Abstract
Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d’Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.
Key points
-
MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is a broad entity encompassing persons with differing drivers of disease and differing risks of clinical outcomes.
-
Identification of persons at risk of clinical outcomes using existing non-invasive tests (NITs) and prognostic models will enrich clinical trial samples.
-
A combination of NITs evaluating fibrosis and measures of portal pressure might be used to guide drug development in phase II clinical trials.
-
A core outcome set of NITs and clinical outcomes needs to be developed for implementation and reporting in all clinical trials.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Access Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journals
Get Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription
$29.99 / 30 days
cancel any time
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 print issues and online access
$209.00 per year
only $17.42 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to full article PDF
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
Similar content being viewed by others
Change history
05 August 2024
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41575-024-00976-3
References
Rinella, M. E. et al. A multi-society Delphi consensus statement on new fatty liver disease nomenclature. J. Hepatol. 79, 1542–1556 (2023).
Younossi, Z. et al. Global burden of NAFLD and NASH: trends, predictions, risk factors and prevention. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 15, 11–20 (2018).
Brown, G. T. & Kleiner, D. E. Histopathology of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Metabolism 65, 1080–1086 (2016).
Anstee, Q. M., Reeves, H. L., Kotsiliti, E., Govaere, O. & Heikenwalder, M. From NASH to HCC: current concepts and future challenges. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 16, 411–428 (2019).
Estes, C., Razavi, H., Loomba, R., Younossi, Z. & Sanyal, A. J. Modeling the epidemic of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease demonstrates an exponential increase in burden of disease. Hepatology 67, 123–133 (2018).
Estes, C. et al. Modeling NAFLD disease burden in China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, United Kingdom, and United States for the period 2016-2030. J. Hepatol. 69, 896–904 (2018).
Younossi, Z. M. et al. The global epidemiology of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH): a systematic review. Hepatology 77, 1335–1347 (2023).
Huang, D. Q. et al. Global epidemiology of cirrhosis — aetiology, trends and predictions. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 20, 388–398 (2023).
Huang, D. Q., El-Serag, H. B. & Loomba, R. Global epidemiology of NAFLD-related HCC: trends, predictions, risk factors and prevention. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 18, 223–238 (2021).
Francque, S. et al. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: the role of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 18, 24–39 (2021).
Haas, J. T., Francque, S. & Staels, B. Pathophysiology and mechanisms of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Annu. Rev. Physiol. 78, 181–205 (2016).
Francque, S. & Vonghia, L. Pharmacological treatment for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Adv. Ther. 36, 1052–1107 (2019).
Lefere, S. & Tacke, F. Macrophages in obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: crosstalk with metabolism. JHEP Rep. 1, 30–43 (2019).
Gastaldelli, A. & Cusi, K. From NASH to diabetes and from diabetes to NASH: mechanisms and treatment options. JHEP Rep. 1, 312–328 (2019).
Wree, A., Broderick, L., Canbay, A., Hoffman, H. M. & Feldstein, A. E. From NAFLD to NASH to cirrhosis-new insights into disease mechanisms. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 10, 627–636 (2013).
Cheung, A. et al. Defining improvement in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis for treatment trial endpoints: recommendations from the liver forum. Hepatology 70, 1841–1855 (2019).
Rinella, M. E., Tacke, F., Sanyal, A. J. & Anstee, Q. M. Report on the AASLD/EASL joint workshop on clinical trial endpoints in NAFLD. J. Hepatol. 71, 823–833 (2019).
Ratziu, V., Francque, S. & Sanyal, A. Breakthroughs in therapies for NASH and remaining challenges. J. Hepatol. 76, 1263–1278 (2022).
Harrison, S. A. et al. A phase 3, randomized, controlled trial of resmetirom in NASH with liver fibrosis. N. Engl. J. Med. 390, 497–509 (2024).
FDA. FDA Approves First Treatment for Patients with Liver Scarring due to Fatty Liver Disease, March 14 2024 https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-treatment-patients-liver-scarring-due-fatty-liver-disease (2024).
Francque, S. & Ratziu, V. Future treatment options and regimens for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Clin. Liver Dis. 27, 429–444 (2023).
Cusi, K. et al. American Association of Clinical Endocrinology clinical practice guideline for the diagnosis and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in primary care and endocrinology clinical settings: co-sponsored by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD). Endocr. Pract. 28, 528–562 (2022).
