Abstract
There have been substantial advances in the ability to monitor the activity of hazardous volcanoes in recent decades. However, obtaining early warning of eruptions remains challenging, because the patterns and consequences of volcanic unrests are both complex and nonlinear. Measuring volcanic gases has long been a key aspect of volcano monitoring since these mobile fluids should reach the surface long before the magma. There has been considerable progress in methods for remote and in-situ gas sensing, but measuring the flux of volcanic CO2—the most reliable gas precursor to an eruption—has remained a challenge. Here we report on the first direct quantitative measurements of the volcanic CO2 flux using a newly designed differential absorption lidar (DIAL), which were performed at the restless Campi Flegrei volcano. We show that DIAL makes it possible to remotely obtain volcanic CO2 flux time series with a high temporal resolution (tens of minutes) and accuracy (<30%). The ability of this lidar to remotely sense volcanic CO2 represents a major step forward in volcano monitoring and will contribute improved volcanic CO2 flux inventories. Our results also demonstrate the unusually strong degassing behavior of Campi Flegrei fumaroles in the current ongoing state of unrest.
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Introduction
Several hundred million people on Earth currently live in the proximity of active or quiescent volcanoes and therefore could potentially be exposed to the effects of their eruptions. Mitigation of these effects requires careful assessment of volcano behavior and activity state, which can be accomplished via instrument-based volcano monitoring1. Recent technological and modeling advances mean that volcanologists can now capture in real time the often-subtle seismic and ground deformation signals that usually precede a volcanic eruption. The advent of broadband seismometers and improved models of and tools for processing seismic signals2,3,4 and the continuous implementation of satellite-based (GPS5 and InSaR6) geodetic observations have made it possible to record various seismic and deformation signals related to stress changes and magma accumulation/flow that precede an eruption7,8,9,10.
The magmatic volatiles11 that are continuously released by volcanoes via plumes, fumaroles and degassing grounds represent the surface manifestation of magma degassing12,13 at depth and are therefore a source of potentially invaluable information for predicting the likelihood of a volcano erupting. Spectroscopic techniques working in the ultraviolet (UV) region of the electromagnetic spectrum have recently contributed remotely sensed volcanic SO2 flux time series with improved temporal resolution and accuracy14,15,16,17 and these data are now facilitating volcanic hazard assessments at several volcano observatories worldwide. However, efforts to remotely detect the flux of volcanic carbon dioxide (CO2) have been frustrated by difficulties in distinguishing the volcanic CO2 signals from the much-larger background-air signals. Quantification of the volcanic CO2 flux has therefore required either time-consuming and expensive airborne CO2 plume profiling18,19,20, or hazardous in-situ measurement of the volcanic gas CO2/SO2 ratio via direct sampling21,22, infrared-red spectrometers23,24, or gas analyzers25,26. Soil-gas surveys of hydrothermal volcanoes in a quiescent condition have also quantified diffuse CO2 emissions27, but much less information has been obtained on fumarolic CO2 emissions. Because of these difficulties, the volcanic CO2 flux inventory remains sparse and incomplete for most of the active volcanoes on Earth27. However, the very few examples of long-term volcanic CO2 flux time series have demonstrated prominent peaks in volcanic CO2 emission that occur at days to months prior to eruptions9,26. These have been explained by the low solubility of this gas in silicate melts and its consequent early gas-phase exsolution from ascending (decompressing) magmas. Given the prospects offered by data on the volcanic CO2 flux for forecasting eruptions, the ability to remote measure this flux with a high temporal resolution would represent a major advance in modern volcanology.
