Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Analysis
  • Published:

Sugar taxation for climate and sustainability goals

Abstract

Meeting environmental sustainability goals while simultaneously recovering from the health and economic crises arising from the coronavirus pandemic requires creative policy solutions. Sugar taxation presents one such policy as sugar crops are arguably the least efficient to consume from a health perspective but the most efficient for biofuel production. Here we analyse the sustainability co-benefits of reducing sugar consumption through redirecting existing sugar cropland to alternative uses. Emissions could fall 20.9–54.3 Mt CO2e yr−1 if the EU were to reduce its sugar consumption in line with health guidelines and the excess Brazilian sugar cane redirected to ethanol. These savings would be around four times higher than an alternative strategy of afforesting existing EU sugar beet cropland and double those from producing sugar beet ethanol in the European Union. Achieving this through policies aimed at behavioural change, with a serious role for sugar taxation, would not only reduce the environmental impacts of biofuels but also provide health and economic benefits.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Sugar crop production.
Fig. 2: Centrifugal sugar production and consumption.
Fig. 3: Changes in GHG emissions for the three scenarios.
Fig. 4: EU sugar and tobacco consumption per capita.

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

The agricultural production data that support these findings are publicly available in the FAOSTAT repository https://www.fao.org/faostat and the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service repository https://www.fas.usda.gov/data.

References

  1. Bai, H. M., Zaid, A., Catrin, S., Ahmed, K. & Ahmed, A. J. The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19): a review. Int. J. Surg. 8, 8–17 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Iacobucci, G. COVID-19: public health must be “at the core” of global recovery plans, say doctors. Brit. Med. J. 369, m2077 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Lynch, J. Health equity, social policy, and promoting recovery from COVID-19. J. Health Polit. Policy Law 45, 983–995 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Belesova, K., Heymann, D. L. & Haines, A. Integrating climate action for health into COVID-19 recovery plans. Brit. Med. J. 370, m3169 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. McNeely, J. A. Nature and COVID-19: the pandemic, the environment, and the way ahead. Ambio 50, 767–781 (2021).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. European Council Conclusions, 17–21 July 2020 (European Council, 2020); https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/07/21/european-council-conclusions-17-21-july-2020/

