HYDROPOWER IN AFRICA

Climate variability risks for electricity supply

Article metrics

Hydropower represents about 20% of sub-Saharan electricity, and expansion is underway. Rainfall varies year-to-year in geographical clusters, increasing the risk of climate-related electricity supply disruption in dry years.

Access options

Rent or Buy article

Get time limited or full article access on ReadCube.

from$8.99

All prices are NET prices.

Fig. 1: Major river basins of eastern and southern Africa and historic variations in rainfall.

References

  1. 1.

    Africa Development Indicators 2012/13 (World Bank, Washington DC, 2013); http://doi.org/cf48

  2. 2.

    Hydropower Status Report 2017 (International Hydropower Association, London, 2017); http://go.nature.com/2As5PNd

  3. 3.

    Beilfuss, R. A Risky Climate for Southern African Hydro (International Rivers, Berkeley, 2012); http://go.nature.com/2hkMypG

  4. 4.

    Kling, H., Fuchs, M. & Stanzel, P. Water storage & hydropower development for Africa: Future hydro generation in the Zambezi basin under the latest IPCC climate change projections. Int. J. Hydropower Dams 23–26 (2015).

  5. 5.

    Ray, P. A. & Brown, C. M. Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design — The Decision Tree Framework (World Bank Group, Washington DC, 2015); http://doi.org/cf49

  6. 6.

    Kling, H., Stanzel, P. & Preishuber, M. Impact modelling of water resources development and climate scenarios on Zambezi River discharge. J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud. 1, 17–43 (2014).

  7. 7.

    Conway, D., Dalin, C., Landman, W. A. & Osborn, T. J. Hydropower plans in eastern and southern Africa increase risk of concurrent climate related electricity supply disruption. Nat. Energy https://doi.org/s41560-017-0037-4 (2017).

  8. 8.

    Becker, A. et al. A description of the global land-surface precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre with sample applications including centennial (trend) analysis from 1901–present. Earth System Sci. Data 5, 71–99 (2013).

Download references

Author information

Correspondence to Harald Kling.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kling, H. Climate variability risks for electricity supply. Nat Energy 2, 916–917 (2017) doi:10.1038/s41560-017-0059-y

Download citation