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Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals

In key European cities, stabilizing climate warming at 1.5 °C would decrease extreme heat-related mortality by 15–22% per summer compared with stabilization at 2 °C.

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Fig. 1: Distributions of heat-related summer mortality in current, 1.5 °C and 2 °C decade experiments.


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We thank M. Oppenheimer for valuable discussions on the manuscript. D.M. was supported by a NERC independent research fellowship (NE/NO14057/1). H.S. is supported by the ERTD Fund (2-1702) of ERCA and TOUGOU of MEXT, Japan. N.S. and J.S. received support from the Norwegian Research Council, project nos 261821 (HappiEVA) and 243953 (ClimateXL). AG is supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1). This research used science gateway resources of the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, a DOE Office of Science User Facility supported by the Office of Science of the US Department of Energy under contract no. DE-AC02- 05CH11231.

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Correspondence to Daniel Mitchell.

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Mitchell, D., Heaviside, C., Schaller, N. et al. Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals. Nature Clim Change 8, 551–553 (2018).

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