Recent accelerated climate change has exacerbated existing environmental problems in the Mediterranean Basin that are caused by the combination of changes in land use, increasing pollution and declining biodiversity. For five broad and interconnected impact domains (water, ecosystems, food, health and security), current change and future scenarios consistently point to significant and increasing risks during the coming decades. Policies for the sustainable development of Mediterranean countries need to mitigate these risks and consider adaptation options, but currently lack adequate information — particularly for the most vulnerable southern Mediterranean societies, where fewer systematic observations schemes and impact models are based. A dedicated effort to synthesize existing scientific knowledge across disciplines is underway and aims to provide a better understanding of the combined risks posed.
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This work has benefited from discussions with V. Alary (CIRAD, France), W.W.L. Cheung (Univ. British Columbia, Canada), K. Radunsky (Umweltbundesamt, Austria), J. Le Tellier (Plan Bleu, France), C. Webster (MedPAN, France) and many participants at five MedECC workshops between October 2016 and April 2018. Coordination was supported by the Laboratory of Excellence OT-Med (A*MIdex project no. 11-IDEX-0001-02).
The authors declare no competing interests.
Publisher’s note: Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
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Cramer, W., Guiot, J., Fader, M. et al. Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean. Nature Clim Change 8, 972–980 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2
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Modeling the impacts of projected climate change on wheat crop suitability in semi-arid regions using the AHP-based weighted climatic suitability index and CMIP6
Geoscience Letters (2023)
Nature Communications (2023)
Anthropogenic acidification of surface waters drives decreased biogenic calcification in the Mediterranean Sea
Communications Earth & Environment (2023)