Abstract
Rangelands comprise 40% of the conterminous United States and they supply essential ecosystem services to society. A scenario assessment was conducted to determine how accelerating biophysical and societal drivers may modify their future availability. Four scenarios emerged: two may maintain rural communities by sustaining the prevailing ecosystem service of beef cattle production, and two may transform rural communities through expansion of renewable energy technologies and infusion of external capital from amenity land sales. Collaborative organizations representing diverse societal sectors may most effectively identify and manage trade-offs among ecosystem service availability, and equitably prioritize food and energy security, environmental quality and cultural identity.
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Acknowledgements
We thank D. Pyke with the US Geological Survey for their valuable contributions to an earlier version of the paper. Any use of trade, firm or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government. S. Kagone created Fig. 1, M. Joyce created Fig. 2, and A. Briske and E. Raynor revised Boxes 1 and 2.
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D.D.B. proposed the initial concept and led the paper writing. S.R.A., E.B., W.B., J.D.D., H.G., J.H., C.E.K., M.K., T.J.L., P.N., O.S., N.F.S. and K.R.S.-L. contributed to paper development and revision in their specific areas of expertise.
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Briske, D.D., Archer, S.R., Burchfield, E. et al. Supplying ecosystem services on US rangelands. Nat Sustain 6, 1524–1532 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01194-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01194-6