in 2000 at 10.1% annually before 2008, to which power generation contributed around 65%47. In 2008, the estimated total anthropogenic SO2 emissions were about 31.3 Tg in China43. On the other hand, Beijing Olympic Games in 2008 had a huge impact on the reduction of SO2 emission48,49.
Basically, Chinese government statistical reports and yearbooks carry SO2 emissions from both fuel combustion and non-combustion sources47. Recently, the very detailed SO2 concentrations on ground surface observations became available as MIX, the mosaic Asian anthropogenic emission inventory for 2008 and 201050. The MIX documents the emissions from 40.125 E to 179.875 E and from 20.125 S to 89.875 N in 0.25 × 0.25 (∼25 km × 25 km) grid, including 2168 monitoring stations in China that collect monthly emission data from residential, industrial, power generation, transportation and agricultural sources50.
These two periods in MIX are important because (i) the Chinese government required all coal-fired power plants to install flue gas desulfurization (FGD) devices in 200551, therefore the analysis on these two periods should reflect the situation after implementation of this regulation, for example, FGD reached an operation rate of 97% in July 2007 in Jiangsu province32; (ii) the proportion of FGD systems reached 81.7% in 200852 despite of that the FGD penetration was planned to reach 71% in 2008 and 73% in 201053; and (iii) it was estimated that a half of 3.1 billion-tons of coal consumed in 2010 was attributed to power generation in China54.
To date, a number of models have been applied to studying SO2 emissions, whereas network analysis has not yet been used as far as our knowledge is concerned. Nevertheless, this approach looks promising not only because each model has its own advantage and disadvantage and network can simultaneously analyze spatial and temporal relationship, but also because the SO2 concentration reflects the emission level in its surrounding area47. Additionally, the characteristic of network analysis decides its suitability to study SO2 emissions because network analysis studies various interrelationships in terms of graphic nodes and edges. For instances, nodes can be cities and edges can be roads between cities in transport network, nodes can be proteins and edges can be interactions between proteins in protein interaction network, nodes can be people and edges can be their friendships in social network, etc. In the context of SO2 emission, we define a node as an observation station, and an edge between two nodes as the correlation between two SO2 emission profiles. The use of correlation to define an edge between nodes can easily be found in other research fields such as gene co-expression network55. Important characters of SO2 include: (i) SO2 has a shorter lifetime than sulfate, (ii) the SO2 aloft in the free troposphere has a longer lifetime than the SO2 on ground surface42, and (iii) the SO2 emission from transportation sector is a mobile source emission56. These characters lay the foundation for network analysis of SO2 emissions. As the correlation in network analysis needs to capture a meaningful sense in two SO2 emission profiles, so a short lifetime pollutant will give more sensible correlation than stagnant pollutants. Hence, this study applies network analysis to exploring SO2 emission in China in 2008 and 2010. Based on the results of network analysis, we end up with building the hierarchical structure of SO2 emissions from power generation, industrial, residential and transportation sectors in order to get an integrated view.
Results and Discussion
SO2 emission from power generation sector
Figure 1 shows the network of SO2 emission from power generation sector in 2008 (upper panel) and 2010 (lower panel). In this type of figures, a symbol represents a monitoring station with its code, and 31 colors donate to 22 provinces, 4 municipalities and 5 autonomous regions in China. A line between two symbols interprets the SO2 emission profiles in the two monitoring stations having a good correlation. A cluster aggregates the symbols that more densely connect each other within the given cluster but sparsely connect with the symbols in other clusters. At first glance, network analysis discovers many isolated nodes, which occupy middle and lower parts of both panels in Fig. 1, namely, 782 and 816 SO2 emission profiles do not have any good correlations with any place in 2008 and 2010, respectively.
These isolated places include not only very geographically isolated and remote places such as Mohe (Heilongjiang, 50136), but also provincial capitals such as Guangzhou (59287), Haikou (59758), Hohhot (53463), Nanjing (58238), Nanning (59431), Urumqi (51469) and Xining (52866). In addition, several famous polluted places are included such as Baotou (Inner Mongolia, 53446), Datong (Shanxi, 53487) and Handan (Hebei, 53892), which are famous for their steel and coal industries. Also, several tourism destinations appear as isolated places such as Dali (Yunnan, 56751), Jiuzhaigou (Sichuan, 56097), Lijiang (Yunnan, 56651), Qinhuangdao (Hebei, 54449), Shangri-La (Yunnan, 56543), etc.
Because SO2 emission profiles in isolated places have no resemblance with any SO2 emission profiles, so the higher number of isolated places in 2010 would suggest the effects of implementation of FGD because it could theoretically eliminate common patterns in SO2 emission profiles and led to the local characteristic to dominate SO2 emission profiles32,51,52,53,54.
Figure 2 demonstrates the network of SO2 emissions from power generation sector without those isolated places in 2008 (upper panel) and 2010 (lower panel). Technically, Fig. 2 is a subset of Fig. 1 for the purpose of better visualization. An important feature in Fig. 2 is that the same colored symbols did not gather in a single cluster but spread in two or more clusters. For example, lime green symbols at right-upper corner in upper panel represent the places in Fujian province, however, a small cluster with lime green symbols can be found at middle of upper panel. As a result, the SO2 emissions from power generation sector in Fujian can be primarily divided into two clusters, indicating that each cluster has its own characteristic and requires different measures to control the emission even within the same province.
In social network analysis, the node with most edges is the central point, from where information propagates. If we apply this concept to Fig. 2, we found that the most connected nodes came from Sichuan province (the first left-middle cluster with green yellow symbols in upper panel and the third left-upper cluster with green yellow symbols in lower panel) and Guangdong province (the fourth right-upper cluster with blue symbols in upper panel and the second left-upper cluster with blue symbols in lower panel). Although these nodes do not represent major power generation places, their geographical locations could be the determinant factor for their similar SO2 emission profiles.
SO2 emissions from industrial sector
Figure 3 illustrates the network of SO2 emissions from industrial sector in 2008 (upper panel) and 2010 (lower panel). As can be seen, there are less isolated places in Fig. 3 than in Fig. 1, so the SO2 emissions from industrial sector have more common features than that from power generation sector. This implies that it is somewhat easier to implement a common measure to reduce the SO2 emissions from industrial sector than that from power generation sector.
For 2008, network analysis discovers 23 clusters, among them 33 isolated places are classified as a single cluster and presented at the bottom of upper panel. The 8 clusters, which do not have any connection with outside clusters, are placed at right-hand periphery of upper panel. Then clusters A to N construct a large cluster, because it does not have any connection with any node in peripheral clusters. In this large cluster, the number of connections between the clusters from A to N varies greatly. For example, cluster M connects with cluster G through a single node (54284, Donggang) and with cluster B through a single node (54063, Fuyu), but there are many connections among clusters A, B, H and K. A cluster does not necessarily contain the places from the same province because network analyzes the correlation of two SO2 emission profiles for any two places.
Once again, we look at the node with most edges. Strikingly, the places, whose SO2 emission profiles correlate best with other places in both panels, are the places in the northern part of Anhui province although not many huge industrial enterprises are located there. Because the northern part of Anhui province is the terminal of Great North China Plain, therefore SO2 could be accumulated in this region due to strong winds from North China. This explanation is reasonable because the long-range transport of SO2 takes place over 2000 meters in free troposphere46.
For 2010, network analysis discovers 18 clusters, among them 31 isolated places are considered as a single cluster at the bottom of lower panel, and 6 clusters are presented at right-hand periphery of lower panel. Eventually, 11 clusters construct a large cluster, which does not have any connection with outside nodes, and this large cluster contains 1674 places across China, which is realistic because this large cluster includes almost all industrial areas across China. Naturally, each cluster does not exclusively include the places from a single province. For example, cluster J includes not only the places in Jilin province (black colored symbols) but also the places from Heilongjiang province (teal blue symbols), so these places have similar emission pattern, which is plausible because both provinces are located together.
Let us have a close look at two clusters. Cluster A is characterized as follows: (i) containing 100% monitoring stations in Fujian, 98.51% in Jiangxi, 88.41% in Hunan and 73.44% in Guangdong, which are four provinces geographically connected together; (ii) containing 88.89% monitoring stations in Henan and 64.94% in Shanxi, which are two provinces geographically connected together; (iii) containing 22.22% monitoring stations in Ningxia and 20.59% in Gansu, which are geographically connected together; and (iv) containing 25% monitoring stations in Shanghai, 15.79% in Anhui, 11.67% in Hubei, 5.1% in Hebei, 3.16% in Inner Mongolia, 2.6% in Shandong and 1.79% in Jiangsu, which are geographically corridors between most accounted provinces, for example, Anhui is located between Henan and Jiangsu, and between Henan and Zhejiang. Cluster B contains (i) 88.89% monitoring stations in Guizhou and 85.19% in Chongqing, and both are geographically connected together with 2.04% monitoring stations in Yunnan and 1.72% in Sichuan; (ii) 82.46% monitoring stations in Anhui and 77.78% in Zhejiang, and both are geographically connected together with 14.29% monitoring stations in Jiangsu, 1.49% in Jiangxi and 1.02% in Hubei; (iii) 66.67% monitoring stations in Hainan and 25% in Guangdong, and both are geographically connected together; and (iv) 20.9% monitoring stations in Shaanxi, 11.11% in Ningxia, 10.14% in Hunan, 2.94% in Gansu and 2.6% in Shanxi, and these five provinces form geographically a belt. These clusters perfectly classify similar pattern of SO2 emissions from different places, suggesting that environmental measures could be adopted in consideration of what these clusters are composed of.
