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Predicting unpredictability

A Publisher Correction to this article was published on 03 May 2018

This article has been updated

Analysts and markets have struggled to predict a number of phenomena, such as the rise of natural gas, in US energy markets over the past decade or so. Research shows the challenge may grow because the industry — and consequently the market — is becoming increasingly volatile.

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Fig. 1: Projections versus reality.

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  • 03 May 2018

    In this News & Views article originally published, the wrong graph was used for panel b of Fig. 1, and the numbers on the y axes of panels a and c were incorrect; the original and corrected Fig. 1 is shown below. This has now been corrected in all versions of the News & Views.


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Correspondence to Steven J. Davis.

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Davis, S.J. Predicting unpredictability. Nat Energy 3, 257–258 (2018).

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