Sustainable Development Goals relevant to kidney health: an update on progress

Abstract

Globally, more than 5 million people die annually from lack of access to critical treatments for kidney disease — by 2040, chronic kidney disease is projected to be the fifth leading cause of death worldwide. Kidney diseases are particularly challenging to tackle because they are pathologically diverse and are often asymptomatic. As such, kidney disease is often diagnosed late, and the global burden of kidney disease continues to be underappreciated. When kidney disease is not detected and treated early, patient care requires specialized resources that drive up cost, place many people at risk of catastrophic health expenditure and pose high opportunity costs for health systems. Prevention of kidney disease is highly cost-effective but requires a multisectoral holistic approach. Each Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) has the potential to impact kidney disease risk or improve early diagnosis and treatment, and thus reduce the need for high-cost care. All countries have agreed to strive to achieve the SDGs, but progress is disjointed and uneven among and within countries. The six SDG Transformations framework can be used to examine SDGs with relevance to kidney health that require attention and reveal inter-linkages among the SDGs that should accelerate progress.

Key points

• Each Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) has the potential to improve kidney health and prevent kidney disease by improving the general health and well-being of individuals and societies, and by protecting the environment.

• Achievement of each SDG is interrelated to the achievement of multiple other SDGs; therefore, a multisectoral approach is required.

• The global burden of kidney disease has been relatively underestimated because of a lack of data.

• Structural violence and the social determinants of health have an important impact on kidney disease risk.

• Kidney disease is the leading global cause of catastrophic health expenditure, in part because of the high costs of kidney replacement therapy.

• Achievement of universal health coverage is the minimum requirement to ensure sustainable and affordable access to early detection and quality treatment of kidney disease and/or its risk factors, which should translate to a reduction in the burden of kidney failure in the future.

Introduction

“Globalization was purported to be the rising tide that would lift all boats. However, the reality has been that it lifted the big boats but tended to sink or swamp many smaller ones”, Margaret Chan, World Conference on Social Determinants of Health, 2011 (ref.¹).

Healthy people, living healthy lives on a healthy and peaceful planet — these are the ultimate objectives of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which were formally adopted by all United Nations member states in 2015, to be achieved by 2030 (ref.²). The SDGs highlight that achieving health and well-being for all requires a robust, multisectoral approach.

Kidney disease is often a consequence of, or is exacerbated by, the lack of access to primary health care, early diagnosis and essential medications. Consequently, kidney disease disproportionately affects vulnerable populations and exacerbates poverty. Kidney dysfunction is also associated with a high cost of care and is a major contributor to morbidity and mortality, although this effect is often obscured by its comorbid diseases³. Approximately 850 million people worldwide are estimated to have kidney disease, including chronic kidney disease (CKD), acute kidney injury (AKI) and kidney failure, for which patients require kidney replacement therapy (KRT) — dialysis or kidney transplantation — for survival⁴. Lack of access to dialysis has long been a reality in low-income countries (LICs), but its impact has now been dramatically highlighted even in high-income countries (HICs), owing to critical shortages of dialysis equipment and staff during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic⁵. CKD is the leading cause of catastrophic health expenditure (that is, out-of-pocket expenditure on health above 40% of household income that further impoverishes the household) worldwide⁶. Global mortality from kidney disease might be as high as 5 million annually, given the widespread lack or limited access to life-saving KRT^3,7,8. CKD is projected to become the world’s fifth leading cause of death by 2040 (ref.⁹).

The recognition that health is key to maximizing our individual capabilities underscores the importance of ensuring that the SDGs do not become perpetual targets but instead become realized goals, leaving no one behind¹⁰ (Box 1). In this Review, we outline the relevance of the SDGs for non-communicable diseases (NCDs)¹¹ as a whole, and for kidney health and disease in particular. In 2020, five years after the launch of the SDGs, with ten years still to come, we use the six SDG transformations as a framework to discuss current progress and remaining challenges. A more detailed discussion of how each SGD might impact the risk of specific kidney disorders is found elsewhere³.

Box 1 Visions on health from a Sustainable Development Goal perspective

Exploring how the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) impact health, including kidney health, requires a clear definition of sustainable health. Deploying sustainable strategies to achieve non-sustainable health is illogical.

Health can be defined from two perspectives — naturalist or normative. The naturalist approach defines disease as a biological deviation from normal. Clear as this definition might seem, it is fraught with questions such as “what is normal?” (for example, glomerular filtration rate in older individuals), “how much deviation is abnormal?” (for example, stunted growth) and “is the deviation relevant?” (for example, simple kidney cysts). By contrast, the normative approach defines disease as any physical or psychological condition that impacts well-being. Both of these approaches affect what might be considered sustainable health care. According to the naturalist approach, only interventions that divert the disease course towards normal — predominantly surgery and medication — count as improving health. By contrast, the normative approach affirms that all interventions that improve holistic well-being, including confronting and tackling racism, sustainable food production, and access to clean water and education, can improve health.

In practice, both streams are important and complementary for achieving sustainable health. The SDGs predominantly address the normative definition of health, but also encompass the naturalist one. Education and clean environment, for example, can improve the health of the population on both levels. Emphasis on the naturalist view in Western cultures is spurred by industry, technology and the ideal of the Makeable Human (that is, human enhancement). This vision begins with curing disease rather than maintaining health, and results in non-sustainable health-care systems, as highlighted by the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis. The normative view might be the most important for the prevention of non-communicable diseases, which require complex and costly approaches to care. Encompassing both, the SDGs can promote kidney health in the population and thereby improve the chances of sustainable access to adequate care for those who develop kidney disease.

Sustainable Development Goals

The SDGs succeeded the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), which were in place from 2000 to 2015 (ref.¹²). The MDGs introduced a common goal of reducing poverty through improved governance and accountability. Global progress was achieved, with an estimated 21–29.7 million lives saved and 471 million fewer people living in extreme poverty^13,14 (Supplementary Table 1). Weaknesses of the MDGs included the focus on outcomes, rather than on systematic strengthening of the processes required to achieve those outcomes, and insufficient focus on addressing structural risk factors and achieving social justice¹⁵. The MDGs focused primarily on ‘priority’ needs of ‘developing countries’, relying heavily on external development aid. Narrow health targets led to the development of disease-specific vertical programmes (for HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria), and maternal and child health. These programmes achieved gains but risked weakening health systems and diverted funds away from non-target programmes^16,17.

The SDGs evolved to incorporate economic, social and environmental dimensions, with an emphasis on five crucial areas — people (SDGs 1–6), planet (SDGS 13–15), prosperity (SDGs 7–12), peace (SDG 16) and partnerships (SDG 17)¹⁸ (Supplementary Table 2). The SDGs apply to all countries, emphasize the alignment of goals with country priorities, and focus on policy implementation and addressing climate change¹⁸. Context-specific ‘systems thinking’ is key to developing successful multisectoral strategies because many goals are interdependent. Of note, although all United Nations member states have signed on to the SDGs, achievement of the goals remains voluntary. The 17 goals comprise 169 targets, which require robust infrastructure and monitoring capacity^19,20. The overall SDG Index (range 0–100) is an aggregate of the performance of a country across all 17 goals; this performance currently ranges from 39.1 (Central African Republic) to 85.2 (Denmark)¹⁹. More granular SDG-specific indices help to identify where attention is required²⁰ (Table 1).

