Correction to: Nature Ecology & Evolution https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-1059-z, published online 16 December 2019.

In the version of this Article originally published, the following subsections of text were incorrectly typeset in the main text and should have been in Box 1: ‘Input’, ‘Model’, ‘Parameter estimation’, ‘Prediction’ and ‘Assumptions’. This has now been corrected.