Abstract
Repeating earthquakes, or repeaters, affecting overlapping rupture patches with a similar focal mechanism, have important implications to track fault slip rates, aseismic deformation, slow earthquakes and earthquake nucleation processes. They are often detected based on highly similar waveforms. Here, we discuss earthquakes with highly anti-correlated waveforms, denoting a reversed seismogenic process at the same or a neighbouring location, which we refer to as true and quasi anti-repeaters. We first report a range such observations in different environments, including volcano seismicity, intermediate depth seismicity and injection-induced microseismicity. Then, we review conceptual models proposed to explain them. True and quasi anti-repeaters can be robustly identified via a three-component single station or distributed network data. They are key indicators for stress perturbation transients or local stress heterogeneities. Since most of these observations were explained as the response to fluid migration processes, they may help to identify and track fluid movements in the subsurface.
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Introduction
Repeating earthquakes, or repeaters, are defined as earthquakes with overlapping rupture areas, sharing a similar location, magnitude and focal mechanism1,2,3. Due to the similarity of their sources, they generally produce highly similar waveforms1,2,3,4,5,6,7. Indeed, while a robust identification of true repeaters may require accurate hypocentral locations and focal mechanism estimations2,3, it has been a common practice in the past to detect and identify repeaters simply based on a high cross-correlation of their waveforms. A robust approach to discriminate among true repeaters and neighbouring events (quasi-repeaters) with a similar focal mechanism has been recently designed3. Repeaters have been observed in different tectonic environments4,6,7,8,9,10 and most notably at different subduction zones, where they are attributed to the repeated activation of asperities along the slab interface11,12. Their analysis and modelling have turned out to be very important in revealing, mapping and quantifying fault slip13,14 and as possible earthquake precursors15,16. Seismic events with similar waveforms are sometimes also referred to as multiplets17,18,19,20,21. While repeaters are assumed to have overlapping rupture areas and a similar slip, waveform similarity criteria to robustly identify them are still debated1,2,3,22.
Here, we investigate the case of earthquake pairs (or earthquake families) displaying anti-correlated waveforms. Consistently with the case of earthquake repeaters, we define anti-repeaters as earthquakes which can be robustly attributed to the reverse slip of the same patch or fault segment, with a difference in location much smaller than the source size, and opposite focal mechanisms. We also consider the case of quasi anti-repeaters, which represent a failure with a reversed focal mechanism occurring within a small seismogenic volume, but affecting neighbouring faults or fault portions.
Both cases, true and quasi anti-repeaters, are manifested in highly anti-correlated seismic waveforms. The literature on such phenomena is still limited. The term ‘anti-repeater’ has been first used, to our knowledge, for describing such observations at the Bucaramanga nest, Colombia23,24, where their presence was confirmed by similar waveforms with reversed polarities at multiple stations24. A few more observations are discussed for seismicity associated with magmatism. For example, during the January 1983 magmatic intrusion at Kilauea, Hawaii, a number of earthquake multiplets were detected, including one with two groups of earthquakes with correlated and anti-correlated waveforms, associated with events with nearly opposite focal mechanisms19. Earthquakes with reversed waveforms were reported during deep crustal seismic sequences25 and swarms26, which were attributed to magma intrusion of fluid pressure pulses25,26. More recently, anti-correlated waveforms have been reported27 during the seismic swarm accompanying a magmatic intrusion offshore Mayotte, Comoro Islands27,28,29. Relatively sparse accounts for anti-repeaters might be caused by the fact that most studies applying waveform cross-correlation only use the maximum cross-correlation or reject the polarity30. When using cross-correlation to improve relative timing information for subsequent relative earthquake location, the rejection can make sense. However, it leads to a loss of relative information regarding the faulting mechanism. Only a few studies26,31 take into account the minimum correlation that can reveal anti-correlated events. With our study, we intend to increase the awareness for the importance of both the positive and the negative part of the widely used cross-correlation function to study earthquake processes.
In the lack of a dedicated local network, a physics based identification of repeaters, relying on accurate locations and rupture size estimation2,3 is challenging. On the other hand, identifying repeaters from waveforms only requires accomplishing certain cross-correlation coefficients and the processing of high frequency signals22, which constrain this type of observation to relatively small earthquakes only. While the same arguments would also apply to anti-repeaters, in this work we chose to relax the conditions on the frequency content of the seismic records, adapting them to each considered observational setup. We choose the bandpass filters with the primary aim of preserving a good signal-to-noise ratio, and ensuring that the high frequency corner is below the earthquake corner frequencies. Adopting these smoother conditions implies that not all discussed cases may be strictly considered anti-repeaters, but some may correspond to quasi anti-repeaters and, in other cases, a discrimination is not possible based on the available data. We will discuss, however, how both anti-repeaters and quasi anti-repeaters require strong spatial and/or temporal stress perturbations, so that searching for both types of process is relevant.
If the literature on direct observation of earthquakes with anti-correlated waveforms is limited, there are a few more reports on earthquakes with reversed or rotated focal mechanisms within the same seismogenic volume32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43. Again, many of these observations concern volcano seismicity, triggered by dike intrusions at different depths, ranging from deep crustal intrusion to shallow processes. Almost reversed, composite focal mechanisms have also been identified for microseismicity accompanying hydraulic fracturing44. Reversed mechanisms at similar locations generally imply anticorrelated waveforms. Reversed mechanisms are not limited to double-couple focal mechanisms, but have also been observed for moment tensor representations. Reversed moment tensors resolved for different onsets during the 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption43 could correspond to explosions and caldera collapse episodes. Reversed vertical symmetric CLVD sources at Bardarbunga volcano, Iceland, have been interpreted as the reversed motion of a ring fault, accompanying e.g., inflation and deflation phases of the volcanic system45,46. In the frame of tectonic processes, focal mechanism reversals have been reported more sporadically and generally attributed to stress changes induced by large earthquakes and overshooting47,48. Studies on hydraulic fracturing49,50 and enhanced geothermal systems20,51 commonly observe multiplets or repeating events, but anti-correlated events are only considered in a few studies52,53,54. Finally, it is worth noting that events with polarity reversal within the same cluster were reported for deep moonquakes55.
Starting from a collection of earthquakes with anti-correlated waveforms in different seismogenic contexts, spanning a wide variety of frequencies, magnitudes and observational setups, we review different models proposed to explain the observation of earthquakes with reversed slip motion. We discuss some challenges to identify anti-repeaters (as well as repeaters) based on waveform anti-correlation. Finally, we discuss the important implications of anti-repeaters.
Observations
The following cases concern volcanic, tectonic, intermediate depth and induced seismicity cases (Tables 1 and 2).
North Mid-Atlantic Ridge
The 2022 swarm at the north Mid-Atlantic Ridge has been described as the result of a shallow magmatic intrusion56, with the consequent activation of normal faulting earthquakes above a vertical dike and a few thrust earthquakes triggered by stress perturbation at the side of the growing dike, with a lateral offset of ~10-20 km. Earthquakes exceeding magnitude Mw 4.5 were classified based on their moment tensors, with 60 events characterised by North-South (NS) oriented normal faulting, and 11 events by NS thrust mechanisms56. The seismic signals, recorded at up to 2500 km distance, with the closest station at ~1000 km, were found to be anti-correlated between the two families56. This is consistent with the flipped focal mechanism, the small inter-event distance compared to the source-receiver distances and the good signal-to-noise ratio limited to low frequencies. We show here an example of three component anti-correlated waveforms at the broadband seismic station G.IVI.00 (GEOSCOPE, French Global Network of Seismological Broadband Stations57), located at ~1100 km distance, filtered in the frequency range 0.02-0.1 Hz. The normalised velocity data are compared for two earthquakes of moment magnitude Mw 5.7 and 6.056 (Fig. 1a and Suppl. Figures 1–2).
Bucaramanga, Colombia
Earthquake nests are volumes of the Earth characterised by high, persistent and spatially isolated seismic activity58. The Bucaramanga nest, Colombia, is the most dense seismic nest on Earth59. There, an average of 8 events per year (with body wave magnitudes larger than mb 4.7)60 within a compact volume extending only 5 × 5 km laterally and less than 20 km in depth24,59. Based on a selection of well-located earthquakes, the focal region has been hypothesised to be even smaller61, 4 × 4 × 8 km. Focal mechanisms at the Bucaramanga nest are reported to be heterogeneous24. Thanks to its compact size, which grants similar hypocentral locations, and the variability of focal mechanisms, the Bucaramanga nest is a good place to search for anti-repeaters. The presence of families of both earthquakes with correlating and anti-correlating waveforms at the Bucaramanga nest was indeed found in a previous study24, where the high anti-correlation was simultaneously confirmed on five stations. Earthquake locations would suggest they activated parallel, neighbouring ruptures. However, the inter-event distances, in the order of ~1-2 km are comparable to relocation uncertainties, so it was not possible to discriminate among true and quasi anti-repeaters24. Here, we perform a similar search for anti-correlated waveforms and illustrate one case of three components anti-correlated waveforms for a pair of events (Fig. 1b, Suppl. Figure 3−4). The two selected earthquakes had moderate magnitudes (mb 4.0 and 4.4) and depths of 155 and 158 km. Waveforms are shown after applying a bandpass filter between 0.375 and 1.0 Hz.
