The inset map displays the cumulative deaths under the plausible reference scenario on 28 February 2021. A light-yellow background separates the observed and predicted part of the time series, before and after 22 September 2020. The dashed vertical line identifies 3 November 2020. Solid lines represent boundary scenarios and dashed lines represent derivative scenarios. Numbers are the means and UIs for the plausible reference scenario on the highlighted dates. An asterisk indicates states with population centers exceeding 2 million persons. UIs are shown for only the plausible reference scenario.