Friedman, S. L., Neuschwander-Tetri, B. A., Rinella, M. & Sanyal, A. J. Mechanisms of NAFLD development and therapeutic strategies. Nat. Med. 24, 908–922 (2018).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. Prospective study of outcomes in adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, 1559–1569 (2021).
Allen, A. M. et al. Clinical course of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the implications for clinical trial design. J. Hepatol. 77, 1237–1245 (2022).
Rinella, M. E. et al. AASLD practice guidance on the clinical assessment and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Hepatology 77, 1797–1835 (2023).
Younossi, Z. M., Zelber-Sagi, S., Henry, L. & Gerber, L. H. Lifestyle interventions in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 20, 708–722 (2023).
Tacke, F. et al. Updated S2k clinical practice guideline on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) issued by the German Society of Gastroenterology, digestive and metabolic diseases (DGVS). Z. Gastroenterol. 60, E733–E801 (2022).
Fayad, L. et al. Endoscopic sleeve gastroplasty versus laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy: a case-matched study. Gastrointest. Endosc. 89, 782–788 (2019).
Aminian, A. et al. Association of bariatric surgery with major adverse liver and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. JAMA 326, 2031–2042 (2021).
Wilding, J. P. H. et al. Once-weekly semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesity. N. Engl. J. Med. 384, 989–1002 (2021).
Jastreboff, A. M. et al. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity. N. Engl. J. Med. 387, 205–216 (2022).
Loomba, R. et al. Semaglutide 2.4 mg once weekly in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related cirrhosis: a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 trial. Lancet Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 8, 511–522 (2023).
Verrastro, O. et al. Bariatric-metabolic surgery versus lifestyle intervention plus best medical care in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (BRAVES): a multicentre, open-label, randomised trial. Lancet 401, 1786–1797 (2023).
Younossi, Z. M. et al. Obeticholic acid for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: interim analysis from a multicentre, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial. Lancet 394, 2184–2196 (2019).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. Topline results from a new analysis of the regenerate trial of obeticholic acid for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Abstract 5008. The Liver Meeting 2022: American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD), Washington, D.C., USA (2022).
Harrison, S. A. et al. Primary data analyses of MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 a 52 week double blind placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trial of resmetirom in patients with NAFLD. EASL LB005. J. Hepatol. 77 (2023).
Lefere, S. et al. Differential effects of selective- and pan-PPAR agonists on experimental steatohepatitis and hepatic macrophages. J. Hepatol. 73, 757–770 (2020).
Tacke, F., Puengel, T., Loomba, R. & Friedman, S. L. An integrated view of anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic targets for the treatment of NASH. J. Hepatol. 79, 552–566 (2023).
Francque, S. M. et al. A randomized, controlled trial of the pan-PPAR agonist lanifibranor in NASH. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, 1547–1558 (2021).
Harrison, S. A. et al. Efruxifermin in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2a trial. Nat. Med. 27, 1262–1271 (2021).
Harrison, S. A. et al. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase IIa trial of efruxifermin for patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis. JHEP Rep. 5, 100563 (2023).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04767529 (2023).
Puengel, T. et al. Combined therapy with a CCR2/CCR5 antagonist and FGF21 analogue synergizes in ameliorating steatohepatitis and fibrosis. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 23, 6696 (2022).
Alkhouri, N. et al. Safety and efficacy of combination therapy with semaglutide, cilofexor and firsocostat in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: a randomised, open-label phase II trial. J. Hepatol. 77, 607–618 (2022).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03439254 (2023).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03053063 (2019).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04365868 (2019).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04849728?cond=steatohepatitis&intr=lanifibranor (2021).
Boyer-Diaz, Z. et al. Pan-PPAR agonist lanifibranor improves portal hypertension and hepatic fibrosis in experimental advanced chronic liver disease. J. Hepatol. 74, 1188–1199 (2021).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04210245 (2019).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04971785 (2021).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04197479 (2019).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05500222 (2022).
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis with Compensated Cirrhosis: Developing Drugs for Treatment Guidance For Industry https://www.fda.gov/media/127738/download (2023).
Vilar-Gomez, E. et al. Fibrosis severity as a determinant of cause-specific mortality in patients with advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a multi-national cohort study. Gastroenterology 155, 443–457 (2018).
Bassegoda, O. et al. High frequency of acute decompensation and cancer in patients with compensated cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a retrospective cohort study. Hepatol. Commun. 6, 3212–3222 (2022).
The European Medicines Agency - EMA EMA/CHMP/299976/2018. Reflection paper on regulatory requirements for the development of medicinal products for chronic non-infectious liver diseases (PBC, PSC, NASH). https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/documents/scientific-guideline/draft-reflection-paper-regulatory-requirements-development-medicinal-products-chronic-non-infectious-liver-diseases-pbc-psc-nash_en.pdf (2018).
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Regulatory Perspectives for Development of Drugs for Treatment of NASH https://www.fda.gov/drugs/news-events-human-drugs/regulatory-perspectives-development-drugs-treatment-nash-01292021-01292021 (2021).
Vilar-Gomez, E. et al. Weight loss through lifestyle modification significantly reduces features of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Gastroenterology 149, 365–367 (2015).
Promrat, K. et al. Randomized controlled trial testing the effects of weight loss on nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Hepatology 51, 121–129 (2010).
Harrison, S. A., Fecht, W., Brunt, E. M. & Neuschwander-Tetri, B. A. Orlistat for overweight subjects with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: a randomized, prospective trial. Hepatology 49, 80–86 (2009).
Wong, V. W. et al. Community-based lifestyle modification programme for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a randomized controlled trial. J. Hepatol. 59, 536–542 (2013).
Berzigotti, A. et al. Elastography, spleen size, and platelet count identify portal hypertension in patients with compensated cirrhosis. Gastroenterology 144, 102–111 (2013).
Berzigotti, A. et al. Effects of an intensive lifestyle intervention program on portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis and obesity: the SportDiet study. Hepatology 65, 1293–1305 (2017).
Bunchorntavakul, C. Sarcopenia and frailty in cirrhosis: assessment and management. Med. Clin. North Am. 107, 589–604 (2023).
Eisenberg, D. et al. American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery (ASMBS) and International Federation for the Surgery of Obesity and Metabolic Disorders (IFSO): indications for metabolic and bariatric surgery. Surg. Obes. Relat. Dis. 18, 1345–1356 (2022).
Newsome, P. N. et al. A placebo-controlled trial of subcutaneous semaglutide in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. N. Engl. J. Med. 384, 1113–1124 (2020).
Armstrong, M. J. et al. Liraglutide safety and efficacy in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (LEAN): a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 study. Lancet 387, 679–690 (2016).
Gastaldelli, A. et al. Effect of tirzepatide versus insulin degludec on liver fat content and abdominal adipose tissue in people with type 2 diabetes (SURPASS-3 MRI): a substudy of the randomised, open-label, parallel-group, phase 3 SURPASS-3 trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 10, 393–406 (2022).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04166773 (2019).
Hope, D. C. D., Vincent, M. L. & Tan, T. M. M. Striking the balance: GLP-1/glucagon co-agonism as a treatment strategy for obesity. Front. Endocrinol. 12, 735019 (2021).
Boland, M. L. et al. Resolution of NASH and hepatic fibrosis by the GLP-1R/GcgR dual-agonist Cotadutide via modulating mitochondrial function and lipogenesis. Nat. Metab. 2, 413–431 (2020).
Lewis, K. H., Sloan, C. E., Bessesen, D. H. & Arterburn, D. Effectiveness and safety of drugs for obesity. BMJ 384, e072686 (2024).
Casimiro, I., Sam, S. & Brady, M. J. Endocrine implications of bariatric surgery: a review on the intersection between incretins, bone, and sex hormones. Physiol. Rep. 7, e14111 (2019).
Lassailly, G. et al. Bariatric surgery provides long-term resolution of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and regression of fibrosis. Gastroenterology 159, 1290–1301 (2020).
Thereaux, J. et al. Long-term adverse events after sleeve gastrectomy or gastric bypass: a 7-year nationwide, observational, population-based, cohort study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 7, 786–795 (2019).
Backman, O., Stockeld, D., Rasmussen, F., Näslund, E. & Marsk, R. Alcohol and substance abuse, depression and suicide attempts after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. Br. J. Surg. 103, 1336–1342 (2016).
Lee, Y. et al. Complete resolution of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease after bariatric surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 17, 1040–1060.e11 (2019).
