Extended Data Fig. 5: Posterior distributions for Beijing, Shanghai, South Korea, and Lombardy. | Nature Medicine

Extended Data Fig. 5: Posterior distributions for Beijing, Shanghai, South Korea, and Lombardy.

From: Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics

Extended Data Fig. 5

Prior and posterior distributions for the epidemics in a, Beijing and Shanghai, b, South Korea and c, Lombardy using the ‘consensus’ fit for age-specific clinical fraction and assuming subclinical infections are 50% as infectious as clinical infections (see Fig. 2c, main text). For (a), times are in days after December 1st, 2019; for (b) and (c), times are in days after January 1st, 2019. Note, seed_d is the inferred duration of the seeding event. See also Supplementary Table 4.

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