News & Views | Published:

CRYOSPHERE

Arctic sea ice at 1.5 and 2 °C

In the Paris Agreement, nations committed to a more ambitious climate policy target, aiming to limit global warming to 1.5 °C rather than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Climate models now show that achieving the 1.5 °C goal would make a big difference for Arctic sea ice.

Access optionsAccess options

Rent or Buy article

Get time limited or full article access on ReadCube.

from$8.99

All prices are NET prices.

References

  1. 1.

    Sigmond, M., Fyfe, J. C. & Swart, N. C. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0124-y (2018).

  2. 2.

    Jahn, A. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0127-8 (2018).

  3. 3.

    Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. Science 354, 747–750 (2016).

  4. 4.

    IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).

  5. 5.

    Sanderson, B. M. et al. Earth Syst. Dynam 8, 827–847 (2017).

  6. 6.

    Iversen, T. et al. Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2017-115 (2017).

  7. 7.

    Ridley, J.K & Blockley, E. W. Cryosph. Discuss. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2017-283 (2017).

  8. 8.

    Screen, J. A. & Williamson, D. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 230–231 (2017).

  9. 9.

    Niederdrenk, A.L. & Notz, D. Geophys. Res. Lett. 45, 1963–1971 (2018).

  10. 10.

    Rogelj, J. et al. Nature 534, 631–639 (2016).

  11. 11.

    Meinshausen, M. et al. Nature 458, 1158–1162 (2009).

  12. 12.

    Millar, R. J. et al. Nat. Geosci. 10, 741–747 (2017).

Download references

Author information

Correspondence to James A. Screen.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The author declares no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Further reading

Fig. 1: Probability of at least one occurrence of an ice-free Arctic.