Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Comment
  • Published:

Three institutional pathways to envision the future of the IPCC

The IPCC has been successful at building its scientific authority, but it will require institutional reform for staying relevant to new and changing political contexts. Exploring a range of alternative future pathways for the IPCC can help guide crucial decisions about redefining its purpose.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Relevant articles

Open Access articles citing this article.

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout


  1. Carraro, C. et al. Science 350, 34–35 (2015).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Lee, H. Science 350, 1007 (2015).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Hulme, M., Zorita, E., Stocker, T. F., Price, J. & Christy, J. R. Nature 463, 730–732 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Stocker, T. F. & Plattner, G.-K. Nature 513, 163–165 (2014).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. De Pryck, K. & Hulme, M. A Critical Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).

  6. Bak-Coleman, J. et al. Nature 617, 462–464 (2023).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. De Pryck, K. Glob. Policy 12, 80–89 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Borie, M., Mahony, M., Obermeister, N. & Hulme, M. Glob. Environ. Change 68, 102261 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Earth Negotiations Bulletin—Summary of the 57th Session of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IISD, 2022);

  10. Schipper, E. L. F., Dubash, N. K. & Mulugetta, Y. Climatic Change 168, 18 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Chen, D. et al. in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis (eds Masson-Delmotte, V. et al.) Ch. 1 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2021).

  12. Pielke, R. A. The Honest Broker: Making Sense of Science in Policy and Politics (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).

  13. Klinsky, S. et al. Glob. Environ. Change 44, 170–173 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Jebeile, J. Soc. Epistemol. 34, 453–468 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Raman, S. & Pearce, W. WIREs Clim. Change 11, e672 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Beck, S., Forsyth, T. & Mahony, M. One Earth 5, 586–588 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Hartz, F. WIREs Clim. Change 14, e814 (2023).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Fazey, I. et al. Energy Res. Soc. Sci. 40, 54–70 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. O’Neill, S. J., Hulme, M., Turnpenny, J. & Screen, J. A. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 91, 997–1002 (2010).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Victor, D. G. Nature 520, 27–29 (2015).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references


This work partly originates from a workshop organized by National Institute for Environmental Studies in April 2023, where S.A., K.D.P. and M.H. participated. S.A. acknowledges the financial support from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grants-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists [20K20022]. M.H. acknowledges the financial support from the Department of Geography, University of Cambridge.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations


Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Shinichiro Asayama, Kari De Pryck or Mike Hulme.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Asayama, S., De Pryck, K., Beck, S. et al. Three institutional pathways to envision the future of the IPCC. Nat. Clim. Chang. 13, 877–880 (2023).

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI:

This article is cited by


Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing