Extended Data Table 2 Climate–conflict linkages to date and in the future

From: Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict

  1. Expert judgments about the state of knowledge on climate–conflict linkages are characterized for linkages judged to be most salient to date (see Fig. 3b) and emergent in the future. The available knowledge basis for each climate–conflict linkage is described through the level of evidence and the degree of agreement37, as in Extended Data Table 1. The assessment input relevant to these summarized entries draws from both the individual expert-elicitation interviews and the group deliberation (see Supplementary Table 2 for the extended judgments about current knowledge).