In times of crisis, risk pooling can enhance the resilience of individuals, households and communities. Risk-pooling systems are most effective when their participants adhere to several principles: (1) participants should agree that the pool is for needs that arise unpredictably, not for routine, predictable needs; (2) giving to those in need should not create an obligation for them to repay; (3) participants should not be expected to help others until they have taken care of their own needs; (4) participants should have a consensus about what constitutes need; (5) resources should be either naturally visible or made visible to reduce cheating; (6) individuals should be able to decide which partners to accept; and (7) the scale of the network should be large enough to cover the scale of risks. We discuss the cultural and evolutionary foundations of risk-pooling systems, their vulnerabilities and their relationship to commercial insurance.
Since the earliest days of our species, the ability to manage risk has been critical for survival in uncertain and changing environments plagued by catastrophes and other unpredictable, costly events. Risk pooling is an informal social-insurance system that can protect against unexpected losses. Risk-pooling systems have arisen independently in societies around the world and have converged repeatedly on a set of principles that help buffer individuals and communities against risk. In this Perspective, we lay out seven design principles for effective risk-pooling systems that are based on the existing literature. We also discuss how these risk-pooling systems are employed by small-scale societies to increase their resilience in the face of negative events and how risk-pooling systems can help protect against unexpected losses in modern market-integrated societies.
Risk pooling is one of several strategies that humans use to manage risk. Risk pooling is a form of risk transfer, and risk transfer is the only risk-management strategy that requires social interaction. This is in contrast to strategies such as self-insuring by stockpiling resources, avoiding risky situations (for example, staying home during a pandemic) and taking precautions to reduce risks (for example, washing one’s hands during a pandemic), none of which requires social interaction1. Conversely, risk transfer involves sharing risk with others2. Risk transfer involves the exchange of a small probability that one might experience a catastrophic loss for the high probability that one will experience small, manageable losses3. Modern insurance policies are a form of risk transfer that illustrates this point. When one buys an insurance policy, one accepts the necessity of regular small losses in the form of premium payments because one will receive support in the event of a catastrophic loss.
Along with innovations such as tool use and the controlled use of fire and language, informal risk pooling in the form of central-place provisioning was one of the key behavioural adaptations that differentiated our ancestors from related species4,5,6. Rather than foraging primarily on our own and sharing food only occasionally, as our closest nonhuman relatives do, our ancestors developed a system whereby individuals forage separately or in small groups, eating as they go but also bringing any surplus back to camp so that those who were unlucky and those who were too young, old, ill or injured to forage would still have something to eat7. The safety net created by central-place provisioning also made it possible for some individuals to focus on high-risk, high-reward foods such as large game, which, when captured, are shared widely. In this way, not only bad outcomes (for example, food shortages) but also good ones (for example, large game) were pooled. These risk-pooling systems probably also contributed to human life history and fertility patterns, with many individuals in communities helping to subsidize the nutritional needs of children and parents of young children8. Evidence from laboratory experiments is consistent with these patterns, whereby people are predisposed to share with others when there is unsynchronized variability in the availability of resources9,10,11.
Risk pooling among foragers is not limited to central-place provisioning. For example, the Ju/’hoansi of Namibia and Botswana have a system of partnerships known as hxaro. Because hxaro relationships are great responsibilities, people enter them only after a period of deliberation following an initial gift. Once established, hxaro partnerships are maintained over time and long distances through the periodic exchange of small gifts of non-food items such as beads, arrows and ostrich eggshells. When people experience shortages of food or water in one location, they can ask their hxaro partners living in other, more fortunate locations for help12.