Mayotte, Comoro Islands
The recent volcano-tectonic unrest offshore the island of Mayotte27,28, Comoros Islands, is most notably known for the global observation of long-duration long period signals27,28 and for the formation and discovery of a newborn submarine volcano29. However, there was evidence for multiple earthquake pairs with anti-correlated waveforms among the different seismic signals recorded during the unrest27. Here, we show one example of an event pair with anti-correlated waveforms at Mayotte (Table 1). The seismic signals show volcano-tectonic signatures, with clear P and S onsets (Fig. 1c, Suppl. Figs. 5-6); they were recorded at the YTMZ strong motion sensor, on Mayotte island, with a waveform duration of ~8-10 s and a good signal-to-noise ratio in the range 0.4-4.0 Hz. The location of these earthquakes is unknown, because they were recorded by this station only and data quality prevented an accurate single station location. Based on the differential S-P times at station YTMZ (3.67 and 3.75 s), we infer a minimum distance of ~600 m between the hypocenters of the event pair. This distance is larger than the rupture length of these events, estimated as ~300-400 m from their magnitudes ( ~ 3.2 and ~3.0), based on empirical relations62. Their focal mechanisms have not been estimated63. The earthquake pair (Fig. 1c) occurred after the crustal intrusion reached the seafloor, in the early phase of the deep reservoir drainage27. The earthquake pair pertain to the so-called proximal cluster, located between 6 and 20 km East of Petite-Terre (Mayotte), and mostly extending at 25-45 km depth64; however, the seismic activity was found between 4 and 24 km at the end of August64, when the earthquake pair occur. It has been hypothesised that these earthquake pair occurred just above the depletering reservoir, in response to changes in the reservoir’s pressure27. They occurred within a short time, in the order of one minute: short inter-event times for event pairs with reversed waveforms were also found during deep crustal seismic swarms driven by magma intrusions beneath Mammoth Mountain, California26.
Äspö Hard Rock Laboratory, Sweden
Observations of anti-repeating earthquakes are not limited to local or regional seismicity. We also identified such event pairs within massive acoustic emission (AE) activity (tiny earthquakes, here below Mw −3.5) induced during small-scale hydraulic fracturing experiments conducted in crystalline rock65. There, more than 19,600 induced events mapped the opening hydraulic fractures with extents of several metres66,67. While an inversion for focal mechanisms is difficult to assess due to uncertainties in sensor characteristics68, waveform similarity analysis conducted in this study reveal the presence of anti-correlated events/anti-repeaters within the spatially and temporally constrained event cluster. The two example events (Fig. 1d) were induced within 6 seconds during an injection phase, in which the hydraulic fracture grew upwards and eventually passed the location of the two events. The absolute event locations indicate a separation of 0.45 m, which is well within the location uncertainty of the catalogue66. The anti-repeaters have anti-correlated waveforms within a frequency band of 3 to 7 kHz across three sensors at distances of 10 to 16 m. The two events have relative AE magnitudes of MAE 3.13 and MAE 2.49, which corresponds69 to about Mw −4. Example waveforms are presented in Fig. 1d and Suppl. Figs. 7-8. Instances of reversed focal mechanisms in close vicinity to each other were also reported for microseismic activity induced during shale gas hydraulic fracturing53.
Models
Several physical processes have been considered to explain strong local stress anomalies and the occurrence of earthquakes with reversed or rotated focal mechanisms. Stress anomalies can be temporal or spatial, but a temporal stress perturbation is needed if the rupture occurs over the same patch (e.g., in the case of true anti-repeaters). Most of these models concern volcanic and induced seismicity, driven by geophysical processes involving deformation, magma migration and/or fluid transfer. Some, however, involve the effects produced by large earthquakes, and may become relevant in other tectonic settings. For each of the aforementioned processes, the occurrence of anti-repeaters depends on the local stress conditions and in some cases the presence of preexisting sets of faults, fractures or otherwise weakend zones with a particular orientation. In the following, we review those underlying physical processes and the most prominent models (Fig. 2) proposed in the literature. In some models, anti-repeaters are controlled by stress rotation due to dike emplacement and growth (Fig. 2a, b). In other cases anti-repeaters correspond to reverse motion along pre-existing zones of weakness (Fig. 2c, g).
Dike intrusion and growth
Magmatic intrusions can produce strong local stress perturbations and induce seismicity, which vary with time, as the intrusion propagates, thickens, deforms, bends and/or freezes70,71,72,73,74,75. The stress induced by such intrusions (dikes or sills) is spatially heterogeneous. For example, a vertical dike promotes extensional stresses above and below it, favouring normal faulting earthquakes. A lateral migrating vertical dike favours strike-slip earthquakes ahead of its tip74, but these weakened regions can experience a different stress condition when the dike propagates. A thickening dike can alter compressional stresses on its sides74: small dike inflation in the order of 1 m may be sufficient to produce a ~ 90° stress rotation and thus rotated focal mechanisms, as observed at several volcanoes33,42,76,77,78,79; such stress perturbation is further promoted in the presence of highly viscous magmas41. The close location of rotated and unrotated focal mechanisms suggests a locally heterogeneous stress field, possibly involving a crack network, rather than a single conduit or crack33. Something similar happens in the case of fluid injection operations, e.g., accompanying hydraulic fracturing or geothermal stimulation, which is discussed later. In both volcanic and injection induced seismicity cases the stress field is both controlled by background tectonic stresses and the stress perturbations introduced by the emplacement and migration of the dike or pressurised fluid. However, in the case of magma dikes, with average thickness in the order of tens of centimetres or more, locally reaching kilometres of lateral extension75, the stress perturbation may overcome the tectonic stresses56; while for fluid injection operations the stress perturbation is limited to a small volume around the injection point.
Figure 2a, b provides a sketch of a dike intrusion and migration, highlighting the regions of stress perturbation and the focal mechanisms of induced seismicity promoted around the dike. Shallow normal faulting earthquakes often accompany dike migration and are generally observed above vertical dikes74. On the sides of the dike the stress perturbation inhibits normal faulting earthquakes, and can sporadically favour thrust faulting56, providing a first model for quasi anti-repeaters, here occurring on different, parallel faults. Also true anti-repeaters can occur as a consequence of spatio-temporal stress perturbations, upon the migration of a magma batch: in these cases, strike-slip earthquakes can first be triggered along a zone of weakness ahead of the dike’s tip (Fig. 2a, blue strike-slip mechanism) and then with reverse motions of the same structure when the dike grows or propagates forward (Fig. 2b, red strike-slip mechanism).
Trapdoor faults
Trapdoor faulting (Fig. 2c) represents a suitable model to explain true anti-repeaters. Trapdoor faults have been proposed for volcanic environments, requiring a combination of vertical deformation, e.g., uplift or subsidence due to the expansion or depletion of a magma body, and shallow faulting80,81,82,83,84. The trapdoor faulting process (Fig. 2c) has been modelled for intruding sills, with a lateral extension equal or larger than their depths. In such cases, the magmatic intrusion can bend and propagate upward, favouring faulting on outward-dipping or sub-vertical normal faults due to the intrusion interaction with the free surface81. A focal mechanism reversal on a trapdoor fault could occur, e.g., in response to a later depletion of the magma body. A well-described case of trapdoor faulting is found at Sierra Negra volcano, Galápagos, affecting intra-caldera fault in response to a rapid caldera uplift82. While at Sierra Negra, there was so far no evidence of a reversed motion of the fault, which was so far accompanied by uplift only and behaved predominantly aseismically80, monitoring the behaviour of trapdoor faults could offer other observations of anti-repeating earthquakes. Alternating slip along a trapdoor fault, accompanying the progressive failure of the overburden above a large and relatively deep depleting magma reservoir, has been hypothesised to explain the anti-correlated seismic signals at Mayotte27 (Fig. 1c). There, the short interevent time among earthquakes producing reversed signals would rather point to an intermittent pressurisation of the reservoir, with upward movement accompanying pressurisation and downward movement following pressure drop, e.g., due to gas release. The focal mechanism of a trapdoor faulting earthquake is close to a vertical dip slip mechanism (Fig. 2c), which can turn into a steep normal or thrust faulting, depending on the fault geometry and whether the deformation involves an uplift or subsidence. Here potential anti-repeaters may be observed at different times, as reversed slip of the fault can be promoted during different deformation stages.
