Abstract
Soils contain more carbon than the atmosphere and vegetation combined. An increased flow of carbon from the atmosphere into soil pools could help mitigate anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide and climate change. Yet we do not know how quickly soils might respond because the age distribution of soil carbon is uncertain. Here we used 789 radiocarbon (∆14C) profiles, along with other geospatial information, to create globally gridded datasets of mineral soil ∆14C and mean age. We found that soil depth is a primary driver of ∆14C, whereas climate (for example, mean annual temperature) is a major control on the spatial pattern of ∆14C in surface soil. Integrated to a depth of 1 m, global soil carbon has a mean age of 4,830 ± 1,730 yr, with older carbon in deeper layers and permafrost regions. In contrast, vertically resolved land models simulate ∆14C values that imply younger carbon ages and a more rapid carbon turnover. Our data-derived estimates of older mean soil carbon age suggest that soils will accumulate less carbon than predicted by current Earth system models over the twenty-first century. Reconciling these models with the global distribution of soil radiocarbon will require a better representation of the mechanisms that control carbon persistence in soils.
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Data availability
The gridded maps of soil ∆14C and MCA are archived at Zenodo (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3823612). Other data that support the findings of this study are publicly available. Soil ∆14C measurements are available at https://zenodo.org/record/2613911#.XsNtQi-z124. Global soil carbon and soil clay content in SoilGrids are available at https://landgis.opengeohub.org. Soil carbon content in HWSD is available at https://go.nature.com/2ASmPC3. Global soil order data are available at https://go.nature.com/3hgdsgb. The climate data used can be downloaded from https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/. The land cover map can be obtained from the MODIS Land cover MCD12Q1 product (https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mcd12q1v006/). The permafrost map was generated by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (https://go.nature.com/2AZbTTe).
Code availability
All code relating to this study is available from the corresponding author upon request.
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the European Research Council (Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, grant agreement 695101, to S.T. and J.T.R.), by the US DOE Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research RUBISCO Science Focus Area (to J.T.R. and Q.Z.) and award DE-SC0014374 (to S.D.A. and J.T.R.) and by a NASA Earth and Space Science Fellowship (to P.A.L.).
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Z.S., Y.H., S.D.A., S.T. and J.T.R. designed the study; Z.S. and Y.H. analysed the data using machine learning and other approaches; P.A.L., W.R.W. and Q.Z. provided analysis of the land surface models; J.B.-M., A.M.H., P.A.L. and S.T. contributed to the development of the version of the ISRaD dataset used here; Z.S., S.D.A. and J.T.R. wrote the paper with substantial contributions from all of the authors.
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Shi, Z., Allison, S.D., He, Y. et al. The age distribution of global soil carbon inferred from radiocarbon measurements. Nat. Geosci. 13, 555–559 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0596-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0596-z
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