Table 1 SDG dashboard relevant for kidney health — South African example of selected indicators

Non-communicable diseases

Global epidemiological trends show that mortality from communicable diseases has significantly declined, but mortality due to NCDs has risen in the past few decades. The SDGs reflect this shift and acknowledge the need to tackle NCDs, which were overlooked in the MDGs^17,21. However, despite the recognition that NCDs are major contributors to global morbidity and mortality, action to tackle these diseases has remained slow¹¹. The COVID-19 pandemic is highlighting the artificiality of the dichotomy between communicable and non-communicable diseases, and has reinforced the need to “Build Back Better” and strengthen health systems in the aftermath of COVID-19 by incorporating NCDs into health systems planning²² (Box 2).

NCDs require complex, multi-level and horizontal approaches to diagnosis and management, functioning primary health-care and referral systems, and long timelines to measure progress²¹. Given the need for long-term sustainability, NCD programmes should be designed and funded by national governments. Since the launch of the NCD Action Plan, following the first UN high-level meeting on NCDs in 2008, global efforts have focused primarily on four NCDs — cardiovascular disease (CVD) and stroke, chronic respiratory disease, cancer and diabetes; mental health was added as a fifth NCD after the third high-level meeting on NCDs in 2018 (ref.¹¹). Kidney disease has been neglected, in part because the burden has not been recognized (owing to limited awareness and infrastructure for diagnosis), and because of the perception that (late-stage) kidney disease is too expensive to treat in LICs^7,23,24.

Box 2 Structural violence, COVID-19 and racism

The concept of structural violence was defined by Galtung in 1969 as the product of the avoidable failure to meet basic human needs¹⁸⁶. Farmer and Marmot have since championed this concept, highlighting how poverty, disenfranchisement, lack of opportunity and the social gradient exacerbate inequities and make health an insurmountable challenge for many^187,188,189.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic⁵ and the concurrent global campaign against racism, led by the Black Lives Matter movement, urgently highlight the reality of this concept. An individual’s legacy of racism and discrimination shapes their vulnerability. The individuals most susceptible to infection and severe illness from COVID-19 are those least able to defend themselves from it — individuals whose communities have been subjected to structural violence for decades and centuries^190,191,192. Patients with pre-existing comorbidities, including kidney disease, which is often exacerbated by structural inequities, are at a high risk of death from COVID-19 (ref.¹⁹³). Not only does COVID-19 represent an immediate threat to individual health, but the COVID-19 pandemic will indirectly affect future health by exacerbating poverty, hunger and inequality, disrupting education, diverting health-care resources away from other health conditions, and creating micro-economies where profiteering can flourish. However, this crisis should also lead to innovation, including approaches to improving pandemic preparedness and creating stronger health-care systems, as well as addressing structural violence, enhancing solidarity and understanding of end-of-life decision making. The WHO “Build Back Better” campaign²² highlights the necessity to carefully consider non-communicable diseases as health-care systems restructure post-pandemic.

The resource constraints experienced by high-income countries owing to the COVID-19 pandemic — for example, the need to ration medical supplies and equipment, which would typically be a dilemma reserved for LICs — as well as the widespread account of social injustices in the media, have boosted global awareness of social determinants of health. For nephrology professionals worldwide, this crisis is unfortunately familiar, as even under non-pandemic circumstances, kidney disease serves as a beacon of inequity, particularly in regions with limited resources. Now is the time to acknowledge and address global inequities that impede kidney health.

SDGs and kidney health

As mentioned earlier, the MDGs delivered some successes, including global reductions in maternal, neonatal and child mortality, improved vaccine coverage, reduced the burden of HIV, malaria and tuberculosis, and reduced tobacco consumption^2,25 (Supplementary Table 1). These successes should positively impact kidney health²⁶, although important ground is being lost in the current COVID-19 pandemic. The risk of premature death (that is, death of individuals aged 30–70 years) from NCDs has declined slightly overall, but progress is uneven. Between 1990 and 2017, global age-standardized mortality (ASM; deaths per 100,000 population) for CVD, cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease declined by 30.4% (from 334.7 to 233.1), 14.9% (from 142.5 to 121.2) and 41.3% (from 89.5 to 51.4), respectively. However, CKD ASM has remained essentially unchanged — increasing from 15.5 in 1990 to 15.9 in 2017 (refs^27,28). Of note, limited access to KRT is contributing to a rising fraction of deaths attributed to CKD in low-income settings²⁷. Given the broad spectrum of physical and structural factors that affect the risk of kidney disease, all SDGs are relevant to kidney health³ (Table 2).

Table 2 Relevance of the six SDG transformations for global kidney health

Progress within SDG transformations

No country is on track to achieve all SDGs¹⁹. Even in high-performing HICs, persistent inequities and insufficient attention to the environment persist (Supplementary Table 2). The Sustainable Development Report of 2019 suggested that the SDGs can be better operationalized through six SDG transformations rather than a vertical focus on individual goals¹⁹ (Table 2). These transformations bring together multiple SDGs, each spanning multiple transformations, which synergize towards the overall goal of leaving no one behind¹⁹. Ministries of health should contribute to each transformation. The potential for progress towards better kidney health is discussed below using this framework, which illustrates the interconnectedness of many SDGs.

Education, gender and inequality

This transformation, which comprises SDGs 1, 5, 7–10, 12–15 and 17, brings together ministries overseeing education, technology, social development and family affairs to positively impact early childhood development, education and social protection across the life course. This transformation will improve kidney health by ensuring a healthier start in life, improving equity and access to health promotion and care.

Education

Quality education (SDG 4) is fundamental to reducing inequality and poverty, and empowers people to live healthier lives²⁵. Since the launch of the MDGs, the proportion of children enrolled in primary education has increased from 83% to 91%²⁵ (Supplementary Tables 1 and 2). This portends good news, as children of mothers who complete primary school are more likely to survive and education level positively correlates with health status; however, overall progress masks deepening inequities. In LICs, millions of children (more girls than boys) remain out of school, hundreds of millions of adults (predominantly women) remain illiterate, and many schools have neither adequately trained teachers, nor access to computers or the internet². For numerous children, school is also a primary source of daily nutrition²⁹. Concerningly, during the COVID-19 pandemic, reduced access to education has disproportionately affected students with limited financial resources²⁶.

Education is also key for health literacy, which enhances the capacity of an individual to make healthy choices³⁰. Low health literacy is common in patients with kidney disease and has been associated with treatment failure and poor health outcomes, including death^30,31. Education is also necessary to support the development of a future skilled workforce.

The potential benefits of enhanced professional and public education regarding kidney disease — for example, raising kidney health awareness and improving knowledge about risks of nephrotoxic medications — illustrate the importance of SDG4 for global kidney health. In Mexico, innovative technologies that combine community-based and household-based education with ongoing systematic professional education enabled earlier detection of CKD and improved outcomes³². Similarly, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh are improving kidney health awareness and knowledge through multidisciplinary NCD care models built around community engagement, group counselling, capacity building and enhanced patient surveillance^33,34,35,36.

In HICs, team-based care that includes clinical pharmacists and the use of automated electronic health records that report estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have enhanced awareness of CKD and AKI, facilitated new patient surveillance efforts and reduced the number of adverse events caused by inappropriate drug dosing or the use nephrotoxic medications^{30,37,38,39,40}. Such innovations can be rapidly implemented in HICs but the risk from nephrotoxic preparations is highest in LICs and middle-income countries (MICs)⁴¹, where it mostly affects young, otherwise healthy individuals⁴². In many lower-middle-income countries (LMICs), traditional and herbal medicines are the principal form of health care⁴². In India and China, the World Health Organization (WHO) has advocated for an ‘integrative’ approach that combines allopathic medicine (that is, conventional medicine) with Ayurvedic medicine and traditional Chinese medicine. However, substantial work is needed to engage with traditional healers and communities, and to better understand potential synergies and risks^43,44.