People with means of subsistence other than foraging have also developed risk-pooling systems. Pastoralists in Africa13,14,15,16,17 and elsewhere18 pool risk by supporting one another in the event of livestock losses due to droughts, diseases and theft. Maasai and other Maa-speaking pastoralists refer to their risk-pooling system by their term for a human umbilical cord: osotua (plural: isotuatin)19,20,21,22. Many osotua partnerships begin in childhood, when Maasai parents encourage their children to form friendships known as isirito (singular: esirit). Children in such friendships share food and exchange small gifts. Such friendships eventually lead to exchanges in adulthood of more valuable gifts, which may lead to the formation of osotua partnerships. The process is similar to courtship, with prospective partners getting to know each other over several years. Osotua partnerships can also form in adulthood, typically beginning with a request for a gift or a favour. Although the rules of the osotua system are unwritten, they are quite formal and specific. For example, requests for aid from one’s osotua partners must arise from one’s genuine need and are limited to the amount actually needed. Gifts given in response to such requests must be given freely (pesho) and from the heart (ol-tau) and are limited to what is actually needed. Although in other circumstances, Maasai often do give each other gifts that create debts (esile), osotua gifts do not create debt, and it is also considered inappropriate to use the word ‘to pay’ (alak) in the context of an osotua gift. Osotua relationships do not follow a schedule, and they persist even if much time passes between gifts. There is no expectation of a balance of gift-giving between osotua partners. Thus, the flow of goods and services between partners might be mostly or entirely one-way if that is where the need is greatest. Finally, osotua is imbued with respect (enkanyit), restraint and responsibility in a way that non-osotua economic relationships are not. As one interviewee put it: “It is heavy”’ (keiroshi).
Although risk transfer in societies with advanced economies is mostly accomplished through commercial insurance and the state, risk pooling was very important in the recent past and continues to be important in some quarters. For example, fraternal organizations and industrial sickness funds were widespread and important in nineteenth and early-twentieth century United States and Britain23,24,25,26. Individuals voluntarily joined these organizations and contributed small amounts of money at regular intervals to a fund that then would be available for members who were in need. Such organizations provided services such as sick-leave benefits, health insurance, life insurance, funeral insurance and care of orphans of deceased members.
With the rise of both the welfare state27 and commercial insurance28, fraternal organizations shrank, but, in the contemporary United States, healthcare-sharing ministries play a similar role by forming groups that agree to pay each other’s medical expenses29. Even today, both informal and formal risk pools exist in such societies. In the European country of Andorra, a risk pool called La Crema provides mutual fire insurance to its members30. In parts of Ethiopia and Tanzania, formal risk-pooling organizations provide funeral insurance31. Mutual aid systems involving risk pooling have been documented many times among North American farmers and ranchers32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41 and among the urban poor in the United States42,43. On the Pacific coast of the United States, fishermen pool their by-catch (that is, fish caught unintentionally that are subject to a government-imposed quota) so that each one can continue fishing as long as possible each season44. Around the world, people form lottery syndicates in which they purchase tickets together and share in any winnings45. In the United States, a for-profit risk-pooling system has been developed by a company called Pando. Pando creates voluntary risk pools among young baseball players and people in other professions whose future fortunes are difficult to predict and then helps enforce those risk pools by monitoring the future income of participants.
Risk can be managed and shared in many different ways. The most straightforward situation is one in which risks are borne solely by an individual or group. In systems such as the Pando risk-pool described above, for example, individuals voluntarily opt into risk pools in which risk is shared among members. However, there are many situations in which risk can spread widely and affect individuals who have not voluntarily taken on risk46. Whenever individuals or institutions are highly interdependent, catastrophic events can reverberate through these systems and through society more broadly. This also makes the effective management of risk essential in modern, financially developed societies47.
Anthropologists, economists and others have studied risk-pooling systems for decades, yielding a large body of scholarship on many different such systems and numerous insights into what makes them succeed or fail48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80. The situation is analogous to one that occurred several decades ago in the study of common pool resource management when, after years of research, Ostrom and colleagues were able to specify a list of design principles for such systems81. Risk-pooling systems also have several shared features across societies that contribute to their success in helping individuals and communities manage risk.
Many of the examples we use to illustrate these design principles of risk-pooling systems are from Africa, where high cultural and linguistic diversity and a relative lack of market integration have left many local risk-pooling systems intact, and they have been studied by ethnographers. But risk-pooling systems are pervasive in small-scale societies and have been well documented in many other parts of the world (Table 1).
