Extended Data Fig. 1: Posterior distributions for Wuhan. | Nature Medicine

Extended Data Fig. 1: Posterior distributions for Wuhan.

From: Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics

Extended Data Fig. 1

Prior distributions (gray dotted lines) and posterior distributions (colored histograms) for model parameters fitting to the early epidemic in Wuhan (Fig. 1, main text); seed_start is measured in days after November 1st, 2019. a, Model 1 (age-varying contact patterns and susceptibility); b, Model 2 (age-varying contact patterns and clinical fraction); c, Model 3 (age-varying contact patterns only). See also Supplementary Table 4.

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