Women and children’s health in the context of gender and inequality

Gender equality (SDG 5) not only improves the health of women and children, but promotes economic growth and social change^25,45. Access to primary school education for girls has improved, and rates of child marriage and female genital mutilation have decreased since 2000, but gender inequalities remain pervasive^25,46. Women and girls remain at the greatest risk of poverty, food insecurity, violence, limited access to secondary education, unpaid or underpaid work, hazardous exposures and trafficking⁴⁷. These risks have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, women hold fewer leadership positions, have fewer assets and, despite being important contributors to the health-care workforce, remain underrecognized contributors to the health and wealth of countries⁴⁶.

In many countries, women and children have reduced access to health care, in part owing to economic disenfranchisement, needing permission from males to seek care and having household responsibilities that may be difficult to delegate^46,48. The problem is not limited to accessing health centres — essential medicines required for women and children (for example, to treat obstetric complications or antibiotics) are often not available^49,50. The maternal mortality ratio (that is, maternal deaths per 100,000 live births) is the most inequitably distributed health indicator — 1 woman dies for every 202 live births in LICs compared with 1 in 5,900 in HICs⁵¹. These deaths can be prevented by optimizing the health of girls and women, improving access to contraception, birth spacing and providing high-quality ante-natal and peri-partum care⁵¹. Maternal mortality has decreased globally by 37% since 2000, likely reflecting more skilled birth attendance, but the incidence of pregnancy-related complications such as pre-eclampsia has not improved, which creates additional morbidities among women survivors, including hypertension and CKD^25,52.

In 2015, 77% of deaths in women were attributable to NCDs⁵³. Gender-related inequities place women at risk of kidney disease. Adolescent girls in sub-Saharan Africa are three times more likely than adolescent boys to become infected with HIV, an important risk factor for kidney disease. Overall, adolescent birth rates have declined but remain eight times higher in LICs compared with HICs⁵¹. Adolescent pregnancies are associated with higher rates of pre-eclampsia, preterm birth and low birthweight. These pregnancy outcomes are influenced by maternal education, pre-pregnancy health and nutrition, and are associated with an increase in the future risk of hypertension and CKD in both the mother and the child⁵⁴. Globally, the proportion of women receiving KRT is also lower than that of men, in part because women have reduced access to care and ability to pay^55,56. Further, women receiving dialysis experience disproportionately worse outcomes, including cardiovascular death, than men^27,57. Women are also globally more likely to be kidney donors and are sometimes pressured into organ donation by patriarchal families^58,59.

Children and adolescents are particularly vulnerable to the negative effects of social determinants of health, which determine their lifelong health and capabilities, and those of subsequent generations⁶⁰ (Fig. 1). The SDGs represent a paradigm shift that highlights dimensions of children’s rights beyond health — the right to survive and thrive, learn, be protected from violence and exploitation, live in safe and clean environments, and have a fair chance in life^60,61. Globally, in 2017, 168 million children were engaged in child labour, including slavery, which robs them of their childhoods and exposes them to health risks⁶².

Fig. 1: Multiple structural factors influence kidney health in children.

Conditions experienced during fetal life and early childhood affect the physical and psychosocial development of children. The effects of these conditions persist throughout the life course and influence an individual’s future health and that of their children. Achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is urgent to enable each child to maximize their own capabilities and to improve the health of future generations. Poverty has an overarching impact on child health and well-being. Children require a safe home and school environment, access to healthy food, good education, freedom from forced labour and access to recreational time and space to thrive and grow up healthy. Moreover, healthy and educated mothers have healthier children.

Global inequities

Many countries have yet to take practical steps towards reducing inequality within and among countries (SDG 10)¹⁹, which translates into inequitable access to electricity, safe water and sanitation, public transport, internet, and other amenities and services that facilitate life in modern society². The stark inequities in outcomes and vulnerabilities observed in many countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the structural violence impelling the Black Lives Matter movement have forced a global reckoning about how Black populations especially, but also Indigenous and other ‘minority’ populations, have been consistently subjected to racism, oppression and colonialism, which have systematically limited their capabilities and negatively affected their health⁶³ (Box 2). Such structural inequities lead to poverty, unemployment, limited education and high mortality²⁵. The burden of CKD is greater among minority ethnic groups and disadvantaged communities in all countries^30,64,65. The association between socioeconomic status and CKD is in part mediated by high-risk health-related behaviours, increased prevalence of comorbidities and reduced access to health care, which are often entrenched owing to racism and discrimination experienced throughout the life course⁶⁶.

Country-level capacity for kidney care varies greatly around the world^67,68. Between 2013 and 2018, 40% and 55% of countries had fewer than 10 doctors and 40 nurses per 10,000 persons, respectively². Several regions still lack access to basic diagnostics, universal access to primary health care and sustainable technologies for the provision of KRT, especially across LICs (Fig. 2). Limited services for the diagnosis, management and monitoring of CKD at the primary health care level are especially evident in LICs in Africa, where only 12% of the population has routine access to diagnostic tests for kidney disease, including routine blood and urine tests⁶⁷ (Fig.2).

Fig. 2: Availability of resources to detect kidney disease at primary, secondary or tertiary care levels across country income categories.

Spider diagrams illustrating the relative availability of services required to screen for and detect kidney disease at primary (a) and secondary or tertiary (b) care levels. Each concentric dodecagon reflects the proportion of countries within a specific income bracket (line colour) in which the given screening and/or diagnostic tool was available, beginning with 0% in the centre and 100% as the outermost line. Some important resources such as reporting of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and quantification of urinary protein were absent in low-income countries, which demonstrates marked global inequities in access to basic quality screening for kidney disease. UACR, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio; UPCR, urinary protein-to-creatinine ratio; HbA_1c, glycated haemoglobin. Adapted from ref.¹⁸⁵, Elsevier.

In 2017, a global survey reported that haemodialysis was available in over 90% of countries⁶⁸. However, access to and distribution of KRT across nations remains highly inequitable and is often dependent on out-of-pocket expenditure and access to private facilities in LICs. Chronic peritoneal dialysis was available in over 90% of upper-middle-income countries and HICs, in contrast to 64% of LMICs and 35% of LICs⁶⁸. Acute peritoneal dialysis had the lowest availability globally. Over 90% of upper-middle-income countries and HICs offered kidney transplantation, with over 85% of these countries reporting both living and deceased donor programmes. LICs had the lowest availability of kidney transplantation (12%), which was predominantly living donor transplantation⁶⁸. Inequalities in individual access to the spectrum of kidney care persist and are often associated with ethnicity, socioeconomic status and geography in HICs, and weak health systems, inadequate infrastructure, geography and reliance on out-of-pocket payments in LICs^30,69.

Health, well-being and demography

This transformation (SGDs 1–5, 8, 10) falls largely under the ministry of health but requires reliable data collection and reporting. Kidney health should be positively impacted through health promotion, identification of risk factors and disease burdens, achievement of universal health coverage (UHC) and delivery of quality health care.

Poverty

Poverty (SDG 1) impacts how and where individuals live, their food choices, access to education, employment opportunities, access to technology and innovations, and their knowledge and exercise of their rights⁷⁰. The proportion of people living in extreme poverty (that is, living on <US$1.90 a day) declined from 36% in 1990 to 8.6% in 2018; however, the rate of decline has slowed². Importantly, 8% of employed people live below the poverty line, which reflects unjust working conditions. More women than men live in poverty, and poverty rates are higher in rural and conflict-affected areas. Globally, 55% of people have no access to social protection, with wide disparities between HICs and LICs (14% in Europe versus 87% in sub-Saharan Africa)².

Poverty impacts three major determinants of health — access to health care, environmental exposures and health behaviour — all of which contribute to health disparities⁴¹. Major contributors to disparities in self-assessed health include inequities in social protection, employment, knowledge, education, housing and infrastructure⁷¹. Of note, all of these factors are being negatively impacted by job losses and lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic, which will have long-term consequences for health and well-being.

Out-of-pocket costs associated with seeking health care present major barriers to care and contribute to late presentation and increased mortality⁷². Among 8.9 million persons with CKD from ten countries, lack of health insurance or home ownership were associated with poor health outcomes⁵⁷. Individuals with chronic diseases are especially vulnerable to catastrophic health expenditure because of ongoing costs and the inability to work^65,73. Among 2,914 individuals from 14 countries (11 HICs, three MICs), the odds of catastrophic health expenditure increased with increasing stage of CKD, and were 78% higher for patients on dialysis compared with those with moderate CKD⁷⁴. Transplantation reduced catastrophic health expenditure by half compared with dialysis.

An estimated 100 million people per year are impoverished because of health-care costs⁵¹. Families with limited financial resources must make tough choices and often reduce food consumption, limit education or sell assets to meet medical debts; even a single episode of diarrhoea might lead to unaffordable health expenses^75,76. One WHO target is for 1 billion more people to gain UHC by 2023 (SDG 3); currently, the UHC service coverage index (range 0–100) varies from 40 in LICs to 80 in HICs⁵¹. Although this WHO target is a laudable aspiration, UHC is fraught with logistical and equity challenges, and should not only ensure access to health care but also ensure that health outcomes improve⁷⁷. Otherwise, UHC might exacerbate inequities if availability does not equate to access and if the quality of care is poor⁷⁸.

Quality health care

An analysis of amenable deaths in 137 countries revealed that 15.6 million excess deaths occurred in LMICs in 2016 (ref.⁷⁹). Of these, 7 million could have been prevented through public health interventions. Of the remaining 8.6 million, 3.6 million were attributed to non-use of health-care services but, crucially, 5 million were attributed to poor-quality care⁷⁹. In these cases, precious family resources were spent to no avail. The concept of ‘effective coverage’ has been proposed as a proxy for quality and a means of estimating the proportion of people in need of an intervention who actually achieve the desired health outcome⁸⁰. The infrastructure necessary to monitor progress towards the SDGs should enable regular tracking of such data to inform improvements in coverage and quality. Ironically, many resources in HICs are consumed by profit-driven interventions that do not improve health status. Tracking such over-treatment should also be incorporated into quality metrics.

Quality of care for kidney health requires well-trained primary health-care workers who are aware of kidney disease risk. They must provide safe, reliable and acceptable patient-centred services, and must be able to identify patients who require timely referral for management or planning of KRT. At secondary and tertiary levels, health-care workers should be equipped with infrastructure to provide care for patients with kidney disease, including biopsies, medications, KRT and supportive care. An important component of quality care is quality assurance, which requires monitoring and evaluation of all aspects of service delivery. For example, treating patients with kidney failure with twice-weekly instead of thrice-weekly haemodialysist has been proposed as a means of providing dialysis to more people, but the clinical outcomes of patients must be monitored to ensure safety^69,81. Similarly, disease registries might permit identification of at-risk populations and hot spots of kidney disease, as well as guide targeted interventions and enable monitoring of their impact⁸².

Systematic screening of high-risk individuals could lead to early disease detection and permit intervention with cheap therapies to manage risk factors and slow the progression of CKD^83,84. Given the synergies between the management of CKD and that of hypertension, diabetes and CVD, integrated programmes for NCD control at primary care level would offer substantial benefit. Integration of awareness and screening for AKI and CKD in patients with infectious disease (for example, malaria, HIV, tuberculosis, diarrhoea, pneumonia, sepsis or hepatitis) or within maternal health programmes (to address, for example, pre-eclampsia, post-partum haemorrhage, low birthweight or preterm birth) would also reduce the burden of kidney disease. Importantly, expensive, technically demanding interventions such as KRT pose a considerable challenge to UHC. KRT requires disproportionately high expenditure for the benefit of a relatively small proportion of the population and prevention must therefore be prioritized, although the needs of patients who already have kidney disease cannot be overlooked^27,85,86.

Energy, decarbonization and industry

This transformation (SDGs 1–16) requires engagement between industry and ministries of environment, labour, transport, energy and commerce. Sustainable investments in infrastructure and industry are required to increase energy efficiency and reduce pollution. This transformation will indirectly improve kidney health by ensuring a healthier environment, safer places to live and work, and a healthier planet. Kidney care might also be directly impacted through innovations to develop greener KRT.

Air pollution

Energy production is a major contributor to climate change and generates 60% of greenhouse gases²⁵. Households and the food sector consume 29% and 30% of global energy, and generate 21% and 22% of carbon dioxide emissions, respectively²⁵. SDG7 focuses on access to affordable and clean energy. International financing to encourage the development of renewable energy in LICs almost tripled between 2009 and 2019; by contrast, investments in HICs increased by 38%⁸⁷. Energy efficiency is also increasing²⁵. The proportion of people with access to electricity has increased from 78% in 2000 to 89% in 2017; however, 840 million people still have no access to electricity²⁵. Access to electricity reduces the use of biofuels for cooking and exposure to household air pollution as a risk factor for CKD and other NCDs.

Current data suggest that 17–20% of the global CKD burden might be attributable, in part, to air pollution⁸⁸, which includes both ambient and indoor air pollution (SDG 11). Ambient fine particulate matter air pollution (PM_2.5) is associated with increased risk of and progression of CKD^89,90. Other pollutants, including ambient coarse particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide and carbon monoxide are also associated with risk of CKD and kidney failure⁹¹.

ASM associated with household and ambient air pollution ranges from 17.8 in HICs to 131.7 in LICs and LMICs⁵¹. In 2017, 47% of the global population was exposed to household air pollution from the use of solid fuels (such as coal, wood, charcoal and dung) for cooking⁹² and 60% of deaths attributed to indoor pollution occur in women²⁵. India has successfully reduced its proportion of households cooking with solid fuels by 16% by prompting a shift to liquefied petroleum⁹².

Population-weighted exposure to air pollution has increased as urban migration has accelerated. In 2017, 92% of the world’s population lived in areas that exceeded the WHO Air Quality Guideline for healthy air⁹². Multisectoral action is urgently needed to galvanize efforts to reduce exposure to ambient and indoor air pollution⁹³. In the USA, following the introduction of the Clean Air Act, PM_2.5 levels have fallen dramatically over the past 30 years⁹⁴. Similarly, China set benchmark air quality standards in 2013 and implemented programmes to reduce reliance on coal, curb industrial emissions, limit the number of vehicles in some metropolitan areas and facilitate a transition to lower-emission energy systems, which led to the reduction of annual average PM_2.5 concentrations by one-third from 2013–2017 (refs^92,95). However, many regions still have very high levels of ambient and indoor air pollution, and a 2019 report suggests that levels of pollution currently considered safe might be hazardous⁹². Lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to reductions in air pollution, but these improvements are unlikely to be sustained⁹⁶.