There are seven design principles for risk-pooling systems that emerge from empirical work from the past several decades.
Principle 1: participants should agree that the pool is for needs that arise unpredictably, not for routine, predictable needs
Across many societies, risk pooling occurs for needs that arise unpredictably. For example, in the Malpai region of southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico, ranches help each other in a system known as ‘trading work’ or ‘neighbouring’. In the case of branding, transporting livestock and other needs that they can schedule in advance, most ranchers who help their neighbours expect the favour to be returned. However, when needs arise unpredictably, as in the case of an illness, injury or death of a family member, neighbours step up and provide help with no expectations of anything in return other than a similar favour if they are ever in need for a similarly unpredictable reason82 (Fig. 1a).
This pattern is not unique to the American Southwest. Across many societies, people believe that those who unpredictably become needy and through no fault of their own are deserving of aid. For example, although Denmark has a more generous welfare state than the United States, both Danes and Americans tend to agree that people who are needy through no fault of their own deserve help, while those who are needy as a result of laziness do not83.
Principle 2: giving to those in need should not create an obligation for them to repay
An important design principle of risk-pooling systems is that transfers to those in need should not create an obligation for repayment, although they can create a mutual obligation to help one another in times of need. Successful risk pooling requires people to be tolerant of imbalances between the aid that they give to and receive from others, a characteristic of both the osotua19 and hxaro12 systems, as well as many others (Table 1). Particularly among hunter–gatherers, this principle is often culturally instantiated in the form of a strong ethic of sharing without any expectation of repayment. Hadza hunter–gatherers in Tanzania go so far as to say plainly: “We have no debt”84 (Fig. 1b). Elsewhere in Tanzania, De Weerdt and Fafchamps50 examined data on informal transfers and loans in an agricultural village, looking for “tell-tale signs of limitations imposed by reciprocal arrangements among self-interested individuals.” They found no such signs, instead finding the data “consistent with altruism or social norms” in which gifts do not create debt. This pattern of non-reciprocal helping occurs in South American small-scale societies, including the Ache69,73, Quechua18 and Huaorani85, as well as many other societies around the world (Table 1).
In a computer simulation of Maasai livestock-transfer systems, the need-based osotua rules outperformed the debt-based esile rules. In the need-based system, agents give to partners in need without any requirement that their gifts be repaid, while in the debt-based system, agents end relationships if partners do not repay within a limited time frame. The need-based system was found to pool risk more effectively and lead to greater herd survival than the debt-based system86,87,88. The reason for this is simple: because agents following a debt-based rule end relationships with agents who fail to repay their loans, they have fewer other agents from whom they can request help when they are at risk of falling below the threshold for survival. Agents that follow a need-based strategy, in contrast, maintain all their relationships because they do not expect repayment—only similar help if they themselves are in need.
Principle 3: participants should not be expected to help others until they have taken care of their own needs
In challenging situations, it is often important that people take care of their own needs before helping others. This is the case in small-scale societies, including hunter–gatherers, pastoralists and agriculturalists. It is also the case for many aspects of life in industrialized societies. For example, the safety briefing on airplanes always includes the direction to put on your own oxygen mask first before helping others. People who put their own survival in jeopardy by helping others can generate greater risk for the entire system, whether it is an emergency response on an airplane or a small-scale society managing uncertain foraging returns.
The idea that participants in risk pools should take care of their own needs before helping others was the main finding of an early computer simulation of such systems89. Hegmon created a simulation of Hopi agriculture and modelled three possible crop-sharing systems: no sharing at all; pooling all resources within groups of five households without first setting aside enough within each household to meet its needs; and sharing of resources with needy households only after a household’s own needs were met. Independent households that shared nothing and received nothing fared worst of all. Those that shared everything regardless of whether they were able to meet their own needs fared somewhat better, but those that shared only after their own needs were met fared the best of all.