Here we report on the results of an experiment in which a novel, ad-hoc-designed prototype of a differential absorption lidar (DIAL)28 was used to remotely measure the volcanic CO2 flux from an active volcano for the first time. Volcano applications of lidars have been limited in the past to measuring the fluxes of volcanic particles29, SO230 and H2O31. To the best of our knowledge there has been no previous attempt to measure the volcanic CO2 flux using DIAL, although the idea of using DIALs to profile the tropospheric CO2 concentration was proposed more than a decade ago32. The field experiments we report on here were conducted at Campi Flegrei volcano; this is a resurgent caldera enclosing the city of Pozzuoli and the periphery of Naples, which are two of the most densely populated areas of Italy (Fig. 1). The volcano has been frequently—although discontinuously—active over the past millennia (most recently in 1538 AD33,34) and is world-renowned for two recent major bradyseismic crises (in 1968–1972 and 1982–1985) that led to a net permanent ground uplift of ~3.3 m and thousands of shallow earthquakes (mostly <4 km deep) felt by the resident population. Although neither crisis evolved into an eruption, each of them illustrated to scientists and stakeholders the potentially severe risk-mitigation issues and the associated required actions35. These problems have become even more urgent given that ground uplift resumed in 201236,37 accompanied by a visible intensification of degassing activity at the main surface hydrothermal manifestations of Solfatara and Pisciarelli, in the caldera center (Fig. 1). The ongoing uplift/degassing unrest at Campi Flegrei has recently been attributed37,38 to the periodic injection of CO2-rich gas into the volcano’s hydrothermal system, suggesting that new magma is sustaining an intense influx of deep gas. Quantifying the CO2 output from the volcanic system is therefore vital to interpreting—and possibly predicting—the future evolution of the volcanic system.
Results
Field operations
The DIAL (see Methods; Fig. S1) was mounted on a small laboratory truck and positioned at a fixed location ~100 m from the main degassing fumaroles of Pisciarelli (Fig. 1a). In addition to a subtle increase in discharge temperature (from <95 °C up to 110 °C), the degassing activity at this hydrothermal site has visibly escalated over the past decade38, making it the most active fumarolic vent area in Italy39 (and possibly in the entire Mediterranean volcanic district). Recurrent episodes of new fumarolic vent opening, associated with the emission of gas and hot mud at high pressures, have also been observed38. The fumaroles have also progressively become richer in CO2 (CO2/H2O ratios of >0.3 on a molar basis37,38), probably indicating an increasingly magmatic nature of the emitted fluids40, but also rendering the site ideal for our tests.
The lidar operated for several consecutive hours during both October 15 and 16, 2014, after the instrument had been set up and prepared for making measurements on October 14. During measurement operations, two large motorized elliptical mirrors were used to horizontally scan the laser beam of the lidar across the vertically rising plume at heading angles from 196° to 230° (Figs 2 and 3). Most of the scans reported herein (Table 1) were performed at an elevation of 12°, at which the plume structure was fully resolved and the lidar signals were strongest. Tests showed that the plume was often either optically too dense or too dispersed at lower and higher elevations and so only a few additional scans at 0°, 6° and 15° were successfully completed (Table 1). During each scan, the repetition rate of the laser was set at 10 Hz, but 200 lidar returns (100 at λON and 100 at λOFF) were added into a single profile and averaged to increase the signal-to-noise ratio; this meant that the signal sampling frequency was reduced to 0.05 Hz (corresponding to a temporal resolution of 20 s). The spatial resolution was 1.5 m and a total-plume scan combining 20–30 profiles was retrieved in less than 10 minutes.
In-plume CO2 mixing ratios
The DIAL detected a strong laser absorption signal in the plume (Fig. 2A). Scaling the co-acquired λON to the λOFF signals (composed of 100 additions each) and using the lidar equation (see Methods), the CO2 mixing ratios were calculated for each profile (Fig. 2B) and for all profiles of each scan (Fig. 3). Figure 3 illustrates the results of a typical scan through the plume. When the laser beam intercepted the plume, peak CO2 mixing ratios of up to 5000 ppmv were measured (Fig. 3a). The plume was typically crossed at heading angles of 205–225° and at ranges (distances) of 40 to 60 m from the lidar. At lower (<205°) and higher (>225°) heading angles and at ranges of <40 and >60 m, the lidar systematically returned CO2 mixing ratios corresponding to those for ambient air, confirming that the entire plume had been crossed by the laser. The polar diagrams, examples of which are given in Fig. 3b,c, show that the peak CO2 mixing ratios were observed at heading angles of 210–212° in all of the scans, which directly corresponds to the most vigorously degassing fumarolic vent of Pisciarelli (see Fig. 3c and ref. 39). The same fumarolic vent was even more evident—manifesting as a clear CO2 maximum—in scans performed at an elevation angle of 6° (Fig. 3d). The plume appeared to be much narrower at this lower elevation angle, being crossed at heading angles of 210–220°, in agreement with visual observations (Fig. 1). The plume thickness ranged from 5 m close to the main emission vent up to >20 m at the plume margins (Figs 2 and 3).
