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Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts

Forward-looking information about climate risks is critical for decision makers, but the provision and accuracy of such information is limited. Innovative prediction-market designs could provide a mechanism to enhance applied climate research in an incentive-compatible way.

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All authors contributed to the writing and editing of the manuscript, as well as responding to referees.

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Correspondence to Mark Roulston.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Nature Climate Change thanks Michael Vandenbergh and Ross McKitrick for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

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Roulston, M., Kaplan, T., Day, B. et al. Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts. Nat. Clim. Chang. (2022).

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