Figure 3 | Scientific Reports

Figure 3

From: Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States

Figure 3

The margin of error within a single Bayesian mechanistic model for Zika virus, applied to minimum (left) and maximum (right) monthly temperatures. (a) 100 outbreak simulations for 97.5% (blue), 50% (red), and 2.5% (black) confidence intervals. (bf) The number of months each county is predicted to be suitable for Zika virus transmission (R0 > 0) for 97.5% (b,c), 50% (d,e), and 2.5% (f,g) scenarios. Maps were made in R 3.3.268 (https://www.R-project.org), using U.S. Census shapefiles.

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