Plume transport speed
Quantifying the volcanic CO2 flux from our lidar dataset requires knowledge of the speed at which the volcanic gas plume was moving. The vertical plume transport speed was obtained by applying cross-correlation analysis41,42 to sequences of co-acquired visible images of the moving plume (Fig. S2) that were acquired at a high rate (30 Hz) using a digital optical camera. This procedure (see Methods and Fig. S2) yielded vertical plume transport speeds ranging from 1.4 ± 0.4 (mean ± SD) to 3.0 ± 0.6 m/s (Table 1) at plume heights intercepted by the lidar scans at an elevation of 12° (Fig. S2). Plume speeds of ~10 and 3.0 m/s were calculated for the basal and upper parts of the fumarolic plume, respectively, which were intercepted by some additional lidar scans performed at elevations of 0° and 15° (Table 1). These somewhat higher plume speeds are consistent with vigorous gas jet activity inside the vent (where gas speeds of several tens to hundreds of meters per second have been measured locally in individual spots with centimeter-squared sizes) and at the plume margins (where the convectively rising plume is finally rapidly dispersed by the local wind fields).
CO2 fluxes
The CO2 flux from the fumarolic system was obtained by integrating the background-corrected CO2 mixing ratios over the entire plume cross-sectional area covered by each scan and multiplying this integrated amount in the column by the plume transport speed (see Methods). This procedure made it possible to produce CO2 flux time series with a high temporal resolution (10–20 minutes), which revealed large intraday variations (Table 1, Fig. 4) that would have been difficult to detect using conventional techniques. The time series in Fig. 4 reveal that the CO2 flux at the Pisciarelli hydrothermal site can exhibit dramatic variations over timescales of tens of minutes, such as from a peak emission of 4.4 kg/s (at 18:23 hours local time on October 15) down to 1.9 kg/s less than 1 hour later. Apart from these rapid fluctuations, our results support an overall stability of time-averaged volcanic CO2 emissivity, at least over timescales of days. The time-averaged CO2 outputs for the two measuring days (October 15 and 16, 2014) are highly consistent, at 2.63 ± 0.98 and 2.52 ± 0.84 kg/s (Table 1) and correspond to total daily outputs of 256 ± 89 and 218 ± 71 tons of CO2, respectively.
Discussion
Previous attempts to directly measure the volcanic CO2 flux using remote sensing techniques have been frustrated by the much larger amount of atmospheric CO2 present along the optical path between the source of radiation (either the sun, the magma, or molten lava fragments), the target (the volcanic plume) and the measuring spectrometer. The DIAL technique, which is based on measuring the intensity of the irradiation from a laser beam backscattered by atmospheric scatterers (particles, aerosols and water droplets)43, does not require the use of external light sources and therefore offers range-resolved (Figs 2 and 3) high-precision CO2 sensing over long atmospheric optical paths44,45,46. Despite this advantage, DIALs have not been given much consideration for volcanic CO2 detection until recently, partly because of the relatively large cost, weight and size of the instrumentation.
We have here described a 2-μm DIAL whose high spatial resolution makes it possible to characterize the geometry, 2D structure and CO2 column density of a volcanic gas plume (Fig. 3). Figure 3 shows two 2D scans of the plume obtained at different elevations (6° and 12°). The large contrast between the lidar signals returned from the plume and the ambient air (Figs 2 and 3) makes it possible to distinguish the volcanic CO2 contribution from the background CO2 signal and therefore allows a robust quantification of the volcanic CO2 flux—after integrating the volcanic CO2 concentrations over the entire cross section of the plume and multiplying this by the plume transport speed.
The lidar-based CO2 fluxes we have measured at Pisciarelli (Table 1) are in good overall agreement with previous CO2 flux estimations (Fig. 5) based on in-situ measurements of CO2 concentrations in the plume made using a portable gas analyzer39. However, the lidar offers substantial advantages over these more traditional techniques. The remote-sensing nature of using the lidar makes it intrinsically safer for operators when access to direct sampling of gas manifestations becomes hazardous, or even impossible, due to intensification of degassing activity close to the time of an eruption. As such, our novel lidar instrument could also assist systematic volcano CO2 flux observations even during volcanic eruptions; such measurements are virtually missing from the geological literature and they would be very useful. Our lidar also provides a substantial improvement in measurement frequency, with the temporal resolution of our CO2 flux observations (10–20 minutes) being much higher than that of both conventional39 and recently developed47 techniques, whose temporal resolutions are typically on the order of several hours or even days. We therefore conclude that the advent of DIALs could lead to major advances in the understanding of volcanic degassing processes and of their implications for eruption forecasting.