Ring faults
A trapdoor fault extending along a curved fault segment or even a circular or elliptical fault (Fig. 2d) is often referred to as a ring fault segment or ring fault46,85. Ring faults are typically formed on top of magmatic reservoirs and can accompany the formation of calderas. A slip along the whole ring fault is described by a vertical compensated linear vector dipole (vCLVD)46,85. Two types of vCLVD have been observed45, characterised by a vertical pressure (P) or a vertical tension (T) axis45,86. These two mechanisms can result from different configurations, depending on the ring fault geometry and the movement of the inner crustal block: the first case (vertical P) can either be explained by the uplift of the inner block along an outward dipping ring fault, or by its subsidence along an inward dipping fault, while the opposite applies for the second case. The mechanism associated with the slip of a ring segment includes double couple and non double couple components85 and the resulting moment tensor can be potentially used to estimate the arc angle and orientation of the ring fault segment86. There are several examples of Mw > 5 ring fault earthquakes45, often characterised by slow processes or long rupture durations46, including some sites where a reversed motion has been observed at the time of uplift and caldera collapse, such as at Bardarbunga volcano, Iceland87,88,89.
Dike-parallel joints
One of the models proposed to explain focal mechanism reversal at neighbouring locations in volcanic environments and thus, potentially, anti-correlated waveforms, suggests that these earthquakes may occur along neighbouring, subparallel faults at the tip of a propagating dike or near dike constrictions38. The model, sketched in Fig. 2e, hypothesises the activation of sub-parallel structures at the dike tip sides. While this model may be questionable when a magma dike propagates within an undisturbed crustal volume, where fractures at the dike tip are expected to occur along 45° oriented planes70,74, the model could still hold in the case of pre-existing zone of weaknesses or en-echelon structures in strongly heterogeneous stress field, for example due to previous magmatic intrusion episodes, or through the asymmetric failure of solidified magma plugs along magma conduits or channels38.
Overshooting
In tectonic environments, a mechanism able to produce a stress reversal and the activation of earthquakes with similar locations and heterogeneous focal mechanisms, can be given by the occurrence of a large earthquake. Indeed, very diverse focal mechanisms, including cases of focal mechanism reversals, have been observed after large earthquakes, such as the 2011 Tohoku-Oki47, Japan, and 2014 Iquique48, Chile, earthquakes. In all these reported cases, event pairs with almost reversed focal mechanisms have been located close to each other, either on the same fault or subduction interface, or pre-existing adjacent faults with slightly deviating orientations47,48. In both cases, anti-repeating earthquakes can be explained (Fig. 2f) by a transient reversal of the stress condition, resulting from a complete stress drop and dynamic overshoot47.
Fluid injection
There are multiple reports on induced microseismic events with opposite failure mechanisms from hydraulic fracturing operations in shale gas reservoirs52,53,54. The authors report on dip-slip mechanisms with a steep dipping and an almost horizontal nodal plane, which show both normal or reverse fault motions. The observation of these reversed events has been attributed to the presence of hydraulic fractures that alter the local stress field or directly impose additional strain53, causing an opposite sense of slip. The following models require the presence of particularly oriented weak planes and pre-existing faults. In one model54, the opposite slip occurs at shale bedding planes (Fig. 2g). While the opening of the vertical hydraulic fracture itself is considered as an aseismic process, it may produce shear loading on the weaker bedding planes. As a consequence, events with opposite slip directions can be induced in two configurations (Fig. 2g): (a) on two sites of a single bedding plane separated by the hydraulic fracture or (b) on two closely-located bedding planes at the top and the bottom of the vertical hydraulic fracture, as observed via a clear depth separation for a stage at the Barnett shale53,54. These induced shear events are limited to the vicinity of the hydraulic fracture because no regional shear stress is acting on the bedding planes in this setting54. In the case of a horizontally-laying hydraulic fracture opening parallel to the bedding plane, the model must be rotated by 90 degrees (Fig. 2h). Consequently, the additional stress at the fracture tips could produce or reactivate a micro-graben structure with an opposite slip direction on possibly close-by, nearly vertical, pre-existing natural fractures52.
