Probability distributions (red) for: (a). maximum rates of SLR (shown in m y−1, as used in the calculations); and (b). adjustment timescales (in y), as discussed in the text.
The green dots indicate the 2000 random samplings of the probability distributions for our probabilistic assessment of natural sea-level change based on equations 1–3. Dashed red lines indicate the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles that delimit 95% probability intervals; dashed blue lines indicate 95th percentiles that give the upper bound of the 90% probability intervals (to avoid clutter the lower bound has been omitted); and dashed black lines indicate 16th and 84th percentiles that delimit the 68% probability intervals.