Figure 3 | Scientific Reports

Figure 3

From: Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe

Figure 3

Performance metrics for predicting low production sugar beet events for areas with AUC > 0.7 at six lead times (A to F). Hit Rate (HR) is the probability of low production occurrences that were correctly predicted; Positive Predictive Value (PPV) index represents the probability of FFT to detect true low production sugar beet events over all low production (including False Alarms); False Alarm Rate (FAR) is the probability of a false low production occurrence. Regions without predictive skill (AUC < 0.7) are shown in grey. The FAR is cut off at <40% because in more than 90% of the NUTS2 regions the results are below this threshold.

Back to article page