  7. Van de Graaf, R. C. & Hofstra, L. Obesity and COVID-19: the role of the food industry. Brit. Med. J. 370, m2813 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Sánchez-Romero, L. M. et al. Association between tax on sugar sweetened beverages and soft drink consumption in adults in Mexico: open cohort longitudinal analysis of Health Workers Cohort Study. Brit. Med. J. 369, m1311 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Pell, D. et al. Changes in soft drinks purchased by British households associated with the UK soft drinks industry levy: controlled interrupted time series analysis. Brit. Med. J. 372, n254 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Brownell, K. D. et al. The public Health and economic benefits of taxing sugar-sweetened beverages. N. Engl. J. Med. 362, 1250–1250 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. de Andrade, M. A., Watson, J. E. & Maxwell, S. L. Unveiling the environmental benefits of reducing sugar. Lancet Planet. Health 4, E497–E498 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Searchinger, T. et al. Use of U.S. croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change. Science 319, 1238–1240 (2008).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. Renzaho, A. M. N., Kamara, J. K. & Toole, M. Biofuel production and its impact on food security in low and middle income countries: implications for the post-2015 sustainable development goals. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 78, 503–516 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Lu, Y., Nakicenovic, N., Visbeck, M. & Stevance, A.-S. Policy: five priorities for the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Nature 520, 432–433 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. O’Neill, D. W., Fanning, A. L., Lamb, W. F. & Steinberger, J. K. A good life for all within planetary boundaries. Nat. Sustainability 1, 88–95 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. King, L. C. & van den Bergh, J. C. J. M. Implications of net energy-return-on-investment for a low-carbon energy transition. Nat. Energy 3, 334–340 (2018).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Bernardi, L., Morales, L., Lühiste, M. & Bischof, D. The effects of the Fukushima disaster on nuclear energy debates and policies: a two-step comparative examination. Environ. Politics. 27, 42–68 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Moriarty, P. & Honnery, D. What is the global potential for renewable energy? Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 16, 244–252 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Solomon, B. D. Biofuels and sustainability. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 1185, 119–134 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Nazari, M. T. et al. Biofuels and their connections with the sustainable development goals: a bibliometric and systematic review. Environ. Dev. Sustain 23, 11139–11156 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. de Castro, C., Carpintero, Ó., Frechoso, F., Mediavilla, M. & de Miguel, L. J. A top-down approach to assess physical and ecological limits of biofuels. Energy 64, 506–512 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Brockway, P. E., Owen, A., Brand-Correa, L. I. & Hardt, L. Estimation of global final-stage energy-return-on-investment for fossil fuels with comparison to renewable energy sources. Nat. Energy 4, 612–621 (2019).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  23. Garofalo, P., Mastrorilli, M., Ventrella, D., Vonella, A. V. & Campi, P. Modelling the suitability of energy crops through a fuzzy-based system approach: the case of sugar beet in the bioethanol supply chain. Energy 196, 117160 (2020).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  24. Hall, C., Balogh, S. & Murphy, D. What is the minimum EROI that a sustainable society must have? Energies 2, 25–47 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Atlason, R. S. et al. Energy return on investment of Austrian sugar beet: a small-scale comparison between organic and conventional production. Biomass Bioenergy 75, 267–271 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Steffen, W. et al. Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet. Science 347, 1259855–1259855 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Koh, L. P. & Ghazoul, J. Biofuels, biodiversity, and people: understanding the conflicts and finding opportunities. Biol. Conserv. 141, 2450–2460 (2008).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Fargione, J., Hill, J., Tilman, D., Polasky, S. & Hawthorne, P. Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt. Science 319, 1235–1238 (2008).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  29. de Andrade Junior, M. A. U., Valin, H., Soterroni, A. C., Ramos, F. M. & Halog, A. Exploring future scenarios of ethanol demand in Brazil and their land-use implications. Energy Pol. 134, 110958 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Andrade Junior, M. A., Maxwell, S. L. & Watson, J. E. Renewed threats to Brazilian biodiversity from sugarcane. Front. Ecol. Environ. 18, 178–180 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Wong, T. H. T., Mok, A., Ahmad, R., Rangan, A. & Louie, J. C. Y. Intake of free sugar and micronutrient dilution in Australian children and adolescents. Eur. J. Nutr. 58, 2485–2495 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Schmidhuber, J. et al. The Global Nutrient Database: availability of macronutrients and micronutrients in 195 countries from 1980 to 2013. Lancet Planet. Health 2, e353–e368 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Swinburn, B. A. et al. The global syndemic of obesity, undernutrition, and climate change: The Lancet Commission report. Lancet 393, 791–846 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. World Food and Agriculture—Statistical Yearbook 2020 (FAO, 2020).

  35. FAOSTAT (FAO, 2020); https://fao.org/faostat/

  36. Delgado, A. V. & de Armas Casanova, C. Sugar Processing and By-products of the Sugar Industry (FAO, 2001).

  37. Sugar: World Markets and Trade (USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, 2021); https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/sugar-world-markets-and-trade

  38. Brazil: Sugar Annual (USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, 2021); https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/brazil-sugar-annual-7

  39. OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020–2029 (OECD Publishing, 2020); https://doi.org/10.1787/1112c23b-en

  40. European Union: Sugar Annual (USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, 2021); https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/european-union-sugar-annual-1

  41. EU Agricultural Outlook for Markets and Income 2018–2030 (European Commission, 2018); https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/food-farming-fisheries/farming/documents/medium-term-outlook-2018-report_en.pdf

  42. EU Sugar Balance 25 February 2021 Update (European Commission, 2012); https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/food-farming-fisheries/farming/documents/sugar-balance-sheet-presentation_en.pdf

  43. Guideline: Sugars Intake for Adults and Children (World Health Organization, 2015); https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789241549028

  44. Cunningham, S. C. et al. Balancing the environmental benefits of reforestation in agricultural regions. Perspect. Plant Ecol. Evol. Syst. 17, 301–317 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Manochio, C., Andrade, B. R., Rodriguez, R. P. & Moraes, B. S. Ethanol from biomass: a comparative overview. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 80, 743–755 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Approximated Estimates for Greenhouse Gas Emissions (European Environment Agency, 2020); https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/approximated-estimates-for-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2