Our measurements also provide new information for bettering understanding the causes and potential consequences of the ongoing degassing and deformation unrest at Campi Flegrei (Fig. 5). The lidar-based CO2 flux dataset provides additional, independent evidence for the unusually intense CO2 degassing behavior at Campi Flegrei in general and the Pisciarelli hydrothermal area in particular. Figure 5 shows that Pisciarelli fumaroles currently sustain a persistent daily CO2 output of 100–350 tons, which is disproportionately high for a geothermal area of only ~1000 m2, but is more similar to the typical intereruptive CO2 emissions from a recurrently active arc volcano, such as Merapi in Indonesia (240 tons/day)48. For comparison, the CO2 flux in the Pisciarelli area was evaluated at only ~18 tons/day in March 2009 (Osservatorio Vesuviano, internal reports), prior to the recent period of intensification of ground uplift (Fig. 5c). The origin of the CO2 emitted by Campi Flegrei remains debated due to its rather equivocal carbon-isotope signature, which is intermediate between magmatic and crustal isotopic domains40. However, there is convincing evidence from the chemistry of fumarolic gases37,38 that the visible escalation in degassing activity and possibly the ground uplift itself, are caused by periodic injections of magmatic gas into the Campi Flegrei hydrothermal system37, with a recurrence time that has been reducing since 2005. A progressive heating of the hydrothermal system, possibly initiated by the increasing H2O content of the magmatic gas supply, has also been proposed recently38. If this hypothesis is correct, it has a corollary that the ongoing unrest, including acceleration of the CO2 degassing regime, has a magmatic trigger39,49. A cause–effect link between deformation and magmatic degassing has been proposed37,38 based on the temporal coincidence between the acceleration of ground uplift and peaks in magmatic gas proxies (e.g., CO2/CH4 ratios50) in fumaroles. Our new results presented in Fig. 5 extend previous conclusions by documenting that an extensive parameter, such as the fumarolic CO2 flux, also co-varies with deformation and seismicity. Although the gas flux time series is far more discontinuous than the regularly monitored geophysical signals, the available data still support the presence of correlations between peaks in the CO2 flux (>200 tons/day) and episodes of ground uplift (with deformation rates >+0.25 mm/day) (Fig. 5b) and seismicity (Fig. 5a). The lowest CO2 flux (<100 tons/day) in our dataset was typically observed during a seismically silent period (in early 2014), when there was also a pause in the deformation. The overall long-term escalation of both degassing and deformation (Fig. 5c) raises concern about the future evolution of the Campi Flegrei unrest and indicates that monitoring efforts need to be intensified.
The DIAL, with its ability to remotely sense volcanic CO2, is a new tool in the armoury of volcanologists. However, a considerable amount of further development is needed before this technology can become an operational tool for use in routine volcanic gas observations. The prototype presented here (Fig. S1) has limited portability (weighing 1100 kg and having dimensions of 3.4 × 2.1 × 2.0 m3), relatively high power requirements (6.5 kW) and requires further modifications before fully unattended and continuous observations will be possible. Future developments include miniaturization and automation, which will require a new generation of more-compact narrowband pulsed laser sources. A more-compact lidar that has a lower power requirement and is based on an optical parametric oscillator source is currently being testing in our laboratories. In order to make lidars of wider utility for volcano applications, the next stages of development will also require adaptation to longer measurement distances than those described here (~100 m). Our preliminary tests show that the atmospheric CO2 profile over paths up to 2 km long can be measured with the present system, but it remains unclear whether it will be possible to distinguish a volcanic signal from the atmospheric CO2 over such long measurement distances. An additional limitation is that our lidar is not measuring a flux itself, but rather the CO2 distribution in a cross section of the plume (Figs 2 and 3). This implies that an independent method for determining the plume speed is still needed before the CO2 flux can be calculated (videography was used in the present study). Techniques to measure plume speed can be implemented in lidars, including a correlation technique31 or by using Doppler lidars51. Although the possibility was not been fully explored in the present study, lidars can also be used to characterize the 3D structure of a volcanic plume, by combining several 2D scans performed at different elevations. These examples illustrate the considerable prospects for lidar systems in assisting volcanic CO2 flux observations in the future.
