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The question of overshoot

Most emissions scenarios in line with the Paris Agreement have shown a large amount of net-negative CO2 emissions during the second half of this century. A new set of scenarios expands this picture.

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Fig. 1: Three examples of the types of pathways leading to the same cumulative CO2 emissions in 2100.


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This publication was funded by The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research through the Mistra Carbon Exit program. C. Azar, I. Gunnarsson and J. Morfeldt are acknowledged for providing useful comments.

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Correspondence to Daniel J. A. Johansson.

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Johansson, D.J.A. The question of overshoot. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 1021–1022 (2021).

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