Water pollution

Globally, summary exposure values for unsafe water dropped nearly 25% over the last three decades, although water quality has deteriorated in some countries⁹⁷. Water pollution is responsible for over 1.2 million deaths annually⁹⁷. Over 80% of waste water from human activity enters rivers or the sea without pollutant removal²⁵. Water contamination with pesticides, agricultural products, hydrocarbons, perfluorinated chemicals and heavy metals has been linked to various kidney diseases^98,99 and key relationships exist between water quality, sanitation and CKD (Box 3). Exposure to water contaminated with heavy metals (such as cadmium, lead, mercury or arsenic) leads to acute tubulo-interstitial disease and CKD. Exposure to water contaminated with agricultural chemicals (such as paraquat, glyphosate and organochlorines) also leads to tubular and glomerular injuries, which result in CKD and kidney failure^100,101,102.

Box 3 Water, sanitation and CKD in Jalisco, Mexico

Towns along Lake Chapala (Jalisco state, Mexico), especially Poncitlan, have a high prevalence of chronic kidney disease of unknown aetiology (CKDu). Kidney disease is more prevalent in adults from these communities than in those from other Jalisco municipalities — CKD, 20.1% versus 10.4%; proteinuria, 36.1% versus 11.0%. Similar findings were reported for children^194,195. Unsafe drinking water, poor sanitation and contamination of the lake and water wells are likely risk factors.

Lake Chapala is contaminated by pesticides, as well as industrial and household waste, because only 2 of 19 wastewater treatment plants located in the sub-basin of the lake are functional and their capacity is limited to treating organic matter^196,197. High mercury concentrations are present in fish from the lake and fish consumption is associated with high hair mercury concentrations in young women¹⁹⁸. Such contaminants likely contribute to CKDu¹⁹⁹. Pesticides are also widely used without protection and over 70% of children have tested positive for glyphosate in the urine²⁰⁰. A synergy between heavy metals and glyphosate might result in kidney damage²⁰¹. Additionally, the residues deposited in the soil might eventually contaminate water wells for human use^200,201,202.

Many households lack proper sanitation and tap water. Moreover, water wells are contaminated by springs containing high levels of arsenic and coliforms²⁰³. The incidence of waterborne disease and gastroenteritis is high in children and these illnesses are associated with a high mortality rate²⁰⁴. Associated recurrent episodes of AKI might also contribute to CKDu in this population.

Although measures have been approved by Jalisco’s Human Rights Commission and by the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights^197,205, no action has been taken to address the contamination of Lake Chapala or to provide safe drinking water and adequate sanitation to these communities, which might prevent CKD. The State response has been limited to the implementation of a CKD screening programme, the setting up of a CKD registry and the provision of nephrology care²⁰⁶.

Climate change

Climate change will be the most consequential health challenge of the twenty-first century (SDG 13). Climate change impacts health in numerous ways — leads to the emergence of new infectious pathogens with devastating consequences, increases infection risks and leads to a rise in snakebites — and many of these changes have important consequences for kidney health^103,104. Also, humans might adapt to a warming climate by increasing fat mass, which provides metabolic water as a putative protective mechanism against water shortage. Such adaptations might contribute to the obesity and diabetes epidemics¹⁰³. Recurring exposures to heat stress might also contribute to the epidemics of CKD of unknown aetiology in Latin America and South Asia¹⁰⁵. Working in high ambient temperatures without appropriate access to drinking water or breaks to empty the bladder can also damage the kidney¹⁰⁶.

In addition, climate change results in extreme weather events, which can provoke displacement and threaten food security. These effects afflict most profoundly individuals affected by illness and poverty, among whom people with kidney disease are highly vulnerable¹⁰⁷. By 2019, the Paris Climate Agreement had been ratified by 185 parties, offering hope that global collaboration at national levels will bring progress².

Sustainable industry

Countries and large companies are progressively adopting policies for sustainable consumption and production (SDG 12)²⁵. Delivering high-quality KRT requires extensive supply chains, logistics, technical expertise and, in the case of haemodialysis, water purification systems. Green nephrology initiatives are emerging in response to the need for innovation to improve the sustainability of KRT delivery — developing dialysis systems that are more energy-efficient and water-efficient could reduce energy and water consumption, and dialysis waste^108,109. Dialyzer re-use is frequent in low-income settings; this approach reduces costs and waste but requires knowledge and infrastructure to ensure safety¹¹⁰. Wearable kidneys and artificial kidneys are also being developed and tested, which may dramatically reduce waste and improve well-being¹¹¹. Kidney transplantation is the treatment for kidney failure that produces the least waste.

Sustainable food, land, water and oceans

Ministries of agriculture, forestry, natural resources and the environment will be key to achieving this transformation (SDGs 1–3, 5, 6, 8, 10–15). Healthier land and water environments will increase the sustainability of food, improve access to land for agriculture and shelter, and reduce encroachment on animal habitats, which can lead to new diseases. Kidney health should be directly positively impacted through improved maternal and child nutrition, and access to healthy and affordable food throughout the life course. Healthier forests and oceans will positively impact climate change.

Nutrition

Good nutrition (SDG 2) is highly relevant to meeting 12 of the SDGs and sustainable food production is central to ending world hunger. Globally, one third of children younger than 5 years have stunted growth, low weight for height (that is, wasting) or overweight, and half have hidden hunger¹¹². Factors contributing to the burden of wasting and stunting include later birth order, male gender, maternal illiteracy, maternal short stature, poor sanitation and water supply^113,114,115. Undernutrition and stunting also contribute to reduced performance at school and loss of economic productivity. Nutrition interventions to reduce childhood stunting (for example, supplementation or education) yield significant benefit in terms of increased future wages for men and women, and are highly cost-effective¹¹⁵. The global obesity pandemic is juxtaposed with the global burden of malnutrition and food insecurity. Worldwide, more than 2 billion people have overweight or obesity¹¹⁶. One in five children have overweight, up from one in ten two decades ago¹¹². One report found positive associations between rises in BMI and increasing annual gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, empowerment of women and urbanization¹¹⁷. The COVID-19 pandemic will likely contribute to worsening of both malnutrition and obesity, especially in children, owing to lockdowns and increasing poverty²⁶.

Nutrition has a major impact on kidney disease. Undernutrition contributes to poor pregnancy outcomes, low birthweight and child stunting, and increases the risk of infections such as those that cause diarrhoea and tuberculosis^54,112. Food insecurity is associated with an increased risk of CKD in adults, especially those in low socioeconomic groups, which reflects lack of access to the quality food necessary to reduce risks of hypertension and diabetes¹¹⁸. Overweight and obesity increase risks of the hypertension, diabetes, kidney stones and inflammation, and are also important risk factors for CKD¹¹⁹.

Tackling nutrition requires a broad approach to ensure that people have access to healthy and adequate food choices. This approach requires not only employment and economic growth, but also public health oversight of food composition and advertising, knowledge about healthy food, easily obtainable healthy food and healthy cities that promote safe physical activity⁸⁴. Population-level reductions in salt (for example, in the UK¹²⁰), sugar (for example, in Mexico¹²¹) and trans-fat intake (for example, in Costa Rica and New York City¹²²) have been successfully achieved in various societies. These changes have been associated with reductions in blood pressure and cardiovascular disease, and are projected to reduce rates of obesity and incident diabetes; they are also likely to reduce the burden of kidney disease^121,122,123. An analysis of the impact that a policy aimed at lowering salt consumption to 5 g per day had on hypertension in South Africa revealed that it was a cost-effective intervention that had a significant effect in reducing deaths due to cardiovascular disease and kidney failure¹²⁴. Importantly, the policy also significantly reduced catastrophic health expenditure, especially among the poorer quintiles¹²⁴.