Methods
The DIAL technique
The DIAL43 is based on transmitting laser pulses at two distinct wavelengths: one corresponding to the absorption line of the element of interest, λon and another at a nearby wavelength, λoff. Assuming equal scattering by molecules and particles at the two wavelengths, the difference in the backscattered radiation at λon and λoff is only due to absorption by molecules of the target gas. CO2 detection by DIAL has been suggested in the 2.0 and 1.6 μm bands32 and Tm:Ho:YLF lasers45 and fiber lasers46 have recently been employed for DIAL-based sensing of atmospheric CO2. Dye-laser-based systems52 are tunable over a wide range, from UV to near-infrared, which offers the advantage of targeting several distinct CO2 absorption lines. The application of lidars to atmospheric CO2 detection has also been described recently53.
The “BRIDGE” DIAL
We used a dye-laser-based DIAL28 developed as part of the “BRIDGE” project funded by the European Research Council. This laser system was selected due to the circular profile, small size and low divergence of its laser beam. The transmitter (Fig. S1 and Table S1) is composed of (i) an injection-seeded Nd:YAG laser, (ii) a double-grating dye laser, (iii) a difference-frequency mixing (DFM) device and (iv) an optical parametric amplifier (OPA). The circular cross section of the amplifier cells inside the dye laser means that the beam intensity profile in the far field is close to a Gaussian distribution. The dye laser resonator has a longitudinal mode spacing of 0.018 cm−1 and a line width of 0.025 cm−1 at 696 nm, which is used to generate laser radiation at 2012 nm. This latter line was selected given its high CO2 absorption coefficient but minimal cross-sensitivity to H2O54. The line width is larger than the spacing and so two longitudinal modes can be emitted. However, since the energy can be distributed in unknown and unequal parts between the two modes, a dynamic mode option was implemented: a piezoelectric element is used to change the resonator length of the dye laser at each shot, thereby modifying the longitudinal mode structure of successive pulses and allowing for the spectral shape to be statistically distributed (in our case 50% of the energy is emitted in each mode). The laser system can be switched from λON to λOFF at a repetition rate of 10 Hz by using piezoelectric-element-based wavelength control (Fig. S1). This was made possible by mounting the rotatable Littrow grating of the dye laser (which is usually controlled by a relatively slow stepper motor) on a tilting piezoelectric element. However, since the nonlinear crystals of the DFM device and the OPA cannot move at a 10-Hz repetition rate, two additional nonlinear crystals were mounted (at a slightly different angle): one after the standard mixing crystal and the second after the standard amplifier crystal. The receiver of the lidar is based on a Newtonian telescope. A thermoelectrically cooled InGaAs PIN photodiode, directly connected to the analog-to-digital converter (ADC), was used as a detector. Two large elliptical mirrors (major axis: 450 mm) allow the lidar to scan the entire hemisphere above the horizon. The wavelength accuracy, repeatability and stability of the complete system were tested with a cell filled with CO255.
Retrieval of CO2 concentrations
Each path of the laser beam can be divided into two portions: inside and outside the plume. The latter portion includes two segments, before (length: L1) and after (length: L2) passing through the plume (see Fig. 2a). Assuming that the CO2 concentration inside the plume (P in Fig. 2a) is proportional to the lidar signal (which is, in turn, proportional to the aerosol load and is dominated by water droplets in our case), then the optical depth (OD) of the path of the laser beam can be written as
where Δσ is the CO2 differential absorption cross section, C0 is the CO2 concentration in the natural atmospheric background outside the plume (=400 ppmv), ΔR is the ADC range resolution and Ci is the CO2 concentration corresponding to the i-th ADC channel (inside the plume). This scales to the corresponding lidar off signal Si in the i-th ADC channel according to
where ρ is a proportionality constant. The value of ρ and hence also of Ci, can be retrieved because Δσ, C0 and ΔR are known and OD, L1, L2 and Si are measured from the lidar signal. More precisely, OD is obtained from the peaks of the ON and OFF lidar signals caused by reflection of the laser beam in the laboratory truck (I0,ON and I0,OFF) and off the surface of the rock wall behind the plume (ION and IOFF) (see Fig. 2a):
and Si is the lidar signal in the i-th ADC channel inside the plume.
The measurement error was evaluated by operating the lidar in air free from CO2 sources, both at the Frascati ENEA research center and in Pisciarelli (with the laser beam aimed far from the plume). These tests demonstrate a relative error in the retrieved CO2 concentrations of 1–10%, which corresponds to a maximum error of 100 ppmv over the range of volcanic CO2 concentrations of 10,000 to 1000 ppmv encountered in this study.
Plume transport speed
We processed sequences of visible images of the fumarolic field (Fig. S2a) acquired at 30 Hz using a digital optical camera to calculate the transport speed of the condensed volcanic gas plume. The procedure is based on an analysis of the brightness of the digital images, where each pixel has a brightness value ranging from 0 to 1. Pixels corresponding to the volcanic plume are much brighter than pixels of the atmospheric background around the plume itself (Fig. S2b). This indicates that a large fraction of the “in-plume” luminance received by the optical sensor of the camera is radiation scattered by the condensed gas plume, which is in turn proportional to the time- and space-dependent concentrations of condensed volcanic water (e.g., water droplets)56. The brightness of the background pixels was reasonably constant over timescales of minutes to hours. Integration over two parallel, closely spaced brightness profiles through the rising plume (Fig. S2c) results in two “integrated brightness” time series, with a temporal shift Δt (Fig. S2d) corresponding to the time that the gas cloud takes to travel from the first to the second section (a similar procedure has been applied previously to the UV region of the electromagnetic spectrum41,42). Time series of the temporal shift Δt were calculated via cross-correlation analysis with a moving window and corresponded to shift values at which the maximum correlation coefficients (R2) between the two time series were obtained. The obtained Δt values were finally converted into time series of the plume transport speed (Fig. S2e) multiplied by the spacing (Δx) between the two profiles. The smoothness and accuracy of the derived velocity time series depend on the window length and acquisition rate of the images42. At 30 Hz, we found that a 30-s window is adequate for our purposes. Since the digital camera and the lidar were not perfectly synchronized during the operations, we report in Table 1 the mean plume speeds calculated for 30-minute-long temporal intervals, overlapping with the lidar scans. Note that the plume speeds were calculated for different levels of the plume (obtained by moving the positions of the j and k sections) for consistency with the different elevation angles (0–15°) of the lidar scans.
Calculation of the CO2 flux
The CO2 flux (ΦCO2, in kilograms per second) was obtained by multiplying the vertical plume transport speed (vP) by the total-plume CO2 molecular density (, expressed in molecules per meter), according to
where and NA are the molecular weight and Avogadro’s constant, respectively and is obtained after integrating the background-corrected CO2 concentrations (Ci-corr) over the entire plume cross section, according to
where Nstd is the Loschmidt number (2.46 × 1025 molecules/m3; or the molecular atmospheric density per unit volume at standard temperature and pressure), ΔR is the spatial resolution of the lidar (1.5 m) and li is the i-th arc of circumference (see Fig. S3), or
where is the i-th distance vector (in meters) and is the angular resolution of the system (=1.12°) expressed in radians ( = 1.12° · π/180 = 0.1955 rad) (see Fig. S3).
The relative error of ΣiCi-corr is a function of the relative error of Ci-corr and is estimated to be about 5%. This, combined with an overall uncertainty in the derived plume speeds of 10–28%, leads to a cumulative error in the calculated CO2 fluxes of ~15–33%.
Additional Information
How to cite this article: Aiuppa, A. et al. New ground-based lidar enables volcanic CO2 flux measurements. Sci. Rep. 5, 13614; doi: 10.1038/srep13614 (2015).
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Acknowledgements
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007/2013)/ERC grant agreement no. 305377 (Principal Investigator: A.A.).
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A.A. and L.F. designed the study and drafted the manuscript. All of the authors designed and participated in the field experiments and reviewed the manuscript.
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Aiuppa, A., Fiorani, L., Santoro, S. et al. New ground-based lidar enables volcanic CO2 flux measurements. Sci Rep 5, 13614 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/srep13614
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep13614
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