Discussion
In this work, we reported several observations of earthquake pairs with anti-correlated waveforms, which we attribute to true or quasi anti-repeating earthquakes. Our observations are quite heterogeneous. First, they sample very different seismogenic environments, with seismicity either controlled by tectonic, volcanic or anthropogenic processes. Further, the presented case studies concern a broad range of magnitudes, inter-event times, and observational setups. A general conclusion is that not only do (true and/or quasi) anti-repeating earthquakes exist, but they can even be found in very different seismogenic contexts.
Many of the observations shown in Fig. 1 can be directly explained by the proposed source models, controlled by spatiotemporal stress perturbation introduced by fluid transfer. For example, parallel normal and thrust faulting at the North Mid Atlantic Ridge (Fig. 1a) have been explained in response to a dike intrusion (Fig. 2a, b), with normal faulting occurring shallow above the vertical dike and thrust faulting occurring at its both sides56. In the case of the Mayotte anti-repeaters (Fig. 1c), the seismogenic process is likely related to the overall depletion of a deep magma reservoir27; it has been suggested that pressure fluctuations within the depleting reservoir could promote short-term stress transients in the overburden, accommodated by upward and downward movement of trapdoor fault(s) (Fig. 2c) with short inter-event times27. The observation at the Äspö Rock Laboratory (Fig. 1d) is most likely attributed to a local stress rotation induced by the growth of a hydraulic fracture, a small scale equivalent to a dike intrusion (Fig. 2a, b). The observation of heterogeneous focal mechanisms within the compact Bucaramanga nest, including anti-repeaters (Fig. 1b), remains poorly understood24.
For earthquake repeaters, highly correlating waveforms imply that their inter-source distance is smaller than a quarter of a wavelength4. The same threshold applies for anti-repeaters: in our cases, such a spatial threshold reaches from tens of centimetres to tens of kilometres (Table 1). High anti-correlation values and small inter-event distances below or close to the respective quarter-wavelength criterion in all cases (Table 1) suggest anti-repeaters. However, to resolve if the earthquake rupture patches are overlapping, and not just close, frequencies should be chosen high enough22. Additional information from accurate location might resolve inter-event distances, helping discriminating true and quasi anti-repeaters1,2,3. However, location uncertainties may often be larger than the spatial separation of event hypocenters, hindering a robust identification of true anti-repeaters. One of those cases showing a large spatial separation between epicenters is the example from the Mid-Atlantic ridge, which is in fact a case of quasi anti-repeater associated with the reverse motion of neighbouring faults56. For the Mayotte case, where the inter-event distance exceeds 600 m, the rupture patches may be very close but likely not overlapping. At the Bucaramanga nest, it has been reported that an overlap of the rupture areas cannot be resolved24. Similar limitations apply to the Äspö Hard Rock Laboratory, where the inter-event distance is smaller than the location uncertainty66. The physical models compiled in this study also concern both true anti-repeaters and quasi-anti-repeaters. True anti-repeater could occur, for example, along the same ring fault, as a consequence of inflation and deflection periods of an underground magma reservoir (Fig. 2d). Conversely, other models, such as the triggering of normal vs thrust faulting above or on the side of a dike, only explain quasi anti-repeaters. We like to point out that the separation of true and quasi anti-repeaters is less critical at this point compared to repeating events, e.g., used to quantify fault creep or predominantly aseismic processes: in both cases, stress transients cause a remarkable change of local stress conditions.
Since the local stress conditions control the fault motion during an earthquake, a motion reversal along the same fault segment would require a substantial temporal stress change. Should the two reversed earthquakes occur along neighbouring structures, rather than a single one, the proposed models explain this by the presence of a strong stress heterogeneity in the focal region. Therefore, studying true and quasi anti-repeaters is important to detect spatial and/or temporal anomalies of the stress condition. In the case of tectonically active regions, the stress anomaly can be due to the occurrence of a large earthquake47,48 (Fig. 2f). However, in most reported cases, including those occurring in volcanic environments or associated with injection-induced seismicity, the stress transient is rather attributed to fluid migration processes. In these cases, the observation of anti-repeaters provides indirect evidence for the presence of fluid and its migration. This may also apply to the case of intermediate and deep seismicity, which are often attributed to dehydration processes, e.g., for the Bucaramanga nest.