Small-scale societies follow this pattern of individuals taking care of their basic needs before helping others. Among foragers, this rule takes the form of eating while you are foraging, which ensures that you yourself will have enough food, but continuing to forage after you have eaten enough and bringing home this surplus to share with those who did not find enough food7. Among pastoralists, this takes the form of taking good care of your own herds, keeping them as large and healthy as possible so that they are available not only for your own needs but also those of your risk-pooling partners should they become needy. One important rule of the Maasai osotua system is that osotua partners are allowed to refuse a request of aid if fulfilling it would put them at risk of going below the threshold for what they would need for the survival and well-being of their own family.
Principle 4: participants should have a consensus about what constitutes need
Because risk-pooling is predicated on the idea that aid should go only to those who actually need it, disagreements regarding what constitutes real need can undermine the system. This means that it is necessary for participants in the pool to agree on what needs individuals can ask for help for (for example, essential needs such as having enough food for one’s family) and what things are not essential enough to be worthy of help within the risk pool. The tremendous variations in standards of living that exist not only around the world but even within small areas can be a serious obstacle to successful risk-pooling. When risk pooling takes place on very small scales, as among foragers, this problem may be easy to overcome because there is little variation in wealth90. Among the Maasai, this problem is overcome via a certain degree of residential and social segregation in which poor Maasai and wealthy Maasai tend to live in separate areas and form separate risk pools with those who have similar attitudes about what constitutes basic needs. In market-integrated societies with high levels of income and wealth inequality, it may be difficult to create a single risk-pooling network in which participants agree about what constitutes genuine need.
Principle 5: resources should be either naturally visible or made visible to reduce cheating
Like most cooperative systems, risk-pooling systems are vulnerable to cheating. When it is possible to hide resources, people may take advantage of the opportunity to cheat. When participants play a resource-management game that simulates life as a Maasai herder and are given the opportunity to ask for help and to provide help in the event of a shock, having visible rather than hidden resources reduces cheating91.
Cheating in such systems can take two forms: asking for help when one does not really need it (greediness) and refusing to help when one is actually able to help without putting oneself at risk (stinginess). In the long run, cheating in a risk-pooling system can lead to a natural consequence punishment, whereby no one is available to help cheaters when they find themselves in need. But in the short run, cheating in such systems may still be lucrative and tempting. However, it is not possible to cheat by lying about what one needs or has to offer when resources are easy to see. Among hunter–gatherers and pastoralists, the resources that are most important to them (dead and living large animals, respectively) are inherently difficult to hide, which makes it difficult to be greedy or stingy without it being obvious to others.
In market-integrated societies, where it is easy to hide wealth (for example, in a bank account), it may be more challenging to create successful risk-pooling systems. One solution can be to require that participants in risk pools reveal their wealth. This is the strategy being used by Pando, a US company that creates risk pools among people in occupations, such as professional baseball, in which it is difficult to predict who will become very wealthy. In the case of Major League Baseball, contracts of all the players are public knowledge, which makes it impossible to hide income. Pando also creates other risk pools in industries where income is not public knowledge. To prevent cheating by hiding wealth in these industries, they require participants to share their income tax returns (E. Lax, personal communication).
Principle 6: individuals should be able to decide which partners to accept
In general, cooperation is more successful and sustainable when individuals are able to choose which partners to interact with92. Partner choice helps stabilize cooperation by allowing cooperators to preferentially interact with other cooperators so that cooperators gain the benefits of interacting with one another. Furthermore, partner choice allows cooperation to be grounded in shared norms, reputations and mutual trust, all of which have been shown to be fundamental to the success of large-scale cooperative networks (for example, folk lending and private banking in Asia)93,94. In the Maasai osotua system and similar systems in other societies, individuals have a great deal of autonomy with regard to who their partners will be. This allows individuals to find others who have similar attitudes towards risk and other traits that make them compatible risk-pooling partners. Among the Maasai, the long process of cultivating osotua partners helps ensure compatibility in terms of risk taking among partners and other aspects of livestock management. It also probably provides them with ample time to assess the work ethic and trustworthiness of potential partners. If individuals were not allowed to choose their risk-pooling partners, this would exacerbate the problem of moral hazard, compromising incentives to wisely manage resources and risk.
