Figure 3 | Scientific Reports

Figure 3

From: An ecological and digital epidemiology analysis on the role of human behavior on the 2014 Chikungunya outbreak in Martinique

Figure 3

Match between estimated monthly epidemiological data (black, shaded grey area shows the confidence interval based on a Gaussian distribution) and the most parsimonious mathematical model including mosquito abundance and expressed need for protection on Twitter (red line). Estimated transmission parameters are x0 = 3.76 10–4, x1 = 0.295, x2 = 0.644 and τ = −1. See Table 1 for model selection details.