Class II HLA-DRB4 is a predictive biomarker for survival following immunotherapy in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are important treatment options for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). However, not all patients benefit from ICIs and can experience immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Limited understanding exists for germline determinants of ICI efficacy and toxicity, but Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) genes have emerged as a potential predictive biomarker. We performed HLA typing on 85 patients with mNSCLC, on ICI therapy and analyzed the impact of HLA Class II genotype on progression free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and irAEs. Most patients received pembrolizumab (83.5%). HLA-DRB4 genotype was seen in 34/85 (40%) and its presence correlated with improved OS in both univariate (p = 0.022; 26.3 months vs 10.2 months) and multivariate analysis (p = 0.011, HR 0.49, 95% CI [0.29, 0.85]). PFS did not reach significance (univariate, p = 0.12, 8.2 months vs 5.1 months). Eleven patients developed endocrine irAEs. HLA-DRB4 was the predominant genotype among these patients (9/11, 81.8%). Cumulative incidence of endocrine irAEs was higher in patients with HLA-DRB4 (p = 0.0139). Our study is the first to suggest that patients with metastatic NSCLC patients on ICI therapy with HLA-DRB4 genotype experience improved survival outcomes. Patients with HLA-DRB4 had the longest median OS (26.3 months). Additionally, we found a correlation between HLA-DRB4 and the occurrence of endocrine irAEs.

In the United States, lung cancer is the third most common cancer with over 236,700 new cases in 2022 and is the leading cause of cancer deaths, accounting for 24% of all cancer-related deaths 1 .Around 85% of lung cancer cases are non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) 2 .While surgery and stereotactic body radiotherapy are potentially curative for early stage disease, the majority of patients present with locally advanced or metastatic disease which is more refractory to treatment 3 .Historically, for patients with locally advanced disease, the five-year survival after chemoradiation was 32% 4 , and for patients with metastatic disease, the two-year survival after chemotherapy was 11% 5 .
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have considerably improved the outcomes of patients with all stages of lung cancer.The ICIs used in NSCLC target the programmed death 1 (PD-1) receptor, the programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1), or cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 (CTLA4).Neoadjuvant nivolumab (anti-PD-1) plus ipilimumab (anti-CTLA4) prior to surgical resection of Stage I/II NSCLC results in complete pathologic

Patients
The data on HLA genotypes was gathered from a larger prospective study that involved the collection of baseline tumor biopsies and blood samples in patients being treated with ICIs for metastatic NSCLC to identify biomarkers predictive of therapeutic response and toxicity.The study was conducted at the Veterans Administration, Ann Arbor Healthcare System (VAAAHS).Enrollment for the study began in November 2015 and ended in June 2022.Study eligibility for patients included diagnosis of metastatic NSCLC and initiation of ICI therapy.A total of 85 patients with clinical outcomes and complete HLA genotype data are available.All patients were reviewed for the development of any adverse event and both classification and grading were based on the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0 (CTCAE).Response assessment was performed using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors Version 1.1 (RECIST V1.1).Our study did not include an additional review of adverse events by independent investigators.

HLA genotyping data
HLA genotyping was completed via ScisGo HLA typing kits (Scisco Genetics, Seattle, WA).The full standardized protocol is available online 39 .DNA was extracted from patient blood and this was followed by genomic DNA quantification and library preparation using the ScisGo HLA Typing Kit.HLA genotypes of each patient were directly compared to each other and closely analyzed for similarities and the presence of HLA loci known to be associated with autoimmune endocrine disorders 40,41 .

Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics of the clinical and demographic data included mean, median, and range for numerical variables as well as percentages for categorical variables.Important clinical and demographic data included gender, race, histology, smoking history, performance status, and prior therapies.Progression free survival (PFS) was defined as time from ICI start to radiographic disease progression, defined by RECIST V1.1.Overall survival (OS) was defined as time from ICI start to death or date of last follow up.Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the PFS and OS functions, and log-rank test was used for the comparisons.Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between HLA-DRB4 and PFS/OS, adjusting for age, gender, race, stage, smoking history, and histology.To further study the association of irAE to survival, we included it as a time-varying covariate in the Cox model.The time-varying covariate had a value of 0 before the irAE and 1 after irAE; for patients who did not have irAE, this covariate had a value of 0 during the entire follow-up period.SAS (version 9.4) was used for the analyses and significance was defined by a two-tailed p-value < 0.05.To assess the association between HLA-DRB4 and the development of endocrine irAEs, cumulative incidence functions were used and significance was based on Gray's test.

Study approval
This clinical study was approved by the VA Ann Arbor Healthcare System institutional review board and ethics committee.Written informed consent was obtained from all patients.All research was performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations, including the Declaration of Helsinki.

Ethics approval
Approved by VA Ann Arbor Healthcare System institutional review board and ethics committee.

Consent to participate
Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

Overall treatment efficacy
The median follow-up time for all 85 patients was 42.8 months (IQR 23.7-63.6).The median PFS was 6.7 months (IQR 2.1-20.9)and median OS was 13.2 months (IQR 6.05-33.9).39/85 (45.9%) patients experienced durable clinical benefit, which was defined as a response or stable disease on therapy at ≥ 6 months.9 patients remained alive for ≥ 36 months.

HLA characteristics
We assessed the HLA genotype in all patients (see Supplementary Fig. 1

HLA-DRB4 allele variation
Allelic variation is an important determinant of HLA function 42 .To explore whether specific HLA-DRB4 subtypes were associated with ICI treatment tolerance, we examined these more closely.In total, 28

Correlation between HLA genotype and survival
Patients who carried HLA-DRB4 had improved OS at 26.3 months in comparison to 10.2 months in patients who did not carry HLA-DRB4 (p = 0.022) (Fig. 1A).However, PFS was not statistically different (p = 0.12; 8.2 months vs 5.1 months) (Fig. 1B).

Description of irAEs
Of the 85 patients identified, 11 developed endocrine irAEs (12.9%).Ten (90.9%) patients received pembrolizumab and 1 received durvalumab (9.1%).The most frequent toxicity grade was 1 (n = 5).Overall, patient clinical characteristics and demographics were similar between those who developed endocrine irAEs and those who did not (Table 1).Thyroiditis was the most common endocrine irAE (n = 5) followed by both thyroiditis and adrenal insufficiency (n = 3), adrenal insufficiency alone (n = 2), and diabetes (n = 1).No patients in this cohort experienced new onset hyperthyroidism or hypoparathyroidism.The median time from treatment start to development of endocrine irAE was 5.4 months (IQR 2.87).The management and impact of endocrine irAEs on patients is outlined in Table 2.

Association between HLA-DRB4 and irAEs
Patients were assessed for the cumulative incidence of endocrine irAEs over time based on HLA-DRB4.We found that patients who carry HLA-DRB4 were statistically more likely to develop endocrine irAEs compared to those who did not carry HLA-DRB4 (p = 0.0139 by Gray's test, Fig. 3).We also assessed the cumulative incidence of endocrine irAEs over time based on HLA-A*03 and there was no significant association (p = 0.