Principle 7: the scale of the network should be large enough to cover the scale of risks
In an ideal risk pool, the scale of the network is such that individuals are exposed to different kinds of risks and experience them at different times95. Having a network that is large and diverse can help insulate risk-pooling networks from widespread shocks. For example, Bollig14 conducted a livestock census among pastoralist Pokot in western Kenya before, during and after a drought. Although the average herd in his sample shrank during the drought, several of them grew. The topography of East Africa features great altitudinal variations within short distances that help reduce the correlation of shocks among risk-pooling partners96. High-altitude regions are generally well watered and so provide livestock with water and forage, but they also harbour more livestock diseases. Low-altitude areas are a good complement: although they do not provide as much food and water, they typically have low rates of livestock diseases. Maasai and other East African pastoralists are well aware of this, and they strive to develop risk-pooling partnerships with people who live in areas that are ecologically different from their own17.
When individuals in a specific region encounter the same shocks at the same times, scaling up the risk-pooling system can help reduce the synchronicity of shocks. Increasing the number of participants and including individuals who are in different geographical areas are two ways to do this. Because the enforcement of the risk-pooling agreement may be more difficult over long distances, this can be a major challenge97. However, some risk-pooling systems do have some built-in flexibility, with the scale of helping being based on the scale of particular risks and needs. For example, Fijian islanders adjust the social and physical distances between themselves and the people they ask for help depending on whether the need is very local or more widespread. When illnesses and injuries occur, people ask those close at hand, such as close kin, but when widespread disasters such as droughts and cyclones strike, they draw on ties to distant kin in other villages where the impact of the disaster may have been less severe1.
Risk pooling systems can fail when there are not enough resources to meet basic needs
Risk-pooling systems can fail when there are simply not enough resources for individuals to meet their own basic need (violating principle (2)) and when the scale of the network is not large enough to buffer against synchronous shocks (violating principle (7)). For example, during a 19-year period in the late-nineteenth and early-twentieth centuries, the Maasai experienced a series of temporally correlated shocks that they call Emutai, meaning ‘the wiping out’98. Emutai was caused by a combination of drought and epidemics among both humans and their livestock and led to a breakdown of social relations and civil war among the Maasai. But eventually they recovered, and osotua relationships once again became an essential aspect of Maasai risk management. A similar situation occurred among the Ik of Uganda. Ik culture includes a strong ethic of sharing summarized by the adage tomora maráŋ, meaning ‘it’s good to share’99. In the 1960s, the Ik were moved from their ancestral hunting grounds for the creation of a national park, which, combined with a drought, led to a severe famine. The resulting starvation led people to hoard what little food was still available and engage in other selfish behaviours100. After the famine passed, widespread sharing once again became the Ik norm98,101 (Fig. 1c).
Risk-pooling systems are often imbued with sacred cultural, religious and social concepts
Many risk-pooling systems in small-scale societies are imbued with a sense of sacredness. For example, the Ik of Uganda believe in earth spirits known as kíʝáwika. Kíʝáwika are said to monitor the behaviour of people and then punish stingy people and reward generous people1,99. Even when a religion includes no belief in supernatural punishment, linking membership in a risk pool to participation in a religion might be a way to increase cooperation within the pool, as religion has been shown to do for other forms of cooperation102,103,104,105. The Maasai osotua system is also imbued with a sense of sacredness that may serve as an implicit threat of supernatural punishment against cheaters. The way that the word osotua evokes the sacred relationship between mother and fetus may also discourage cheating and encourage cooperation. The metaphorical use of kin terms such as brother or sister for risk-pooling partners might have a similar effect20,106.