Zhou, H. et al. Bariatric surgery improves nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: systematic review and meta-analysis. Obes. Surg. 32, 1872–1883 (2022).
Wang, G. et al. Impacts of bariatric surgery on adverse liver outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Surg. Obes. Relat. Dis. 19, 717–726 (2023).
Mendoza, Y. P. et al. Malnutrition and alcohol in patients presenting with severe complications of cirrhosis after laparoscopic bariatric surgery. Obes. Surg. 31, 2817–2822 (2021).
Jan, A., Narwaria, M. & Mahawar, K. K. A systematic review of bariatric surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis. Obes. Surg. 25, 1518–1526 (2015).
Nor Hanipah, Z. et al. Efficacy of adjuvant weight loss medication after bariatric surgery. Surg. Obes. Relat. Dis. 14, 93–98 (2018).
Ahmed, S. et al. Outcomes of bariatric surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis: a systematic review. Obes. Surg. 31, 2255–2267 (2021).
Safwan, M., Collins, K. M., Abouljoud, M. S. & Salgia, R. Outcome of liver transplantation in patients with prior bariatric surgery. Liver Transpl. 23, 1415–1421 (2017).
Kleiner, D. E. et al. Association of histologic disease activity with progression of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. JAMA Netw. Open 2, e1912565–e1912565 (2019).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. Cirrhosis regression is associated with improved clinical outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Hepatology 75, 1235–1246 (2022).
Brunt, E. M. et al. Complexity of ballooned hepatocyte feature recognition: defining a training atlas for artificial intelligence-based imaging in NAFLD. J. Hepatol. 76, 1030–1041 (2022).
Davison, B. A. et al. Suboptimal reliability of liver biopsy evaluation has implications for randomized clinical trials. J. Hepatol. 73, 1322–1332 (2020).
Rowe, I. A. & Parker, R. The placebo response in randomized trials in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis simply explained. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 20, e564–e572 (2022).
Sanyal, A. J., Prakash, J. & Kleiner, D. E. Digital pathology for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis assessment. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 21, 57–69 (2023).
Cunningham, R. P. & Porat-Shliom, N. Liver zonation — revisiting old questions with new technologies. Front. Physiol. 12, 732929 (2021).
Steinman, J. B., Salomao, M. A. & Pajvani, U. B. Zonation in NASH — a key paradigm for understanding pathophysiology and clinical outcomes. Liver Int. 41, 2534–2546 (2021).
Dhingra, S., Mahadik, J. D., Tarabishy, Y., May, S. B. & Vierling, J. M. Prevalence and clinical significance of portal inflammation, portal plasma cells, interface hepatitis and biliary injury in liver biopsies from patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. Pathology 54, 686–693 (2022).
Mitten, E. K. & Baffy, G. Mechanotransduction in the pathogenesis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. J. Hepatol. 77, 1642–1656 (2022).
Angelini, G. et al. Accurate liquid biopsy for the diagnosis of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and liver fibrosis. Gut 72, 392–403 (2023).
Aghigh, A. et al. Second harmonic generation microscopy: a powerful tool for bio-imaging. Biophys. Rev. 15, 43–70 (2023).
Liu, F. et al. qFIBS: an automated technique for quantitative evaluation of fibrosis, inflammation, ballooning, and steatosis in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Hepatology 71, 1953–1966 (2020).
Forlano, R. et al. High-throughput, machine learning-based quantification of steatosis, inflammation, ballooning, and fibrosis in biopsies from patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 18, 2081–2090.e9 (2020).
Taylor-Weiner, A. et al. A machine learning approach enables quantitative measurement of liver histology and disease monitoring in NASH. Hepatology 74, 133–147 (2021).
Ripoll, C. et al. Hepatic venous pressure gradient predicts clinical decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis. Gastroenterology 133, 481–488 (2007).
D’Amico, G. et al. Clinical states of cirrhosis and competing risks. J. Hepatol. 68, 563–576 (2018).
Silva-Junior, G. et al. The prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient in patients with cirrhosis is highly dependent on the accuracy of the technique. Hepatology 62, 1584–1592 (2015).
Hernández-Gea, V. et al. Development of ascites in compensated cirrhosis with severe portal hypertension treated with β-blockers. Am. J. Gastroenterol. 107, 418–427 (2012).