Previous works on repeating earthquakes have often neglected the presence of anti-correlating signals. The minimum and the maximum of the cross-correlation of two waveforms depends on the frequency content and the chosen time window: higher frequencies, sampling smaller local structures, and longer time windows containing more noise reduce both values. Additionally, the definition of a high cross-correlation varies across different studies2,22, as does the threshold for which waveforms are considered to be similar90. With a simple synthetic test (Fig. 3), we show that even relatively high maximum cross-correlation values (such as 0.8) can be misleading when omitting the negative part of the cross-correlation function or using the absolute value. Of course, the validity of not considering the negative part depends on the purpose of the study. Still, it is a loss of information that might have hindered broader attention to anti-correlated events/anti-repeaters in the past. For the test, we calculated synthetic three-component waveforms (up to 4 Hz) for two co-located random double-couple mechanisms based on a regional velocity model for Mayotte27. The synthetics are calculated using the pyrocko toolbox and a precalculated Green’s function database91 obtained via the orthonormal propagator algorithm QSEIS92. We choose a geometrical setup that mimics the observational condition of the Mayotte case: the epicentral distance of the receiver is fixed at 30 km, while the event depth is randomly chosen from a uniform distribution between 1 and 50 km, as is the event azimuth relative to the receiver. Maximum and minimum cross-correlation values are plotted for each spatial component (Z, vertical, N, North, E, East) and their mean value in Fig. 3. Since we consider the full cross-correlation function, the minimum cross-correlation value (CCmin) is the amplitude of the largest negative lobe of the cross-correlation function, not the lowest correlation. The colour scale is chosen so that dark red points highlight waveforms where the difference between the absolute values of CCmin and CCmax is larger, The upper triangle corresponds to waveform correlation, where the absolute value of CCmax is larger than for CCmin, while the lower triangle corresponds to waveform anti-correlation. The plot is illustrative of the potential pitfalls when considering only positive cross-correlation values: using only single components, CCmax can be as high as 0.85/0.9, which could support the identification of a repeater, but still CCmin is close to −1, showing that, in fact, this is rather supporting an anti-repeater (see also Suppl. Fig. 9). Combining the three components by calculating their respective means helps isolate (anti-)repeaters more clearly. Including more stations in the (anti-)repeaters analysis can further increase the reliability of the results. When using three components, single anti-correlated event pairs can still appear highly correlated (within the grey triangle in Fig. 3). After all, we show that an (almost) perfect anti-repeater could be lost in favour of a less-well constraint repeater or not recognized at all if omitting the negative part of the cross-correlation. An example of a highly anticorrelated pair of events from the synthetic test that would be missed and labelled as a pair of similar events when only considering the positive part of the CC function is provided in the supplement (Suppl. Fig. 9).
While we focus on single earthquake pairs in this study and review them manually, a comprehensive search for anti-correlated events would require additional quality tests for an unambiguous identification of (anti-)repeaters. Signals with limited, narrow bandwidth originating from the source or caused by local site effects can lead to cycle skipping when dominant subsequent peaks get misaligned93. An extreme case would be a monotonic signal that can be shifted arbitrarily. Cycle skipping biasing the cross-correlation coefficient can be accounted for by testing different time windows and only accepting CCs that show consistent results, e.g., satisfying a maximum time shift depending on the event duration, the frequency content, and the data sampling, over multiple window lengths90,91,92,93. A SNR-based threshold to exclude waveforms prone to cycle skipping before calculating the cross-correlation and a time-independent criterion for the comparison of the maximum and the second largest peak (sidelobe maximum, CCslm, corresponding to the largest positive value of the cross-correlation function in the case of anti-repeaters) of the cross-correlation function, CCslm < CC−(0.5–0.5 CC), have been suggested94. All example cases in this study pass the time-independent cycle skipping criterion. In our synthetic test (Fig. 3), cycle skipping becomes problematic for those event pairs marked by light red points.
Small differences between the absolute values of CCmin and CCmax, which we refer to here as differential cross-correlation coefficient, might hinder an unambiguous identification of (anti-)repeaters. In the example shown in this study, the differential cross-correlation ranges between 0.08 and 0.35 (Table 1). A small differential cross-correlation coefficient can point to spurious correlations caused by a monotonic signal or a small number of data samples, thus a short time window. This implies that a threshold needed to achieve a robust identification of (anti-)repeaters depends on the complexity and the length of the cross-correlated seismograms. In this study, all cross-correlations of the example cases were calculated using full-waveforms with approximately 1000 samples which ensures a robust identification of (quasi) anti-repeaters. The synthetic test shows that identifying (anti-)repeaters is possible with only one three-component station. However, single-station analyses might suffer from low signal-to-noise ratios on any component depending on the radiation pattern of the studied earthquake mechanism. If the data are available, repeaters and anti-repeaters should be identified using multiple seismic records from stations around the epicentres since increased azimuthal coverage provides more robust results95.
