eLife https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.48901 (2019).

Immunological memory can develop even in the absence of overt infections; however, the nature and timing of signals that drive T cells to become either central memory (TCM) or effector (TEM) cells is unclear. Seddon and colleagues apply mathematical modeling based on quantitative comparisons of CD4+ T cells from conventionally housed mice (relatively ‘dirty’), ventilated-cage-housed mice, and in some cases germ-free mice (the latter two being relatively free of environmental antigens), to investigate memory formation. Modeling suggests that memory cells develop serially from naive to TCM to TEM cells rather than naive cells directly to TEM cells. The level of ‘dirtiness’ increases the size of the memory pool during an early-life expansion, but by adulthood the rates of memory cell formation and turnover are equivalent in the different groups and therefore largely controlled independently of the microbial environment.