Villanueva, C. et al. β-Blockers to prevent decompensation of cirrhosis in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (PREDESCI): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre trial. Lancet 393, 1597–1608 (2019).
Abraldes, J. G. et al. Hemodynamic response to pharmacological treatment of portal hypertension and long-term prognosis of cirrhosis. Hepatology 37, 902–908 (2003).
Silva-Junior, G. et al. Timing affects measurement of portal pressure gradient after placement of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts in patients with portal hypertension. Gastroenterology 152, 1358–1365 (2017).
Sebastiani, G. et al. Prognostic value of non-invasive fibrosis and steatosis tools, hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and histology in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. PLoS One 10, e0128774 (2015).
Rodrigues, S. G. et al. Patients with signs of advanced liver disease and clinically significant portal hypertension do not necessarily have cirrhosis. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 17, 2101–2109.e1 (2019).
Chalasani, N. et al. Effects of belapectin, an inhibitor of galectin-3, in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Gastroenterology 158, 1334–1345 (2020).
Harrison, S. A. et al. Simtuzumab is ineffective for patients with bridging fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Gastroenterology 155, 1140–1153 (2018).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. The natural history of advanced fibrosis due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: data from the simtuzumab trials. Hepatology 70, 1913–1927 (2019).
Paternostro, R. et al. Natural history of patients with NAFLD-associated compensated advanced chronic liver disease stratified according to severity of portal hypertension. Z. Gastroenterol. 61, e195 (2023).
Bassegoda, O. et al. Decompensation in advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease may occur at lower hepatic venous pressure gradient levels than in patients with viral disease. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 20, 2276–2286.e6 (2022).
Ferrusquía-Acosta, J. et al. Agreement between wedged hepatic venous pressure and portal pressure in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related cirrhosis. J. Hepatol. 74, 811–818 (2021).
Paternostro, R. et al. The prognostic value of HVPG-response to non-selective beta-blockers in patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices. Dig. Liver Dis. 54, 500–508 (2022).
FDA-NIH Biomarker Working Group. BEST (Biomarkers, EndpointS, and other Tools) Resource (FDA & NIH, 2016).
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Considerations for Discussion of a New Surrogate Endpoint(s) at a Type C PDUFA Meeting Request https://www.fda.gov/media/115120/download (2023).
Anstee, Q. M. et al. Noninvasive tests accurately identify advanced fibrosis due to NASH: baseline data from the STELLAR trials. Hepatology 70, 1521–1530 (2019).
Vali, Y. et al. Biomarkers for staging fibrosis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (the LITMUS project): a comparative diagnostic accuracy study. Lancet Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 8, 714–725 (2023).
Dyson, J. K., McPherson, S. & Anstee, Q. M. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: non-invasive investigation and risk stratification. J. Clin. Pathol. 66, 1033–1045 (2013).
Harrison, S. A., Oliver, D., Arnold, H. L., Gogia, S. & Neuschwander-Tetri, B. A. Development and validation of a simple NAFLD clinical scoring system for identifying patients without advanced disease. Gut 57, 1441–1447 (2008).
Wai, C. T. et al. A simple noninvasive index can predict both significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Hepatology 38, 518–526 (2003).
Angulo, P. et al. The NAFLD fibrosis score: a noninvasive system that identifies liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. Hepatology 45, 846–854 (2007).
Sterling, R. K. et al. Development of a simple noninvasive index to predict significant fibrosis in patients with HIV/HCV coinfection. Hepatology 43, 1317–1325 (2006).
Hagström, H., Talbäck, M., Andreasson, A., Walldius, G. & Hammar, N. Repeated FIB-4 measurements can help identify individuals at risk of severe liver disease. J. Hepatol. 73, 1023–1029 (2020).
Boyle, M. et al. Performance of the PRO-C3 collagen neo-epitope biomarker in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. JHEP Rep. 1, 188–198 (2019).
Daniels, S. J. et al. ADAPT: an algorithm incorporating PRO-C3 accurately identifies patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis. Hepatology 69, 1075–1086 (2019).
Karsdal, M. A. et al. Novel insights into the function and dynamics of extracellular matrix in liver fibrosis. Am. J. Physiol. Gastrointest. Liver Physiol. 308, G807–G830 (2015).
Angulo, P. et al. Simple noninvasive systems predict long-term outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Gastroenterology 145, 782–789 (2013).
