Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Article
  • Published:

Empowering citizen-led adaptation to systemic climate change risks

Abstract

The increasing impacts of climate change instigate the need for adaptation. However, most adaptation initiatives focus on actions by government or businesses, despite growing calls for communities on the frontline of climate risks to be involved in planning and selecting strategies. Here we appraise a pilot process using participatory systems mapping with citizens to identify (1) diverse threat vectors for local climate impacts and (2) context-relevant interventions to protect households and communities while (3) considering synergies and trade-offs with other socially desirable outcomes. We tested the pilot process in communities in the Lower Volta Basin in Ghana, the Assam region in India and Southern England. From participants’ perspectives, the process increased awareness of and preparedness for climate change impacts and raised essential learning points for upscaling citizen-led adaptation approaches. These include understanding multiple outcomes of interventions, barriers and enablers to implementation, and sensitivity of co-design to regional geography and socio-cultural context.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Summary of the standardized elements of the EMPOWER project22 process.
Fig. 2: Locations and characteristics of the three case study villages in the Assam region of North East India.
Fig. 3: UK participant intentions to pursue climate adaptation interventions.
Fig. 4
Fig. 5: Responses from before-and-after-project surveys for three case studies.

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article (and its Supplementary Information files).

References

  1. Demski, C., Capstick, S., Pidgeon, N., Sposato, R. G. & Spence, A. Experience of extreme weather affects climate change mitigation and adaptation responses. Clim. Change 140, 149–164 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. IPCC Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Pörtner, H. O. et al eds) (Cambridge University Press, 2022); https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844

  3. Warren, R. F. et al. Advancing national climate change risk assessment to deliver national adaptation plans. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A 376, 20170295 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Business and climate change adaptation: toward resilient companies and communities. UN Global Compact and UN Environment Programme https://www.iccr.org/sites/default/files/resources_attachments/businessandclimatechangeadaptation.pdf (2012).

  5. Sillmann, J. et al. ISC-UNDRR-RISK KAN Briefing note on systemic risk. International Science Council https://doi.org/10.24948/2022.01 (2022).

  6. IGRC guidelines for emerging risk governance. International Risk Governance Council https://irgc.org/publications/core-concepts-of-risk-governance/ (2015).

  7. Eriksen, S. et al. Adaptation interventions and their effect on vulnerability in developing countries: help, hindrance or irrelevance. World Dev. 141, 105383 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Pisor, A. C. et al. Effective climate change adaptation means supporting community autonomy. Nat. Clim. Change 12, 213–215 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Ampaire, E. L. et al. Institutional challenges to climate change adaptation: a case study on policy action gaps in Uganda. Environ. Sci. Policy 75, 81–90 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Forsyth, T. Community-based adaptation: a review of past and future challenges. WIREs Clim. Change 4, 439–446 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Woroniecki, S. Enabling environments? Examining social co-benefits of ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change in Sri Lanka. Sustainability 11, 772 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Nared, J. & Bole, D. Participatory Research and Planning in Practice (Springer Nature, 2020).

  13. Moser, S. C. & Ekstrom, J. A. A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107, 22026–22031 (2010).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Eisenack, K. et al. Explaining and overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 867–872 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A. & Raghuwanshi, N. S. A combined bottom-up and top-down approach for assessment of climate change adaptation options. J. Hydrol. 518, 150–161 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Travis, W. R., Smith, J. B. & Yohe, G. W. Moving toward 1.5 °C of warming: implications for climate adaptation strategies. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sust. 31, 146–152 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Conway, D. et al. The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nat. Clim. Change 9, 503–511 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Araos, M. et al. Equity in human adaptation-related responses: a systematic global review. One Earth 4, 1454–1467 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Climate change risk assessment 2021. Chatham House https://www.chathamhouse.org/2021/09/climate-change-risk-assessment-2021/04-cascading-systemic-risks (2021).

  20. Systemic Risk Briefing Note by International Science Council, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction and Risk-KAN working groups. International Science Council https://www.undrr.org/publication/briefing-note-systemic-risk (2022).

  21. Arribas, A. et al. Climate risk assessment needs urgent improvement. Nat. Commun. 13, 4326 (2022).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  22. EMPOWER project. EMPOWER https://www.empower-project.org/ (2023).

