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Countdown to 1.5 °C warming

If emissions continue at the present-day rate, about 22 years are left until global mean warming reaches the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement target, suggests a new metric based on the observed level and rate of anthropogenic warming.

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Fig. 1: The adaptation/mitigation timescale.


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Correspondence to Katarzyna B. Tokarska.

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Tokarska, K.B. Countdown to 1.5 °C warming. Nature Geosci 11, 546–547 (2018).

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