SO2 emissions from residential sector
Figure 4 describes the network of SO2 emissions from residential sector in 2008 (upper panel) and 2010 (lower panel). At first glance, time did not have great impact on the SO2 emissions from residential sector, because network analysis did not find great difference between 2008 and 2010, namely, people’s living style did not change too much in terms of SO2 emissions between 2008 and 2010.
Some isolated places were very particular in their geographic locations: Beijicun (North Pole Village, 50137) appeared in 2008, Jinping (56987) just opposite to Vietnam appeared in both 2008 and 2010, and Gongshan (56533) near Myanmar and Tibet appeared in 2010.
In 2008 the isolated cluster D includes 100% monitoring stations in Hainan, 96.88% in Guangdong, 91.67% in Guangxi, 4.48% in Jiangxi, 4.17% in Fujian, 2.08% in Jilin, 2.04% in Yunnan and 1.59% in Guizhou. In 2010 it includes 100% in Hainan, 98.44% in Guangdong, 93.33% in Guangxi, 4.48% in Jiangxi, 4.17% in Fujian, 2.08% in Jilin, 2.04% in Yunnan and 1.59% in Guizhou. Another isolated cluster H includes 91.67% monitoring stations in Fujian, 3.7% in Zhejiang, 1.67% in Guangxi in 2008; in 2010 it includes 91.67% monitoring stations in Fujian and 3.7% in Zhejiang. These findings once more confirmed that the SO2 emissions from residential sector did not change significantly from 2008 to 2010. Particular attention should be given to cluster B, which in 2008 includes 100% monitoring stations in Beijing, 100% in Shandong, 100% in Tianjin, 95.92% in Hebei, 91.04% in Shaanxi, 90.12% in Henan, 82.14% in Jiangsu, 12.99% in Shanxi, 10.53% in Anhui, 4.55% in Tibet, 2.94% in Gansu, 2.38% in Liaoning, 2.04% in Yunnan, 1.67% in Hubei and 1.06% in Inner Mongolia. In 2010 it includes 100% monitoring stations in Beijing, 100% in Shandong, 100% in Tianjin, 95.92% in Hebei, 92.54% in Shaanxi, 90.12% in Henan, 80.36% in Jiangsu, 12.99% in Shanxi, 10.53% in Anhui, 4.76% in Liaoning, 4.55% in Tibet, 4.41% in Gansu and 1.05% in Inner Mongolia. Truly, cluster B is the rampant haze region, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, however network analysis suggests that this region should also include Shandong, Henan and Jiangsu because they have the same emission patterns.
SO2 emissions from transportation sector
Figure 5 pictures the network of SO2 emissions from transportation sector in 2008 (upper panel) and 2010 (lower panel). From these two panels, we can see the integration process of transportation sector because there were 11 clusters in 2008 but 8 clusters in 2010, i.e. clusters I, J and K were integrated into other clusters due to the development of highway systems in China. For instance, several places were integrated to cluster A in 2010 from cluster K in 2008 such as Shiquanhe (55228) and Linzhi (56312) in Tibet.
In 2010, clusters A, B, C, D and F interweave together with many connections between clusters, implying a high level transportation between them. Indeed, these five clusters include 100% monitoring stations in Anhui, 100% in Beijing, 100% in Chongqing, 93.75% in Fujian, 94.12% in Gansu, 1.67% in Guangxi, 93.65% in Guizhou, 100% in Hebei, 87.34% in Heilongjiang, 100% in Henan, 98.33% in Hubei, 92.75% in Hunan, 91.58% in Inner, 100% in Jiangsu, 91.04% in Jiangxi, 91.67% in Jilin, 100% in Liaoning, 100% in Ningxia, 76.47% in Qinghai, 100% in Shaanxi, 100% in Shandong, 100% in Shanghai, 100% in Shanxi, 99.14% in Sichuan, 100% in Tianjin, 50% in Tibet, 69.7% in Xinjiang, 88.78% in Yunnan and 98.15% in Zhejiang. Thus, only 2 provinces are excluded (Guangdong and Hainan). Such a compact network does represent the biggest transportation network in China, which should require a common measure to reduce SO2 emission.