Discussion
Immunotherapy with ICI has significantly improved lung cancer outcomes.However, many patients derive limited benefit from ICI therapy and some patients experience toxicities ranging from mild to fulminant.There are many reasons for lack of benefit to ICIs.Preclinical and translational studies have identified primary and acquired mechanisms of resistance 44 including hepatic siphoning 45 , tumoral loss of HLA Class I 46 , T cell chemokine silencing 47 , and immunometabolic checkpoints 48 .In parallel, preclinical and translational studies have begun to identify potential cellular mediators of irAEs, including hepatitis 49 , thyroiditis 50 , and colitis 51 .Given the importance of antigen presentation to immune responses, studies are beginning to link HLA genotypes to ICI efficacy and toxicity.However, many of these studies have focused on HLA class I genotypes rather than HLA class II genotypes.Our study revealed a significant correlation between HLA-DRB4 and improved OS, on both univariable and multivariable analysis.To our knowledge, this is the first such report.Patients carrying HLA-DRB4 had the longest median OS of 26.3 months.We also explored the impact of DRB4 allelic variation on survival but did not find any significant differences between the allelic variations.It is important to note that our study was not powered to make definitive conclusions for allelic variations.Other studies have reported associations between MHC class II and ICI efficacy.Correale et al. 25 noted longer survival in patients who were heterozygous for HLA DRB1, and Yang et al. 30 noted increased expression of MHC class II was associated with improved survival.In their study, HLA-DMB, HLA-DOA, HLA-DPB1, and HLA-DMA were included in the top HLA genes related to outcomes.More recently, HLA-A*03 has been associated with inferior outcomes in patients receiving ICIs 28 .In our study, we did note a trend towards HLA-A*03 having worse survival outcomes, but it was not statistically significant.The lack of significance may be due to the small sample size of this study leading to inadequate power to detect a difference.Other groups have described an inverse correlation between loss of heterozygosity (LOH) for HLA Class I and II loci in tumors with survival.Schaafsma et al. 52 reported that any presence of Class I or II is protective and may result in improved activity from immune checkpoint inhibitors.Interestingly, presence of any Class I or Class II in the tumor bearing cells was associated with improved survival in this cohort of patients, derived from multiple datasets of patients on ICIs.Importantly, this study was based on somatic expression and not germline expression.In NSCLC, HLA LOH occurs in 40% of early-stage cancers and is enriched in metastatic tumors 22 .Advanced cancer patients that were heterozygous at all HLA class I loci had improved survival as compared to patients who were homozygous at any one locus 29 .Furthermore, Schaafsma et al. 52 observed significant increase in an HLA class II gene expression when comparing patients with and without clinical benefit in on-treatment samples as compared to pre-treatment samples, suggesting that on-treatment samples are more informative of clinical benefit when using HLA class II gene expression as an indicator of response.It is proposed that the activation of CD4+ T cells by HLA class II expression helps to initiate CD8+ T cells that consequently mount a successful antitumor immune response during ICI therapy 53 .Collectively, these data highlight the contribution of MHC class II mediated immune responses to therapeutic anti-tumor immune responses.
Secondarily, we found a significant association between HLA-DRB4 and incidence of endocrine irAEs.We found an overrepresentation of HLA-DRB4 in thirteen of the twenty patients with any degree of irAEs and nine of the eleven patients with endocrine irAEs.In comparison, only 40-50% of the general Caucasian population carry HLA-DRB4 43 .This observation has not been previously reported.Extensive genetic polymorphisms and high a degree of homology within the HLA locus make HLA typing challenging 43,54 .The exact mechanisms leading to the development of irAEs are not clear, however there have been translational studies have implicated autoreactive T cells, autoantibodies, and pro-inflammatory cytokines 55 .The blockade of checkpoints like PD-1 allows T-cells to react against self-antigens presented by HLA, and this in turn can led to inflammatory damage to normal organ tissue where these checkpoints are normally found 56 .HLA-DRB4 has been linked to a number of autoimmune diseases, including autoimmune hepatitis 57 , type 1 diabetes 58,59 , autoimmune myocarditis 60 , anti-LG1 encephalitis 61 , rheumatoid arthritis 62 , and juvenile idiopathic arthritis 63 .Notably, there are multiple reports of a significant association between HLA-DRB4 and development of Hashimoto's Thyroiditis [64][65][66] .This finding demonstrates potential similarities between irAEs and autoimmune diseases, suggesting that certain HLA alleles may predispose to endocrine irAEs.Ongoing challenges with identifying a specific allele associated with development of disease include the MHC region having the highest gene density in the human genome, extended haplotypes having other plausible candidate genes, and associated diseases not presenting in a Mendelian inheritance pattern.Further investigation with family studies, a larger cohort, and more diverse population are necessary to explore these challenges.Additionally, future studies should assess the impact of linkage disequilibrium with stratification of HLA haplotypes.
Both retrospective and prospective studies have noted an association between development of irAEs and response to ICI therapy 67 .In one study describing patients with NSCLC treated with nivolumab, it was found that the median OS for patients who developed irAEs was significantly higher compared to those who did not develop irAE 68 .These findings have been confirmed in post hoc analyses from clinical trials as well as in prospective cohort studies 69 .Unlike in previous studies 70 , we did not find an association between development of endocrine irAEs and survival.Notably, patients in our study developed endocrine irAEs later in their treatment course with a median time to onset of 5.4 months.Overall, these studies highlight the significant linkage between immunotherapy efficacy and toxicity.
This study has several important limitations.While prospective, the study was not powered to detect survival differences between HLA-DRB4 allele subtypes and was not able to evaluate LOH in the HLA-DRB4 locus.Secondly, this is a single institution study with predominantly Caucasian male patients.Multi-institutional studies with more diverse patient populations and a larger cohort of patients will be needed.On treatment biopsies were not available, limiting insights into the cellular and molecular mechanisms through which HLA-DRB4 may contribute to immunotherapy efficacy and toxicity.Finally, the toxicity rate was overall relatively low, possibly secondary to predominately single agent ICI utilization.
In conclusion, our study is the first to report that HLA-DRB4 is associated with improved overall survival in metastatic NSCLC patients receiving ICI.We also found that HLA-DRB4 was associated with an increased likelihood of developing endocrine irAEs in patients receiving ICI.However, our study was small and future larger studies are needed to validate our findings of HLA-DRB4 as a predictive marker for survival and development of endocrine irAEs.Additionally, mechanistic studies aimed at understanding if there are conserved antigens presented by HLA-DRB4 that contribute to both irAE and anti-tumor immunity are needed.

Among the 11 Figure 1 .
Figure 1.Kaplan Meier Analysis of Survival in Patients Stratified by HLA-DRB4 Status (A) Improved overall survival in patients carrying HLA-DRB4.(B) No change in progression free survival with HLA-DRB4.N = HLA-DRB4 not carried, Y = HLA-DRB4 carried.

Figure 2 .
Figure 2. Comparison of HLA class I and II genotypes between Patients with and without Endocrine irAEs.

Table 1 .
Patient demographics and clinical characteristics.
Pts w/o Endocrine irAEs (n = 74) Pts w/Endocrine irAEs (n = 11) n = 3).Two out of the 34 patients carrying HLA-DRB4 were homozygous with one of these patients developing endocrine irAEs.The remaining patients did not carry HLA-DRB4 as the second allele (n = 32).
68 by Gray's test).Patients carrying both HLA-DPA1*01 and HLA-DRB4 did not have an increased likelihood of developing endocrine irAEs (p = 0.20 by Gray's test).Similarly, carrying both HLA-DRB4 and DRB1*04 did not correlate with increased incidence of endocrine irAEs (p = 0.60 by Gray's test) nor did carrying both HLA-DRB4 and DRB1*07 (p = 0.36 by Gray's test).Additional results of the cumulative incidence of endocrine irAEs and other HLA types are available in Supplementary Table2.

Table 3 .
Correlation of HLA-DRB4 presence in Patients with and without Endocrine irAEs and Other irAEs.Significant values are in bold.