Safe water

Access to safe drinking water (SDG 6) and safe sanitation has increased since 2000 (ref.²). However, in 2017, three of ten people remained without access to safe drinking water, six of ten without access to safe sanitation and two of five without basic handwashing facilities¹²⁵. One in four health centres lacked access to essential water services²⁵. Globally, in 2016, 69% of schools had basic drinking water, 66% had basic sanitation facilities and 53% had basic handwashing facilities¹²⁶. All of these statistics are especially concerning in 2020 in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, where hand hygiene is crucial to curbing transmission. Some countries have made considerable progress — in India, for example, almost all schools now have some facility for sanitation compared with 50% in 2000 (ref.¹²⁶) — but major inequalities remain¹²⁵. In 2017, in 51 of 82 countries, handwashing facilities with soap and water were twice as frequent among the wealthiest as among the poorest quintiles, although coverage gaps were narrowing between rural and urban areas¹²⁵. In 2016, crude death rates due to unsafe water, sanitation and hygiene in LICs were twice as high as in LMICs, and 145 times as high as in HICs⁵¹. Almost 1,000 children die daily from preventable diarrhoeal diseases; an unknown proportion of these deaths might be due to AKI²⁵. Diarrhoea is an important contributor to malnutrition and is also a major cause of catastrophic health expenditure^75,112. Improved water and sanitation policies can thus positively impact child health by reducing poverty, disease and stunting, and by improving educational opportunities and gender equity¹²⁷. Poverty-related factors such as infectious diseases secondary to poor sanitation, unsafe drinking water, environmental pollutants and high concentrations of disease-transmitting vectors, are all drivers of CKD in LICs¹²⁸ (Box 3).

Environment

Conservation and sustainable use of the world’s marine resources, sustainable management of forests and land, desertification mitigation strategies and preservation of biodiversity (SDGs 14, 15) relate to kidney health both directly and indirectly. For example, depletion of marine resources might accelerate the obesity epidemic as many coastal communities rely on marine resources as the primary source of caloric and protein supply. Jeopardizing this resource might force a transition to less nutritious and obesogenic food sources¹²⁹.

Sustainable cities and communities

This transformation (SDGs 1–16) requires collaboration across multiple ministries, especially transport, urban planning, water and the environment. Kidney health will be positively impacted in people living and working under safe, less crowded and less stressful conditions, in walkable cities, with green recreational areas, good public transport, good local governance and freedom from discrimination.

Employment

Employment and decent work conditions are essential for good health and sustainable communities (SDG 8). Economic growth is both essential for and a consequence of labour and human activity. Labour productivity (real GDP per capita) has increased by 2.1% from 2017 to 2018 (ref.²⁵). Global unemployment has declined from 6.4% in 2000 to 5.7% in 2017, although ~8% of workers live in poverty and 61% work in the informal sector, where they have little social protection or control over employment conditions²⁵. In 2018, one in five global youth (15–24 years of age; 30% of women and 13% of men) were not working, studying or training². Importantly, the COVID-19 pandemic has not only increased unemployment but also highlighted the vulnerability of individuals with low-paying jobs, many of whom perform jobs essential to society. These individuals, who are often women and from minority ethnic groups, cannot afford to remain locked down and are therefore at increased risk of exposure to infection¹³⁰. Further inequities are evidenced by the global gender pay gap — pay remains 12% higher for men and this gap rises to 20% in professional occupations²⁵. In LMICs, AKI and CKD disproportionately affect young, economically productive people. Premature mortality from lack of access to KRT can therefore also reduce the labour force and drive household poverty; kidney disease prevention would mitigate this impact^6,131.

Sustainability and innovation

The real GDP growth rate in LMICs had increased from 4.8% in 2017 to 5.7% in early 2020, but remains below the 7% projected in the 2030 Agenda and will be further hampered by the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic¹³². Over 80% of the world’s population live in LICs and LMICs but these countries account for only 20% of global health spending¹³³. Importantly, health spending does not necessarily equate with quality health care. To attain the SDGs, 75% of health investment should be allocated to the health system — including employment of health-care workers, and building and operating clinics, hospitals and laboratories — and 25% to prevention or treatment of specific diseases, or outreach to vulnerable communities¹³⁴. Primary prevention of NCDs through implementation of the WHO’s Best Buys — reducing consumption of tobacco, alcohol and unhealthy diets, increasing physical activity, managing CVD and diabetes, and preventing and managing cancer — is highly cost-effective¹³⁵. Investments in the prevention of infectious diseases through vaccinations, safe water, and maternal and child health services are also cost-effective¹³³.

All of these interventions promise to reduce the future burden of kidney disease by improving general health. More inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable cities provide the conditions for healthier lives and help to curb the epidemics of obesity and diabetes, which are major drivers of CKD globally¹³⁶. However, as UHC expands to cover more diseases, budget allocation for prevention tends to get eroded¹³⁷, which is a concerning trend. Of note, major industries (for example, the tobacco and food industries) often interfere with prevention efforts, whereas others (for example, pharma, health insurance and hospitals) profit from the management of preventable diseases and their influence might distort health-care priorities¹³⁸.

Globally, the prevalence of KRT is proportional to GDP per capita up to ~ US$14,000, after which it plateaus, suggesting that, in countries with a GDP per capita above US$14,000, access to dialysis is more equitable and less dependent on the patient’s ability to pay or restricted service provision¹³⁹. Some countries with lower GDPs per capita, such as Thailand (2018 GDP per capita US$7,273) and Colombia (2019 GDP per capita US$6,498), have implemented deliberate policies to include dialysis under UHC¹⁴⁰. Following the inclusion of KRT under UHC in these countries, health expenditure per capita rose, but poverty rates and catastrophic health expenditure declined significantly^140,141. ‘Peritoneal dialysis first’ programmes, as implemented in Thailand, might permit the most appropriate use of precious resources to provide affordable quality and sustainable chronic dialysis for those in need, if costs can be contained¹⁴². In Colombia, since the creation of the “Cuenta de Alto Costo” (that is, high-cost account) to pool funds, thereby redistributing financial risk for catastrophic conditions across the entire population¹⁴³, the prevalence of treated kidney failure has increased but the incidence has decreased, suggesting the success of integrated prevention strategies and the utility of a CKD registry to monitor outcomes¹⁴⁴. However, this system has been criticized for lack of transparency, emphasis on KRT rather than prevention, and persistent inequalities regarding the financial protection of households^145,146.

In many MICs and LICs, however, the opportunity costs of providing dialysis are considered too great. As an example, South Africa (2018 GDP per capita US$ 6,374) has elected to ration dialysis in the public sector¹⁴⁷ — only patients who are eligible for kidney transplantation are covered for dialysis therapies. This policy not only highlights many ethical issues in the provision of KRT but also elucidates the sharp divisions between public and private sectors of health care in sub-Saharan Africa, where access to KRT in the private sector is only restricted by an individual’s ability to pay¹⁴⁸ (Supplementary Table 3). Similarly, in Kenya, increasing awareness of the local burden of kidney disease led to a government-initiated policy to increase access to haemodialysis and improve nephrology care¹⁴⁹. However, budget constraints make sustainable universal access to dialysis nearly impossible unless major innovations can bring down costs. Additionally, LMICs must be mindful of the increasing gap between patients with kidney failure who receive chronic dialysis and those who receive kidney transplants. Failure to simultaneously expand access to transplantation for those who are eligible not only precludes them from optimal therapies but also restricts access to dialysis for new patients when slots are limited, and increases the overall costs of KRT. Kidney transplantation remains the most cost-effective treatment⁷⁴.

