News & Views | Published:


Predicting unpredictability

Nature Energyvolume 3pages257258 (2018) | Download Citation

Analysts and markets have struggled to predict a number of phenomena, such as the rise of natural gas, in US energy markets over the past decade or so. Research shows the challenge may grow because the industry — and consequently the market — is becoming increasingly volatile.

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Change history

  • 03 May 2018

    In this News & Views article originally published, the wrong graph was used for panel b of Fig. 1, and the numbers on the y axes of panels a and c were incorrect; the original and corrected Fig. 1 is shown below. This has now been corrected in all versions of the News & Views.


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Author information


  1. Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA

    • Steven J. Davis
  2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA

    • Steven J. Davis


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Correspondence to Steven J. Davis.

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