SO2 emissions characterized from four sectors
In order to get a balanced overview, Figure 6 puts all the SO2 emissions in terms of their cluster membership from all four sectors together with the use of heatmap and hierarchical cluster analysis in 2010. This hierarchical cluster analysis furthermore defines the patterns of SO2 emissions because network analysis can stratify SO2 emissions according to their similarity, but cannot define the hierarchical structure among clusters. On the right-hand side with respect to dendrogram structure on the left-hand side, we can see that the SO2 emissions from residential and transportation sectors are more similar, and then they merge with the SO2 emissions from industrial sector, and finally merge with the SO2 emissions from power generation sector. Clearly, the SO2 emission from power generation sector is different from others. Because 1744 monitoring stations are included in analysis, the labels are superimposed at the bottom of figure, but their hierarchical relationship is visible on the top of Fig. 6 (the hierarchical relationships of 1744 monitoring stations can be found in Table A7 in Supplementary information files). For example, an initial hierarchical relationship begins from merging of Dangshan (Anhui, 58015) and Funan (Anhui, 58202), and then Mianchi (Henan, 57063). For another example, Runan (Henan, 57197) merges with Xiaoxian (Anhui, 58016), and then merges with Bozhou (Anhui, 58102), which come from the merging of Guangshan (Henan, 57299) and Bozhou (Anhui, 58102) (Table A7 in Supplementary information files). Basically, this hierarchical structure is potentially useful to find out similar patterns of SO2 emissions, which can provide information on understanding the mechanisms of SO2 pollution and on designing different environmental measures to combat SO2 emissions.
In this study, we add the hierarchical structure analysis to study SO2 emission, which reveals interrelationship between sectors and emissions. To some extend, SO2 emission networks are somewhat similar to PM2.5 emission networks, which are reasonable because PM2.5 formation is closely connected to SO2 emission. Therefore both studies can give us more general patterns on hazardous emissions in China.
Conclusions
To our best knowledge, this is the first study to analyze SO2 emissions in China using network analysis, and the results demonstrate the heterogeneity of SO2 emissions from different sectors and their dynamic changes. The obtained clusters and connectivity provide clear views of SO2 emission patterns from various places across China. Together with the hierarchical structure, we can trace similar emission patterns in detail, which shed new insights into the understanding of mechanisms of SO2 pollution. In particular, such analyses can help to make policy decision for different regions according to their pattern of SO2 emissions.
Materials and Methods
Data
The monthly SO2 emission data are available in the mosaic Asian anthropogenic emission inventory for 2008 and 2010 (MIX), which covers the emissions from 40.125 E to 179.875 E and from 20.125 S to 89.875 N in 0.25 × 0.25 (∼25 km × 25 km) grid50 including 2168 monitoring stations in China.
The grid in MIX is smaller than that used previously52, consequently several monitoring stations may be happened in the same grid. For the sake of single measurement per grid, only one monitoring station was selected for network analysis. Also, incomplete datasets were excluded from our analysis.
Analysis
As abovementioned, an edge between two nodes dedicates a relationship. Thus, we define a Pearson’s correlation as a measure to determine whether two SO2 emission profiles obtained from two monitoring stations are relevant. In particular, we consider it significant when a Pearson’s correlation is larger than 0.95, whose root is approximate to 0.92 as a criterion to evaluate a method57. iGraph R package (http://igraph.org/) and Pajek58 were used in network analysis. Hierarchical structure was built using hierarchical cluster analysis in R package.
Additional Information
How to cite this article: Yan, S. and Wu, G. SO2 Emissions in China – Their Network and Hierarchical Structures. Sci. Rep. 7, 46216; doi: 10.1038/srep46216 (2017).
Publisher's note: Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
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Acknowledgements
This study was partly supported by research grants from National Natural Science Foundation of China (31460296 and 31560315), and Special Funds for Building of Guangxi Talent Highland.
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G.W. designed this study. Both S.Y. and G.W. analyzed the data, prepared the figures, wrote and revised the manuscript
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Yan, S., Wu, G. SO2 Emissions in China – Their Network and Hierarchical Structures. Sci Rep 7, 46216 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/srep46216
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep46216
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