  23. Berrang-Ford, L. et al. A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 11, 989–1000 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Moritz, M. et al. Emergent sustainability in open property regimes. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 115, 12859–12867 (2018).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Clarkson, G. et al. Stimulating small-scale farmer innovation and adaptation with Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture (PICSA): lessons from successful implementation in Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean and South Asia. Clim. Serv. 26, 100298 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Schmitt Olabisi, L. et al. Scenario planning for climate adaptation in agricultural systems. Agriculture 10, 274 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Piggott-McKellar, A. E., McNamara, K. E., Nunn, P. D. & Watson, J. E. M. What are the barriers to successful community-based climate change adaptation? A review of grey literature. Local Environ. 24, 374–390 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Clar, C., Prutsch, A. & Steurer, R. Barriers and guidelines for public policies on climate change adaptation: a missed opportunity of scientific knowledge-brokerage. Nat. Resour. Forum 37, 1–18 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Barr, S. Environmental action in the home: investigating the ‘value-action’ gap. Geography 91, 43–54 (2006).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Gifford, R. D. & Chen, A. K. S. Why aren’t we taking action? Psychological barriers to climate-positive food choices. Clim. Change 140, 165–178 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Whitmarsh, L., Seyfang, G. & O’Neill, S. Public engagement with carbon and climate change: to what extent is the public ‘carbon capable’? Glob. Environ. Change 21, 56–65 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Gifford, R. The dragons of inaction: psychological barriers that limit climate change mitigation and adaptation. Am. Psychol. 66, 290–302 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Antwi-Agyei, P., Dougill, A. J. & Stringer, L. C. Barriers to climate change adaptation: evidence from northeast Ghana in the context of a systematic literature review. Clim. Dev. 7, 297–309 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Owen, G. What makes climate change adaptation effective? A systematic review of the literature. Glob. Environ. Change 62, 102071 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. McGonigle, D. F. et al. A knowledge brokering framework for integrated landscape management. Front. Sustain. Food Syst. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2020.00013 (2020).

  36. Kirkby, P., Williams, C. & Huq, S. Community-based adaptation (CBA): adding conceptual clarity to the approach, and establishing its principles and challenges. Clim. Dev. 10, 577–589 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Butler, J. R. A. et al. Integrating top-down and bottom-up adaptation planning to build adaptive capacity: a structured learning approach. Coast. Manag. 43, 346–364 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Torhan, S. et al. Tradeoffs and synergies across global climate change adaptations in the food–energy–water nexus. Earth’s Future 10, e2021EF002201 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Oliver, T. H. et al. Knowledge architecture for the wise governance of sustainability transitions. Environ. Sci. Policy 126, 152–163 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Mees, H. L. P., Uittenbroek, C. J., Hegger, D. L. T. & Driessen, P. P. J. From citizen participation to government participation: an exploration of the roles of local governments in community initiatives for climate change adaptation in the Netherlands. Environ. Policy Gov. 29, 198–208 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Mulvad, A. M. & Popp-Madsen, B. A. Sortition-infused democracy: empowering citizens in the age of climate emergency. Thesis Eleven 167, 77–98 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Sullivan, C. & Meigh, J. Targeting attention on local vulnerabilities using an integrated index approach: the example of the climate vulnerability index. Water Sci. Technol. 51, 69–78 (2005).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  43. Hossain, M. K. & Meng, Q. A fine-scale spatial analytics of the assessment and mapping of buildings and population at different risk levels of urban flood. Land Use Policy 99, 104829 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Lee, S., Moon, H., Choi, Y. & Yoon, D. K. Analyzing thermal characteristics of urban streets using a thermal imaging camera: a case study on commercial streets in Seoul, Korea. Sustainability 10, 519 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Participatory System Mapper. PRSM https://prsm.uk (2023).

  46. Makondo, C. C. & Thomas, D. S. G. Climate change adaptation: linking indigenous knowledge with western science for effective adaptation. Environ. Sci. Policy 88, 83–91 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank all the dedicated participants involved in the workshops across the three countries. The project was funded by a UKRI UK–India partnership (Ref.: 2021COPA&R13Oliver).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

T.H.O., N.G., M.N. and E.O. led the study design and planning with inputs from P.B., J.D.C., N.D., A.Z.D., M.P.G., K.N. and M.A.O. All co-authors participated in the workshops using participatory systems mapping and subsequently contributed to the article writing and review.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tom H. Oliver.

Ethics declarations

Ethics declarations

This study has been approved by the School of Biological Sciences Ethics Committee at the University of Reading (reference SBS21-21 03).

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Climate Change thanks Jeff Birchall, Eranga Galappaththi and Edmond Totin for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Extended data

Extended Data Fig. 1 Individual country reports.

Detailed Background to the country case studies can be found in the reports shown below, available for download at https://www.empower-project.org/resources/.

Extended Data Fig. 2 Responses to evaluation survey of UK participants after the EMPOWER workshops.

These responses assess the degree to which they felt the project helped them make plans for climate change adaptation and improved their understanding of potential climate change impacts.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Tables 1–5, Box 1 and Discussion.

Reporting Summary

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Oliver, T.H., Bazaanah, P., Da Costa, J. et al. Empowering citizen-led adaptation to systemic climate change risks. Nat. Clim. Chang. 13, 671–678 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01712-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01712-6

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing