Extended Data Fig. 4: Reduced maximum occupancy versus uniform reduction reopening. | Nature

Extended Data Fig. 4: Reduced maximum occupancy versus uniform reduction reopening.

From: Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening

Extended Data Fig. 4

In comparison to partially reopening by uniformly reducing visits, the reduced maximum occupancy strategy—which disproportionately targets POIs during their most risky high-density periods—always results in a smaller predicted increase in infections for the same number of visits. The y axis plots the relative difference between the predicted increase in cumulative infections (from 1 May to 30 May 2020) under the reduced occupancy strategy compared to the uniform reduction strategy. The shaded regions denote the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles across the sampled parameters and stochastic realizations.

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