Risk-pooling systems build on our evolved psychology
The psychological adaptations that underlie risk pooling through need-based helping may have first evolved in the context of parenting and other interactions with close kin, later becoming generalized for interactions with others. Need-based helping of offspring makes evolutionary sense because the fitness of parents is dependent on that of their offspring. Need-based helping of other kinds of close kin makes sense for essentially the same reason, that is, overlapping genomes due to shared ancestry107,108 and the resulting fitness interdependence109. Fitness interdependence can also arise due to other reasons, such as co-residence, and the logic of helping those with whom one is interdependent in ways other than genetic relatedness can be mathematically modelled in a way that is analogous to Hamilton’s rule110,111.
If groups of early humans had shared fates and therefore high levels of fitness interdependence, selection may have favoured those who responded to the needs not only of close genetic relatives but also others with whom they shared high degrees of positive fitness interdependence. The resulting propensity to help others based on their need may have provided the foundation on which successful risk-pooling systems are built. Once risk pooling is established, it can in turn further increase interdependence among the members of the risk-pooling group. In this way, many different sources of interdependence—co-residence, kinship, marriage, risk pooling, and so on—can be mutually reinforcing as they provide multiple reasons for people to look after one another by increasing the degree to which they have shared fates.
Risk-pooling systems often decline in response to market integration and increased affluence
When market integration gives people access to resources, such as cash, that can be easily hidden (violating principle (5)), even long-established risk-pooling systems can begin to falter. For example, after Mbuti hunter–gatherers in the Congo region began selling meat to traders, the amount of meat shared within camps decreased112. Similarly, the introduction of cash into Baka communities in Cameroon led to money hoarding and less meat sharing113,114.
Risk-pooling systems can also decline in importance simply because increased affluence and economic diversification make people less dependent on them. For example, among the Maasai in Tanzania, as the dependence of households on pastoralism decreases, their efforts to restock the herds of others declines, so does the frequency with which they give and receive gifts to and from other households115. Similarly, there has been a decline in risk pooling and a rise in patron–client relationships among Fulani in Nigeria as some households have become wealthy and others have remained poor95.
With market integration, debt-based transactions typically increase, while need-based transactions decrease. This does not mean that risk pooling is impossible; models show that some amount of risk pooling still does happen in debt-based systems, just not to the same extent that it does in need-based systems87 (Fig. 2). Successful debt-based risk-pooling systems take into account random shocks experienced by both borrowers and lenders. For example, in northern Nigeria, informal loans are usually made before the start of the growing season and repaid after the first crops are harvested. When borrowers experience losses due to floods, high winds or insects, lenders often give them extra time to repay and charge less interest116,117. When shocks occur to lenders, borrowers often increase the interest they pay. Similarly flexible debt-based systems have been documented in India118 and the Philippines119.
Other scholars have pointed out that financial development has increased some dimensions of risk because of incentive structures that encourage risk taking and risk transfer47. The ability of banks and other organizations to externalize many risks points to the need for building better self-governance structures that can deal with the networked nature of financial risk46. The principles of risk-pooling systems that we have laid out here might be helpful for redesigning these systems so that they are better able to deal with risk within their structures without leading to cascading effects in the networked financial system.
Risk pooling and commercial insurance can complement each other
Unlike commercial insurance, risk pooling does not require actuarial databases that allow companies to calculate the probabilities that specific kinds of people will experience specific kinds of losses28. As a result, grassroots risk-pooling arrangements have an advantage over commercial insurance. That is, while insurance policies are typically limited to very specific types of risk, risk-pooling arrangements can cover a wide range of types of risk, not all of which have to be specified at the outset. This makes risk pooling particularly useful for communities that may experience unexpected and unprecedented events.
However, as we have seen, risk-pooling systems have some vulnerabilities. In some circumstances, it may be possible to overcome some of those vulnerabilities by combining risk pooling with commercial insurance products. For example, index insurance can help when a risk-pooling network is not large enough to handle synchronous shocks (violating principle (7)). Index insurance is tied not to the fortunes of the purchaser but rather to some environmental variable, such as rainfall, that can be independently measured and that is known to correlate with the economic fortunes of the purchasers120,121. In the past two decades, a system called index-based livestock insurance (IBLI)122 has provided Mongolian herders insurance against winter disasters (called dzud in Mongolian) that involve cold temperatures and severe storms that can kill millions of livestock. Payments are made when livestock mortality of a particular species in a district exceeds 5% or 6%. An analysis of recovery of pastoralists after a severe dzud in the winter of 2009–2010 showed that households that purchased IBLI before the dzud recovered faster than uninsured households122.
Hybrid risk-pooling systems that incorporate features of both markets and need-based systems also have the potential to increase resilience. For example, the airline industry uses a seat-exchange system that allows airlines to buy seats from one another at below-market prices when uncontrollable circumstances such as bad weather and equipment failure require the cancellation of flights. This seat-exchange system is specifically for situations where need arises unpredictably. Although this system includes financial payments, these payments are below what would be charged on the open market. This system of seat exchange helps buffer the international air-transportation system against both minor uncertainties of weather and larger hazards such as natural disasters (E. Gel and M. Clough, personal communication). Even debt-based lending can have elements of need-based systems. For example, the Chettiar banking system in India had an inter-bank lending mechanism that was in place to help one another in times of need. Within this system, they would freely lend funds (at a lower rate than they typically lent) among one another when a bank was in need of liquidity93.
The complementarity of commercial insurance and risk pooling can also be seen in the wake of natural disasters and other unexpected catastrophes. In the aftermath of such events, those who are in a position to help often do so spontaneously and without any expectation of repayment. This helping often fills a critical gap by assisting with immediate needs that are not covered by commercial insurance. For example, in the aftermath of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, many businesses did not charge for food and services123. After Hurricane Katrina devastated the US Gulf Coast in 2005, hundreds of volunteer boat owners, dubbed the ‘Cajun Navy’ by journalists, took it on themselves to rescue people from their flooded homes, sometimes at considerable risk to themselves124. During the current coronavirus pandemic, generosity has taken many forms, including people sewing masks for healthcare workers125, people shopping for those who are at high risk126, people donating their stimulus cheques to food pantries and other charities127, landlords waiving rent128 and distilleries turning alcohol waste into hand sanitizer and then giving it away129.
Risk-pooling systems that utilize need-based transfers can potentially contribute to our resilience to disasters across systems of varying scales and complexities. As catastrophic events increase in frequency, the ability of standard insurance to really help people and organizations that are in need will continue to decline130. One possible solution would be to create an alternative to market-based insurance that is specifically geared towards building risk-transfer networks that allow individuals and organizations to insure against catastrophes. Such a system could operate even when pricing risk and insurance is not possible. Given the vulnerabilities of our current globalized financial system to spread risk, a restructuring of our formal and informal risk-management systems may be in order47. Future work should investigate how these systems can be effectively incorporated with market-based mechanisms to effectively employ them to enhance large-scale global hazard resilience.
This article was inspired in part by the example of the design principles for common pool resource management identified by Ostrom and colleagues81. However, while common pool resource management schemes have often been deliberately designed, most of the risk-pooling systems that researchers have documented simply emerged over time through interactions among people, similar to many other social rules and institutions131,132, and have probably evolved through a Darwinian process of selection among alternative culture traits. Even though the principles underlying risk-pooling systems were not deliberately designed to solve the problems of managing risk, they offer unique solutions for dealing with catastrophic situations that even deliberately designed risk-management systems such as market-based insurance cannot handle. As we as a society strive to create more effective strategies for managing risk in increasingly uncertain times, we may be able to leverage this ancient wisdom to better manage our modern risks.
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This work was conducted as part of The Human Generosity Project (http://humangenerosity.org), which has received support from the National Science Foundation, the John Templeton Foundation, the Charles Koch Foundation, Arizona State University, Rutgers University’s Center for Human Evolutionary Studies and the American Center for Mongolian Studies. Any opinions, findings, conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of our funders.
The authors declare no competing interests.
Peer review information Nature Human Behaviour thanks Travis Selmier and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.
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Cronk, L., Aktipis, A. Design principles for risk-pooling systems. Nat Hum Behav 5, 825–833 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01121-9