Anstee, Q. M. et al. Non-invasive fibrosis scores as prognostic biomarkers of liver events, cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in people with obesity and/or type 2 diabetes in the UK: a longitudinal cohort study. EASL OS025. J. Hepatol. 77 (2022).
Mózes, F. E. et al. Performance of non-invasive tests and histology for the prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant data meta-analysis. Lancet Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 8, 704–713 (2023).
Vali, Y. et al. Enhanced liver fibrosis test for the non-invasive diagnosis of fibrosis in patients with NAFLD: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J. Hepatol. 73, 252–262 (2020).
Anstee, Q. M. et al. Change in fibrosis-4 index (FIB4) over time is associated with subsequent risk of liver events, cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality in patients with obesity and/or type 2. The Liver Meeting 2022: American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD). Abstract 5049 (2022).
Gidener, T. et al. Change in serial liver stiffness measurement by magnetic resonance elastography and outcomes in NAFLD. Hepatology 77, 268–274 (2023).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. Similarities and differences in outcomes of cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and hepatitis C. Hepatology 43, 682–689 (2006).
Anstee, Q. M. et al. Longitudinal variability of noninvasive tests of fibrosis: implications for treatment response monitoring in patients with NASH. International Liver Congress, 23-26 June 2021, Abstract PO-1568 (2021).
Fowler, K. et al. Repeatability of MRI biomarkers in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: the NIMBLE consortium. Radiology 309, e231092 (2023).
Rasmussen, D. N. et al. Prognostic performance of 7 biomarkers compared to liver biopsy in early alcohol-related liver disease. J. Hepatol. 75, 1017–1025 (2021).
Rasmussen, D. G. K. et al. NAFLD and NASH biomarker qualification in the LITMUS consortium — lessons learned. J. Hepatol. 78, 852–865 (2023).
de Franchis, R. et al. Renewing consensus in portal hypertension. J. Hepatol. 76, 959–974 (2022).
Pennisi, G. et al. AGILE 3+ score for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and for predicting liver-related events in NAFLD. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 21, 1293–1302.e5 (2023).
Sanyal, A. J. et al. Enhanced diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in individuals with NAFLD using FibroScan-based Agile scores. J. Hepatol. 78, 247–259 (2023).
Calzadilla-Bertot, L. et al. ABIDE: an accurate predictive model of liver decompensation in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver-related cirrhosis. Hepatology 73, 2238–2250 (2021).
Abraldes, J. G. et al. Noninvasive tools and risk of clinically significant portal hypertension and varices in compensated cirrhosis: the “Anticipate” study. Hepatology 64, 2173–2184 (2016).
Pons, M. et al. Noninvasive diagnosis of portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease. Am. J. Gastroenterol. 116, 723–732 (2021).
Pons, M. et al. Point-of-care noninvasive prediction of liver-related events in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2023.08.004 (2023).
Bath, P. M. W. et al. Statistical analysis of the primary outcome in acute stroke trials. Stroke 43, 1171–1178 (2012).
Groszmann, R. J. et al. Hemodynamic events in a prospective randomized trial of propranolol versus placebo in the prevention of a first variceal hemorrhage. Gastroenterology 99, 1401–1407 (1990).
Vorobioff, J. et al. Prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurements in alcoholic cirrhosis: a 10-year prospective study. Gastroenterology 111, 701–709 (1996).
Bendtsen, F., Skovgaard, L. T., Sørensen, T. I. & Matzen, P. Agreement among multiple observers on endoscopic diagnosis of esophageal varices before bleeding. Hepatology 11, 341–347 (1990).
Groszmann, R. J. et al. Beta-blockers to prevent gastroesophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis. N. Engl. J. Med. 353, 2254–2261 (2005).
Rowe, I. A. & Parker, R. The diagnosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease should carry important prognostic information. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 16, 449–450 (2019).
Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study Group. Randomised trial of cholesterol lowering in 4444 patients with coronary heart disease: the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S). Lancet 344, 1383–1389 (1994).
Pericàs, J. M. et al. Platform trials to overcome major shortcomings of traditional clinical trials in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis? Pros and cons. J. Hepatol. 78, 442–447 (2023).
Filozof, C. et al. Clinical endpoints and adaptive clinical trials in precirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: facilitating development approaches for an emerging epidemic. Hepatol. Commun. 1, 577–585 (2017).
Bedossa, P., Dargère, D. & Paradis, V. Sampling variability of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C. Hepatology 38, 1449–145 (2003).
Shearer, J. E., Jones, R., Parker, R., Ferguson, J. & Rowe, I. A. The natural history of advanced chronic liver disease defined by transient elastography. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 21, 694–703.e8 (2023).
Shearer, J. E. et al. Systematic review: development of a consensus code set to identify cirrhosis in electronic health records. Aliment. Pharmacol. Ther. 55, 645–657 (2022).
Mallet, V. et al. Burden of liver disease progression in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. J. Hepatol. 76, 265–274 (2022).
Staufer, K. et al. Ethyl glucuronide in hair detects a high rate of harmful alcohol consumption in presumed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. J. Hepatol. 77, 918–993 (2022).
Hagström, H. et al. Administrative coding in electronic health care record-based research of NAFLD: an expert panel consensus statement. Hepatology 74, 474–482 (2021).
Harrison, S. A. et al. Design of the phase 3 MAESTRO clinical program to evaluate resmetirom for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Aliment. Pharmacol. Ther. 59, 51–63 (2024).
D’Amico, G., Abraldes, J. G., Rebora, P., Valsecchi, M. G. & Garcia-Tsao, G. Ordinal outcomes are superior to binary outcomes for designing and evaluating clinical trials in compensated cirrhosis. Hepatology 72, 1029–1042 (2020).
Pennisi, G. et al. Oesophageal varices predict complications in compensated advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. JHEP Rep. 5, 100809 (2023).
Harrison, S. A. et al. Selonsertib for patients with bridging fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis due to NASH: results from randomized phase III STELLAR trials. J. Hepatol. 73, 26–39 (2020).
Frenette, C. et al. Emricasan to prevent new decompensation in patients with NASH-related decompensated cirrhosis. J. Hepatol. 74, 274–282 (2021).
Garcia-Tsao, G. et al. Randomized placebo-controlled trial of emricasan for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related cirrhosis with severe portal hypertension. J. Hepatol. 72, 885–895 (2020).
Loomba, R. et al. Combination therapies including cilofexor and firsocostat for bridging fibrosis and cirrhosis attributable to NASH. Hepatology 73, 625–643 (2021).
Abdelmalek, M. F. et al. Pegbelfermin in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and compensated cirrhosis (FALCON 2): a randomized phase 2b study. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 22, 113–123.e9 (2023).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04267393 (2021).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05282121 (2022).
US National Library of Medicine. ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05039450 (2023).
Harrell Jr, F. Harrell miscellaneous. R package version 5.1-1 https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/Hmisc/Hmisc.pdf (2023).
Acknowledgements
The authors thank J. Bosch, A. Albillos, J. Luis Calleja, R. Bañares, A. Trylesinski, C. de Oliveira, V. Vargas, R. Basuroy and L. Boyette for their involvement in the workshop as moderators; M. Romero for the preparation and writing of this manuscript; M. Jesus Rivas for their assistance in managing the event, and C. Adame for their role in setting up the meeting as well as the website https://www.bcn-liverhuvh.com/bcn-nash. Moreover, we acknowledge the scientific support of the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL), the British Association for the Study of the Liver (BASL), the Asociación Latinoamericana para el Estudio del Hígado (ALEH), the Spanish Networks of Biomedical Research Centers in Digestive and Liver Diseases (CIBERehd), the Associazione Italiana per lo Studio del Fegato (AISF), and the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH), also for their dissemination activities of the workshop.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
All authors researched data for the article. J.M.P., Q.M.A., S.A., R.B., A.B., A.C., S.F., J.G.A., V.H.-G., M.P., T.R., I.A.R., P.R., E.S., F.T., E.A.T. and J.G. contributed substantially to discussion of the content. J.M.P., Q.M.A., S.A., R.B., A.B., S.F., J.G.A., V.H.-G., I.A.R., F.T. and J.G. wrote the article. All authors reviewed and/or edited the manuscript before submission.
Corresponding author
Peer review
Peer review information
Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology thanks Aleksander Krag, Daniel Huang and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
Additional information
Competing interests
J.M.P. reports having received consulting fees from Boehringer Ingelheim and Novo Nordisk. He has received speaking fees from Gilead, and travel expenses from Gilead, Rubió, Pfizer, Astellas, MSD, CUBICIN, and Novo Nordisk. He has received educational and research support from Gilead, Pfizer, Astellas, Accelerate, Novartis, Abbvie, ViiV and MSD. Q.M.A. is coordinator of the EU IMI2 LITMUS consortium, which is funded by the EU Horizon 2020 programme and the European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations (EFPIA). This multistakeholder consortium includes industry partners. He has received research grant funding from Astra Zeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and has served as a consultant on behalf of Newcastle University for Alimentiv, Akero, Astra Zeneca, Axcella, 89bio, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Galmed, Genfit, Genentech, Gilead, GSK, Hanmi, HistoIndex, Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Inventiva, Ionis, IQVIA, Janssen, Madrigal, Medpace, Merck, NGM Bio, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, PathAI, Pfizer, Poxel, Resolution Therapeutics, Roche, Ridgeline Therapeutics, RTI, Shionogi, and Terns. He has served as a speaker for Fishawack, Integritas Communications, Kenes, Novo Nordisk, Madrigal, Medscape, and Springer Healthcare, and receives royalties from Elsevier Ltd. S.A. works for Boehringer Ingelheim. S.F. has acted as consultant for Abbvie, Actelion, Aelin Therapeutics, AgomAb, Aligos Therapeutics, Allergan, Alnylam, Astellas, Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Meyers Squibb, CSL Behring, Coherus, Echosens, Dr. Falk Pharma, Eisai, Enyo, Galapagos, Galmed, Genetech, Genfit, Genflow Biosciences, Gilead Sciences, Intercept, Inventiva, Janssens Pharmaceutica, PRO.MED.CS Praha, Julius Clinical, Madrigal, Medimmune, Merck Sharp & Dome, Mursla Bio, NGM Bio, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Promethera, Roche, and Siemens Healthineers. He has been a lecturer for Abbvie, Allergan, Bayer, Eisai, Genfit, Gilead Sciences, Janssens Cilag, Intercept, Inventiva, Merck Sharp & Dome, Novo Nordisk, Promethera and Siemens. His institution has received grants from Astellas, Falk Pharma, Genfit, Gilead Sciences, GlympsBio, Janssens Pharmaceutica, Inventiva, Merck Sharp & Dome, Pfizer, and Roche. P.R. works for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals. E.S. contributions do not represent the official position of the Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices (BfArM) or EMA/Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use. I.R. has received honoraria for consulting from Boehringer Ingelheim and Roche, fees for educational material from Norgine, and fees for adjudication committees for Astra Zeneca and Novo Nordisk. The F.T. lab has received research funding from Allergan, Bristol Myers Squibb, Gilead and Inventiva. F.T. has received honoraria for consulting or lectures from Astra Zeneca, Gilead, AbbVie, Boehringer, Madrigal, Intercept, Falk, Inventiva, Merz, Pfizer, Alnylam, NGM, CSL Behring, Novo Nordisk and Novartis. J.G. has received consulting fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, speaking fees from Echosens, and travel expenses from Gilead and Abbie. J.M.P. received funds from European Commission/EFPIA IMI2 853966-2, IMI2 777377, H2020 847989, HLTH-101136299, ISCIII PI19/01898 and PI22/01770, Barcelona City Council-“La Caixa” Foundation 22S07286-001 and SR20-00386, and Next Generation EU-IBEC Q6922. Q.M.A. is an NIHR Senior Investigator supported by the Newcastle NIHR Biomedical Research Center and the Liver Investigation: Testing Marker Utility in Steatohepatitis (LITMUS) project, which received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking, under grant agreement No. 777377. This Joint Undertaking receives support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program and EFPIA. S.F. holds a senior clinical investigator fellowship from the Research Foundation Flanders (FWO) (1802154N). F.T. is supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG Ta434/8-1, SFB/TRR 296 and CRC1382, Project-ID 403224013). J.G. was partially funded by grant PI21/00691 from Instituto de Salud Carlos III and co-funded by the European Union (ERDF/ESF, “Investing in your future”). The Spanish Networks of Biomedical Research Centers in Digestive and Liver Diseases (CIBERehd) is supported by Instituto de Salud Carlos III.
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Pericàs, J.M., Anstee, Q.M., Augustin, S. et al. A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41575-024-00955-8
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41575-024-00955-8