  47. Bordonal, R. et al. Sustainability of sugarcane production in Brazil. A review. Agron. Sustainable Dev. 38, 13 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Popkin, B. M. & Ng, S. W. Sugar-sweetened beverage taxes: Lessons to date and the future of taxation. PLoS Med. 18, e1003412 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Bandy, L. K., Scarborough, P., Harrington, R. A., Rayner, M. & Jebb, S. A. Reductions in sugar sales from soft drinks in the UK from 2015 to 2018. BMC Med. 18, 20 (2020).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  50. Teng, A. M. et al. Impact of sugar‐sweetened beverage taxes on purchases and dietary intake: systematic review and meta‐analysis. Obes. Rev. 20, 1187–1204 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  51. Andreyeva, T., Long, M. W. & Brownell, K. D. The impact of food prices on consumption: a systematic review of research on the price elasticity of demand for food. Am. J. Public Health 100, 216–222 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  52. Pfinder, M. et al. Taxation of unprocessed sugar or sugar-added foods for reducing their consumption and preventing obesity or other adverse health outcomes. Cochrane Database Syst. Rev. https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD012333.pub2 (2016).

  53. Taillie, L. S. et al. Changes in food purchases after the Chilean policies on food labelling, marketing, and sales in schools: a before and after study. Lancet Planet. Health 5, e526–e533 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Epidemic, 2017 (WHO, 2017).

  55. Pell, D. et al. Support for, and perceived effectiveness of, the UK soft drinks industry levy among UK adults: cross-sectional analysis of the International Food Policy Study. BMJ Open 9, e026698 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  56. Drews, S. & van den Bergh, J. C. J. M. What explains public support for climate policies? A review of empirical and experimental studies. Clim. Policy 16, 855–876 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  57. Outlaw, J. L. et al. Economics of sugar-based ethanol production and related policy issues. J. Agric. Appl. Econ. 39, 357–363 (2007).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  58. Pillay, C. & van den Bergh, J. C. M. Human health impacts of climate change as a catalyst for public engagement. Int. J. Clim. Change Strateg. Manag. 8, 578–596 (2016).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  59. World Population Prospects 2019 (Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, 2019); https://population.un.org/wpp/

  60. Hoffman, S. J. et al. Cigarette consumption estimates for 71 countries from 1970 to 2015: systematic collection of comparable data to facilitate quasi-experimental evaluations of national and global tobacco control interventions. BMJ 365, l2231 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  61. Klenk, I., Landquist, B. & de Imana, O. R. The product carbon footprint of EU beet sugar (part I). Sugar Ind. 137, 169–177 (2012).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  62. IPCC IPCC Special Report Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000).

  63. Review of EU Biofuels Directive (Energy and Transport Directorate-General, European Commission, 2006).

  64. Quality and Greenhouse Gas Intensities of Transport Fuels in the EU in 2017 (European Environmental Agency, 2019); https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/quality-and-greenhouse-gas-intensities-1

  65. de Figueiredo, E. B., Panosso, A. R., Romão, R. & La Scala, N.Jr. Greenhouse gas emission associated with sugar production in southern Brazil. Carbon Balance Manag. 5, 3 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  66. Rein, P. W. The carbon footprint of sugar. Sugar Ind. 135, 427–434 (2010).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  67. IPCC 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IGES, 2006).

Download references

Acknowledgements

The research received financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the ‘María de Maeztu’ Programme for Units of Excellence (CEX2019-000940-M) and from the European Union through an Advanced European Research Council Grant under the EU’s Horizon 2020 programme (grant agreement number 741087).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

L.C.K. and J.v.d.B. jointly designed the study and wrote the paper. L.C.K. performed the analysis.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Lewis C. King.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Sustainability thanks Saleh Mamun and Barry D. Solomon for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

King, L.C., van den Bergh, J. Sugar taxation for climate and sustainability goals. Nat Sustain 5, 899–905 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00934-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00934-4

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing