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Event-based models to understand the scale of the impact of extremes

Nature Energy volume 5, pages 111–114 (2020)Cite this article

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Climate change entails an intensification of extreme weather events that can potentially trigger socioeconomic and energy system disruptions. As we approach 1 °C of global warming we should start learning from historical extremes and explicitly incorporate such events in integrated climate–economy and energy systems models.

Climate change is increasing the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as high intensity storms, heavy precipitation or extreme heat days. Climate impacts on energy systems thus result not just from a change in average temperature or precipitation over the long term, but also from disasters caused by extreme weather events.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

    Christian Otto, Franziska Piontek & Katja Frieler

  2. Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin, Germany

    Matthias Kalkuhl

  3. University of Potsdam, Faculty of Economic and Social Sciences, Potsdam, Germany

    Matthias Kalkuhl

Authors
  1. Christian Otto
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  2. Franziska Piontek
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  3. Matthias Kalkuhl
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  4. Katja Frieler
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Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Christian Otto or Katja Frieler.

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Otto, C., Piontek, F., Kalkuhl, M. et al. Event-based models to understand the scale of the impact of extremes. Nat Energy 5, 111–114 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0562-4

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