Conclusions
In this work we proved the widespread existence of earthquake pairs with highly anti-correlated waveforms in a multitude of seismological settings. Although negative waveform cross-correlations have been rarely considered in seismological analysis, we illustrate that several such observations are already available. The reported case studies sample a wide variety of environments where events with anti-correlated waveforms can be observed, including volcanic, tectonic and induced seismicity, as well as shallow and intermediate depth seismicity. This implies that anti-repeaters may occur in almost any seismogenic context. The limited amount of references reporting this type of observations is possibly only due to the fact that scientists have not yet carefully considered anti-correlated waveforms. The set of reported case studies concerns a broad range of magnitudes, spanning from microseismicity associated to fluid injection operations up to earthquakes of magnitudes Mw 6.0, e.g., at the Mid Atlantic ridge. Differential times among event pairs are also very variable. In some cases, as, for example, at Mayotte, they occur with short delays in the order of seconds to minutes. In other cases, such as at Bucaramanga, the delay is in the order of years.
Besides reporting on different observations of events with anti-correlated waveforms, we reviewed previously proposed models. Both observations and models illustrate the presence of two different scenarios. On one side, there are true anti-repeaters, which affect the same fault or fault segment with a reverse motion, implying a process reversal; these can occur, for example, in the case of trapdoor or ring-faulting in response to pressurisation or depressurization of magmatic reservoirs and conduits. In many cases, however, we observe so-called quasi anti-repeaters, which have a reversed focal mechanism but occur on neighbouring structures. These earthquakes can be modelled, for example by the reversed activation of parallel faults in response to magma dike intrusions.
In the lack of dedicated, local monitoring, location uncertainties may challenge the discrimination between true and quasi anti-repeaters. However, both of them denote the presence of strong spatial and/or temporal stress perturbations, for example in response to a magmatic intrusion or to a large earthquake. Thus, they can directly be used to detect stress perturbations in space and time. In many cases, especially in the frame of volcanic and induced seismogenic processes, they are directly controlled by fluid transfer. In these environments, the identification of anti-repeater provides valuable information to track underground fluids and their movements.
Supplementary Material
The supplementary material includes 9 Suppl. Figs. which complement the main text.
Data availability
Seismic data used in this study pertains to the following networks: RA (RESIF-RAP Accelerometric Permanent Network 1995)96, CM (Red Sismológica Nacional de Colombia)97, G (GEOSCOPE, French Global Network of Seismological Broadband Stations)57. These data are open and available at IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology), GEOFON (GEO-FOrschungsNetz), ORFEUS EIDA (Observatories and Research Facilities for European Seismology - European Integrated Data Archive) and/or Résif – Réseau sismologique et géodésique français96 web services. Waveform data for the anti-repeaters recorded during the injection experiments at the Äspö Hard Rock Laboratory are available via the data publication98.
Code availability
All software used in this work is open source. The codes used to generate each figure and result are available through the contact information from the original publications. Requests for further materials should be directed to S.C. (simone.cesca@gfz-potsdam.de).
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Acknowledgements
We are thankful to all institutes providing seismic data used in this study. We are thankful to the Editors Dr. J. Aslin and Prof. Dr. J. Caplan-Auerbach, two anonymous reviewers, as well as, Prof. Dr. D. Stich for their careful reading and valuable suggestions. P.N. received funding from the European Union RFCS project PostMinQuake grant 899192.
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S.C. coordinated this project, conceived the manuscript, and analysed seismological data. P.N. performed the analysis of Äspö data. S.C. and P.N. prepared figures; P.N. prepared tables. S.C., P.N., T.D. and S.I. drafted the manuscript. All authors reviewed the manuscript.
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Communications Earth & Environment thanks Jackie Caplan-Auerbach, German Prieto and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. A peer review file is available.
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Cesca, S., Niemz, P., Dahm, T. et al. Anti-repeating earthquakes and how to explain them. Commun Earth Environ 5, 158 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01290-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01290-1
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