Aiming for sustainable KRT offers challenges and opportunities for innovation¹⁵⁰. Strategic partnerships between governments, the private sector, philanthropic and non-governmental organizations¹⁵¹, professional societies and capital investment partners remain underutilized. Civil rights and community advocacy groups remain scarce. The cost of equipment and consumables required for chronic haemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis remains prohibitively expensive and unchallenged, despite profits in the dialysis industry being high. The economic impact of creating local hubs for the management of CKD using locally produced materials remains underexplored. Such activity could create opportunities for local employment and grow local economies, while retaining skilled individuals. Ideally, production of disposables and materials should be local, such that micro-economic revenue returns to the community, while reducing transportation costs and environmental impact.

A key indicator for innovation is research capacity. The global investment in research and development has increased from US$739 billion in 2000 to US$2 trillion in 2016, although this rise has occurred disproportionately in Europe, North America and China²⁵. Historically, however, kidney disease has tended to be underfunded in proportion to the disease burden¹⁵². The number of researchers per million population has risen globally from 804 in 2000 to 1,163 in 2016, but the rise is unevenly distributed, with only 91 researchers per million in sub-Saharan Africa². Ironically, sub-Saharan Africa is predicted to have one of the highest rates of kidney disease, although epidemiological data are lacking. Training programmes and regional centres of excellence are being established, but much of the research enterprise remains in the hands of researchers from HICs^67,153,154.

Despite impressive local efforts, such as the World Kidney Day campaigns, to disseminate information about CKD and AKI, only 10% of patients with CKD are aware of their disease, and awareness of AKI and its implications among clinicians is low^40,155. Innovative epidemiological surveillance systems that can be integrated into clinical care models are urgently needed to address several key areas — developing and promoting guidelines for kidney disease screening in routine primary care; targeting resource allocation; recognizing upstream risk factors for kidney disease; and fostering local and global collaborations through networks of primary care providers, nephrologists, public health experts and policy-makers. As kidney health is impacted by all SDGs, integration into an SDG dashboard might provide insights regarding progress in addressing structural risk factors (Table 1); poor performance on several goals increases the risk of CKD.

Innovation also includes implementation of policies such as sodium restriction in food, tax-based incentives encouraging healthy lifestyle choices, task-sharing within the health-care workforce and the use of information technology for education and treatment at the population level. Other novel interventions such as screening and educating men about hypertension in barber shops, using fixed-dose polypills to simplify treatment regimens, tailoring therapy to a person’s genotype, or generating donor chains for kidney transplantation are encouraging^{10,131,156,157,158,159}. Rollout and scaleup of such innovations should be preceded by robust implementation research to understand the potential contextual factors that might impact the success or failure, as well as the harms or benefits, of the interventions¹⁶⁰.

Stability

Stable and sustainable societies are required for human beings to flourish (Box 1) and for protection of the environment (SDG 16). Stable institutions are required to develop and implement policies towards achieving the SDGs, and to be accountable for successes, failures and course corrections. Good governance and multisectoral collaboration is especially needed for NCDs, which demand complex attention to many social and structural determinants of health, integration of public and private health systems, and sustainable approaches to financing^21,161. Venezuela, for example, implemented progressive policies in the early 2000s to reduce inequities — free health care, for example, was a right guaranteed by the Constitution. Subsequently, corrupt governance has led to a growing humanitarian crisis, with a considerable impact on the health system and dire consequences for patients with kidney disease (Box 4).

Globally, rates of homicide, violence against women and children, human trafficking and killing of human rights defenders are all increasing². Violence against health-care workers is also increasing¹⁶². These factors all impact the health and well-being of individuals and society in general¹⁶³. On a larger scale, armed conflicts negatively impact many if not all SDGs, including civilian health¹⁶⁴ (Box 4). The excess morbidity and mortality of civilians in wars is more likely to be indirect through the deterioration of support systems needed to prevent and treat infections and NCDs, and forced migration, rather than a direct result of combat¹⁶⁵. Conflict also has indirect impacts on health through exacerbation of poverty, food and water insecurity, gender inequities, loss of employment, lack of formal housing and lack of social protection.

Traditional wars between two states have been replaced by conflicts between states and rebel groups, non-state parties and one-sided violence by armed entities against civilians. These actions extend the duration of conflicts, increase civilian suffering, and worsen inequalities and violation of basic human rights¹⁶⁶. Armed conflict has been associated with higher rates of CVD, diabetes, hypertension, and alcohol and tobacco use in civilians¹⁶⁷, as well as CKD in injured soldiers¹⁶⁸. AKI due to crush injury and sepsis is common, and toxic AKI from unusual causes such as mushroom or thallium intoxication have also been reported^169,170. The impact of armed conflict on the onset and progression of early-stage CKD is less well documented, but the increased prevalence and sub-optimal management of diabetes, hypertension, diarrhoeal diseases and low birthweight, strongly suggest it has a negative effect¹⁶⁷. Higher prevalence of kidney failure in this setting has not been documented, likely due to low dialysis rates, but the impact of armed conflict on kidney failure care has been reported^169,171 (Box 4). The solutions to sustaining KRT in conflict regions must be creative — cross-border delivery of aid can bypass unfriendly governments and militant checkpoints; telenephrology and medical missions provided by expatriate nephrologists can cover shortages in human resources; and aid can be provided by international and diaspora non-governmental organizations, as well as the dialysis industry. However, continued problems with coordination of aid, lack of expertise of donors and local educational needs demand more coordinated action.

Another important consequence of armed conflicts is the forced migration of populations, including patients with kidney disease. These patients and their host societies face many economic, ethical and cultural challenges¹⁷². The migration pattern of refugees with kidney failure may differ from that of the general population, as it might be influenced by their health status and the KRT policies of the host country. In Europe, refugees are estimated to represent 1.5% of the dialysis population¹⁷³. Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan, all of which border Syria, receive many refugees on dialysis; other countries resist providing dialysis services to migrants^{171,174,175,176}.

Box 4 Peace, justice and strong institutions are needed to tackle kidney failure

Good governance and solidarity on both national and international levels are required to ensure sustainability of access to quality care for patients with kidney failure, who are amongst the most vulnerable in unstable health systems.

Venezuela

In Venezuela, despite the introduction of universal health coverage in 2003, lack of governance, oversight and accountability have affected the quality of care available to patients with kidney disease. The economic crisis in the country is highlighted by the decline in domestic growth (from 5.6% in 2012 to −18% in 2018), the rise in unemployment (from 7% in 2015 to 37% in 2018) and an increase in overall inflation of 5,395,536,286% between 2013 and 2019 (ref.²⁰⁷).

A 2018 national hospital survey highlights the precarious state of the Venezuelan health-care system²⁰⁸.

• 33% of 16,238 public hospital beds were non-functional

• 43% of diagnostic laboratories were not operational

• 67% of hospitals reported electrical failures

• 70% of hospitals reported water shortages

• 62% of hospitals reported violent events by family members

• 88% decline in medicines

• 79% decline in medical supplies

No official kidney replacement therapy (KRT) statistics or outcomes have been reported since 2010 (refs^209,210,211).

