Extended Data Fig. 5: Robustness under alternative warming paths. | Nature

Extended Data Fig. 5: Robustness under alternative warming paths.

From: Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets

Extended Data Fig. 5

Benefit—in terms of per capita GDP (a) and cumulative GDP (b)—of 1.5 °C versus 2 °C by end of century under the baseline assumption that overall projected warming occurs linearly between the baseline year and 2099 (pink), versus projected benefit assuming that all projected warming occurs by 2049 and temperatures remain constant thereafter (blue). Both scenarios have the same projected global warming by the end of the century. For the same level of overall warming by the end of the century, scenarios with rapid initial warming worsen the overall impacts of climate change and increase the cumulative benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C versus 2 °C.

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