News & Views

CLIMATE MODELLING

Accounting for the human factor

One of the greatest sources of uncertainty about future climate change is the path greenhouse gas emissions will take. Now research using a coupled model of human behaviour and climate finds that individual behaviour can significantly alter emissions trajectories and global temperature.

  • Subscribe to Nature Climate Change for full access:

    $59

    Subscribe

Additional access options:

Already a subscriber?  Log in  now or  Register  for online access.

References

  1. 1.

    Stern, P. C. Am. Psychol. 66, 303–314 (2011).

  2. 2.

    Gifford, R. Am. Psychol. 66, 290–302 (2011).

  3. 3.

    Janssen, M. A. & Ostrom, E. in Handbook of Computational Economics (eds Tesfatsion, L. & Judd, K. L.) 1465–1509 (Elsevier, 2006).

  4. 4.

    McNamara, D. E. & Werner, B. T. J. Geophys. Res. 113, F01016 (2008).

  5. 5.

    Gillingham, K. et al. Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison Working Paper 21637 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2015).

  6. 6.

    Podestá, G., Weber, E. U., Laciana, C., Bert, F. & Letson, D. in Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments (eds Kugler, T. et al.) 57–76 (Springer, 2008).

  7. 7.

    McNamara, D. E. & Keeler, A. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 559–562 (2013).

  8. 8.

    Beckage, B. et al. Nat. Clim. Change https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-017-0031-7 (2018).

  9. 9.

    Ajzen, I. Organizational Behav. Human Decision Processes 50, 179–211 (1991).

  10. 10.

    Zaval, L., Keenan, E. A., Johnson, E. J. & Weber, E. Nat. Clim. Change 4, 143–147 (2014).

  11. 11.

    Stern, P. C., Gardner, G. T., Vandenbergh, M. P., Dietz, T. & Gilligan, J. M. Environ. Sci. Technol. 44, 4847–4848 (2010).

  12. 12.

    Dietz, T., Gardner, G. T., Gilligan, J., Stern, P. C. & Vandenbergh, M. P. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 18452–18456 (2009).

  13. 13.

    An, L. Ecolog. Modelling 229, 25–36 (2012).

Download references

Author information

Affiliations

  1. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA

    • Jonathan M. Gilligan

Authors

  1. Search for Jonathan M. Gilligan in:

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jonathan M. Gilligan.