• KRT prevalence declined from 510 per million population (pmp) to an estimated 331 ppm in 2019 (35% decrease) despite KRT being covered under UHC²¹².

• The peritoneal dialysis programme was discontinued in 2017, leading to an 85.6% decline in patients receiving this type of dialysis since 2013.

• In 2019, as many as 574 of 2,476 haemodialysis machines (23%) were non-functional²¹³.

• The deceased donor organ transplantation was discontinued in 2017 and no waiting list has been maintained since then.

• For several years, patients have relied on non-governmental organizations and charitable donations for access to post-transplant medication; these drugs became available again in 2019 through social security, with limitations.

• 30,000 physicians have emigrated, escalating since 2015 (ref.²¹⁴).

Syria

Since the Syrian civil war began in 2011, ~5.6 million people have fled the country, 6.6 million people are internally displaced and 2.98 million people are in besieged, hard-to-reach areas²¹⁵.

The ongoing war has had a devastating impact on KRT provision in the country:

• 13 of 44 dialysis facilities have shut down because of destruction or lack of funding.

• In 2011, half of patients receiving dialysis in a hospital-based dialysis unit died because of an army closure of the unit.

• Harassment at checkpoints prevents patients from reaching dialysis units and dialysis supplies are often confiscated.

• In 2015, in rural Damascus, 42% of patients with kidney failure received dialysis only once a week in besieged areas versus 7% of patients in non-besieged areas; yearly mortality was 48% and 21%, respectively.

• In 2020, 7 of 20 dialysis units closed after a government offensive in Northwest Syria (unpublished observations, M.S.).

• Hepatitis C prevalence is 50% in northwestern Syria, compared with 15% in other regions of the country.

• Two nephrologists care for 600 patients in 29 clinics in Northwest Syria; dialysis nurses take on the roles of technicians, dieticians, social workers and physicians.

• Number of transplants performed — 385 in 2010, 154 in 2013 and 251 in 2018.

• Number of operational transplant centres — 8 in 2013, 4 in 2013 and 6 in 2018.

• Unconfirmed reports on exploitation of kidney donors have surfaced in the lay media²¹⁶. In many areas, patients struggle to obtain medications from government pharmacies and are dependent on international and expatriate non- governmental organizations (unpublished observations, M.S.).

• In Northwest Syria, post-transplant patient care has been provided by an endocrinologist who is a transplant recipient himself²¹⁷.

Digital revolution for sustainable development

Digital technologies should be harnessed to support this transformation (SDGs 1–4, 7–13, 17) through collaboration between the ministries of science and technology, energy, communication and infrastructure, as well as support for research and good governance. Kidney health might benefit from technologies that expand access to care, enhance health literacy, health promotion and educational opportunities, as well as epidemiological studies and data tracking.

By the end of 2018, over half of the world’s population had access to the internet, although many more people have access in HICs than in LICs². Many people (90%) live within range of a broadband network but 16% remain without access²⁵. The use of mobile technologies and digital interventions has the potential to facilitate task sharing, tailored patient and health-care worker education, patient monitoring and support, research and health systems strengthening¹⁷⁷. As an example, the rapid dissemination of research findings and clinical experiences via Twitter, webinars and other platforms contributed considerably to the kidney community’s approach to managing patents with COVID-19. These exchanges included dissemination of information on the use of acute peritoneal dialysis in the face of shortages of haemodialysis equipment in HICs. However, premature dissemination of information has also created confusion where non-robust or fraudulent data have circulated widely¹⁷⁸. Digital platforms are also useful for advocacy and engender solidarity and interpersonal support in times of crisis¹⁷⁹. Dissemination of medical education through online teaching tools can bring knowledge to most corners of the world but caution must be taken to ensure the dissemination and use of appropriate and unbiased content¹⁷⁷. Similarly, patient education tools hold promise in facilitating quality self-care and remote care but bias from sponsors must be avoided. Improvement in technology also offers better opportunities for disease surveillance and monitoring of policy implementation. Of note, data privacy concerns require careful deliberation¹⁸⁰.

Precision medicine is also gaining ground but, although it creates opportunities to better understand disease pathogenesis, its contribution to improved health in individuals remains unproven¹⁸¹. Moreover, emphasis on high-tech individualized approaches might divert research away from population-level problems. However, precision medicine could also contribute to population health by enabling the identification of high-risk population groups that might benefit from targeted interventions (for example, individuals with sickle cell disease, which is a cause of CKD), although affordability will be a major barrier¹⁸¹. Another great concern is that high-tech and precision medicine might substantially add to inequity and lead to erosion of solidarity-based health-care systems, given that few people might have access to highly costly therapies (for example, gene therapy), which would nonetheless drive up costs for all¹⁸².

Conclusions

Linking all SDGs with health makes sense from an individual and societal perspective, especially in the pursuit of justice and reduced inequities. Sober reflection is required by the global leadership to determine how to proceed in the pursuit of the SDGs, and how to ensure that the correct priorities are established and pursued, true development is fostered and that global resilience is strengthened going forward¹⁸³.

The COVID-19 pandemic and the Black Lives Matters movement have focused many minds on the global and structural injustices underlying susceptibility to ill health and poor outcomes. The undeniable impact of structural violence on the outcomes of patients with COVID-19 has highlighted the importance of public health for individual health (Box 2). Many overlaps exist between the global challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and kidney disease. In low-income regions, nephrology professionals function daily under conditions not dissimilar to those experienced in HICs at the peak of the pandemic. These overlaps have created a window of opportunity in nephrology that could enhance the collective recognition of inequities that are pervasive at baseline, and might bolster activity to progress towards true UHC and quality health-care coverage for patients with kidney disease.

Access to care for kidney disease is a global priority and a communal responsibility. At an individual level, clinicians must remain aware of the impact of upstream factors in the overall disease risk of their patients. The use of a ‘polysocial risk score’¹⁸⁴, which would incorporate not only clinical factors but also socioeconomic, environmental and psychosocial factors might serve to highlight the relevance of each SDG for the life and kidney health of each individual. Equitable access to affordable and quality care, particularly in low-income settings, must be achieved through partnerships, advocacy and activism. Over the long term, prevention, early diagnosis and early treatment for kidney disease should be prioritized to minimize the need for expensive therapies. However, the need for KRT cannot be disregarded. Different policy approaches will therefore be required to tackle the burden of kidney disease upstream and to equitably provide access to KRT downstream. Prevention begins far earlier than screening for hypertension and diabetes. It requires healthy children, born to healthy parents, living healthy active lives, being nourished and educated well, having opportunities to maximize their own capabilities as they develop in safe environments, with fair employment opportunities and on a healthy planet. Each SDG has relevance for kidney health.

Improvement in global kidney health will not happen overnight, but should begin with good governance, where priorities are set transparently, and policies are implemented with quality and equity as overarching principles. Across the health system, financing must be sustainable, health-care workers should be educated and supported to fulfil their duties competently and without undue distress, and appropriate infrastructure, medicines and technologies should be available at each health-care level. The paradigm of monitoring and evaluation inculcated by the SDGs should serve to foster accountability and accelerate progress in terms of system efficiency, effectiveness of coverage of care and financial risk protection.

Innovation is urgently needed to improve equitable access to KRT globally by reducing costs and improving capacity to treat, as well as reducing the individual and environmental burdens of KRT. Urgent action is also required globally to curb climate change as a major determinant of kidney health. Maintaining a healthy planet is not only a moral imperative, but also an act of self-interest and self-preservation that should motivate continued progress and optimize the conditions for meeting all SDGs.