The cognitive buffer hypothesis posits that environmental variability can be a major driver of the evolution of cognition because an enhanced ability to produce flexible behavioural responses facilitates coping with the unexpected. Although comparative evidence supports different aspects of this hypothesis, a direct connection between cognition and the ability to survive a variable and unpredictable environment has yet to be demonstrated. Here, we use complementary demographic and evolutionary analyses to show that among birds, the mechanistic premise of this hypothesis is well supported but the implied direction of causality is not. Specifically, we show that although population dynamics are more stable and less affected by environmental variation in birds with larger relative brain sizes, the evolution of larger brains often pre-dated and facilitated the colonization of variable habitats rather than the other way around. Our findings highlight the importance of investigating the timeline of evolutionary events when interpreting patterns of phylogenetic correlation.
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We thank B. Carlson for invaluable feedback on an earlier draft of this manuscript. We are also grateful to the BBS and the countless volunteers that participate annually in this yearly survey. Bayesian analyses were run in the Washington University Center for High Performance Computing (CHPC), which is partially funded by NIH grants 1S10RR022984-01A1 and 1S10OD018091-01. We thank M. Tobias for his helpful advice on HPC.
The authors declare no competing financial interests.
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Electronic supplementary material
Supplementary Tables 1–3, Supplementary Figures 1–3
Data for 126 species used in population analyses. Variable descriptions can be found in the methods section of the manuscript.
Data for 2,062 species used in estimating relative brain sizes, including 1,288 species included in global evolutionary analyses. Variable descriptions can be found in the methods section of the manuscript.
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Fristoe, T.S., Iwaniuk, A.N. & Botero, C.A. Big brains stabilize populations and facilitate colonization of variable habitats in birds. Nat Ecol Evol 1, 1706–1715 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0316-2
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