Horizontal gene transfer has played a role in developing the global public health crisis of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). However, the dynamics of AMR transfer through bacterial populations and its direct impact on human disease is poorly elucidated. Here, we study parallel epidemic emergences of multiple Shigella species, a priority AMR organism, in men who have sex with men to gain insight into AMR emergence and spread. Using genomic epidemiology, we show that repeated horizontal transfer of a single AMR plasmid among Shigella enhanced existing and facilitated new epidemics. These epidemic patterns contrasted with slighter, slower increases in disease caused by organisms with vertically inherited (chromosomally encoded) AMR. This demonstrates that horizontal transfer of AMR directly affects epidemiological outcomes of globally important AMR pathogens and highlights the need for integration of genomic analyses into all areas of AMR research, surveillance and management.
Bacterial genomics has revealed that antimicrobial resistance (AMR) phenotypes are conferred largely by either de novo mutation in the chromosome or the acquisition of new AMR genes through horizontal gene transfer (HGT), both of which can then be vertically propagated. The importance of HGT in the current global AMR crisis is evidenced by repeated observations of a new AMR gene in one organism in one location being followed by global reports of the gene in other organisms and geographical areas. This has happened for the carbapenemase-encoding blaNDM-1 gene, the extended spectrum beta-lactamase encoding blaCTX-M genes, and is currently happening for mcr-1, the gene encoding resistance against the last-line antimicrobial, colistin1,2,3. Despite this inferred importance of HGT in global AMR emergence, the real-time epidemiological impact of HGT on AMR emergence has never been observed so is poorly understood. Observations have been made that are suggestive of HGT of AMR (i.e., similar or identical AMR plasmids in multiple bacterial species within a hospital or patient)4,5, and such evidence would be enhanced by strong epidemiological data to support the plausibility of HGT occurring, and information on the epidemiological fate (e.g., seeding an outbreak, or a dead-end transmission) of the newly formed pathogen-AMR combination. Thus, to understand the impact of HGT in the emergence of new antimicrobial resistant pathogens, it is essential that we study HGT alongside associated epidemiological information, and at the population level, where epidemiological outcomes are less stochastic.
Shigella in MSM is a relevant model for studying AMR emergence owing to features of both the pathogen and its AMR, as well as features characteristic of the epidemiological community of MSM. Shigellae cause a large burden of disease and are globally distributed. They are one of the most common causes of childhood diarrhoeal disease in low-to-middle income nations and also cause disease in high income nations often, but not always, linked with travel6,7. In addition to its concerning disease burden, shigellae are increasingly resistant to antimicrobials (having accumulated horizontally acquired AMR genes over time)8,9 and ciprofloxacin-resistant Shigella, a phenotype conferred by mutations in the Quinolone Resistance Determining Regions (QRDR) of the chromosome, is recognised by the World Health Organisation as a priority AMR pathogen10. Within the epidemiological community of MSM in England there are dense transmission networks of individuals with similar risk profiles (e.g., HIV co-infection, high partner numbers) currently permissive of pathogen epidemics, including some that are highly resistant to antimicrobials. This permissiveness is evidenced by recent, simultaneous epidemics of multiple sexually transmissible illnesses (STIs) in this community, including Lymphogranuloma venereum, syphilis, and gonorrhoea, the latter of which has become highly multi-drug resistant11,12,13,14,15,16.
In addition to these more traditional STIs, Shigella has emerged as a sexually transmissible enteric infection in MSM that is capable of global dispersal and is associated with AMR17,18. An MSM-associated (MSMA) S. flexneri 3a lineage that emerged epidemically in England in 2009 has since disseminated across four continents through international transmission among MSM19,20, and successful sublineages of this MSMA lineage carried azithromycin resistance on the conjugative plasmid pKSR10019. Since 2012, England has experienced two further, parallel epidemics of domestically acquired shigellosis thought to be associated with MSM (caused by another serotype of S. flexneri; 2a, and another species, S. sonnei21).
Here, we study these parallel Shigella epidemics in a densely connected epidemiological community to elucidate the role of HGT on the epidemiology of AMR emergence and spread. We show that HGT of a single azithromycin resistance plasmid enhanced and facilitated epidemic emergence of multiple Shigella species. This demonstrates the importance of tracking the genetic context of AMR within pathogen populations.
Co-circulating MSMA sublineages
To identify MSMA sublineages, an epidemiologically representative random subsample of S. flexneri 2a and S. sonnei isolates and associated epidemiological metadata were selected from the national archive of isolates held by the national reference laboratory at Public Health England collected between 2008 and 2014. The national archive contains all S. flexneri and ~ 70% of S. sonnei isolated in hospital, private and regional laboratories (as onward reference laboratory submission is recommended for S. sonnei, but mandatory for S. flexneri), and basic epidemiological data were extracted from sample submission forms, i.e., region, gender, patient age and travel history where noted (as in21,22). The time-period selected encapsulated three parallel epidemic emergences of Shigella sp. in England, and isolates were subsampled proportionately to the number of cases by year with a greater weighting of domestically acquired infections (non-travel-associated isolates) and patient age stratification (16–60 year olds only) for S. sonnei owing to the large number of isolates of this species (Table 1, Supplementary Data 1, Supplementary Table 1). The isolates (n = 366) were whole-genome sequenced (as in ref. 17) and whole-genome phylogenies were constructed (Fig. 1). Correlating isolate phylogenetic positions with patient characteristics revealed six sublineages in which 16–60 years old, male patients without a history of recent high-risk travel (i.e., travel to Africa, Asia or Latin America) were significantly over-represented (Odds ratio (OR) 17.8 95% confidence interval (CI) 8.0–46.6, p = 2.2e-16, Fig. 1, Methods, Supplementary Table 2). These demographic characteristics are typical of MSMA shigellosis patients, and these six sublineages were designated MSMA. This MSMA designation was confirmed through a significant association (p = 0.0140, Fisher’s exact test) of isolate designation to an MSMA sublineage with recent (within 1 month of diagnosis) patient MSM activity (Methods). The MSMA sublineages were designated major and minor in S. flexneri 2a and 1–4 for S. sonnei (Fig. 1). Crucially, sublineage presence over time and temporal phylogenetic reconstruction indicated substantial periods of co-existence of sublineages (Fig. 2). In addition to being co-existent, the MSMA sublineages were also co-located in geographical space, with at least 38% of isolates in each MSMA sublineage being from patients in London (Supplementary Data 1). Thus, the six MSMA sublineages were circulating in the same epidemiological community (i.e., London MSM) as each other, alongside the intercontinentally transmitted MSMA S. flexneri 3a19.
Population-level success of MSMA sublineages
Although MSMA sublineages were co-circulating their population-level outcomes differed. Using the combined genomic and epidemiological information, we defined several markers of population-level success. Specifically, these were: a higher relative disease burden; greater longevity/persistence of a sublineage in the MSM population over time; and evidence of international transmission.
Some MSMA sublineages had a higher disease burden in the English setting (Fig. 2) relative to other MSMA sublineages. For example, the minor sublineage of S. flexneri 2a contained just seven isolates, whereas the major sublineage contained 47 isolates. As these isolates are a representative subsample of cases over time, proportional differences between coexisting sublineages are indicative of different population-level success. Taking the number of isolates attributable to a given MSMA sublineage per year as a crude estimate of population-level success suggests that the major sublineage of S. flexneri 2a and sublineage 2 of S. sonnei generated the greatest disease burden for each species, respectively, (cases/year in Fig. 2, NB: comparison between species is invalid owing to different selection criteria—see Table 1, Supplementary Table 1, and ref. 19). For S. sonnei, it was also possible to explore persistence of MSMA sublineages in England over time. This persistence was evaluated by combining the 2008–2014 representative subsample with data from isolates of MSMA shigellosis clusters detected England in 2015/201622 (n = 50, Table 1, Supplementary Data 1). Of these 50 isolates from 2015/2016, 12 clustered with sublineage 2 and 32 clustered with sublineage 4, indicating that these two sublineages had continued to transmit in the English MSM population (Fig. 2, Supplementary Fig. 1).
In addition to those markers of population-level success in English MSM, whether these MSMA sublineages were present in a nearby nation with high travel connectivity (France) was assessed. The French and English MSM epidemiological communities are known to be connected as they were previously shown to have phylogenetically admixed isolates of the intercontinentally distributed sublineage of MSMA S. flexneri 3a19. The 2008–2014 representative subsample from England was compared with a similarly representative subsample of S. flexneri 2a and S. sonnei from France collected between 2009 and 2014 (n = 115, Table 1, Supplementary Data 1). These analyses showed that four French isolates belonged to the major sublineage of S. flexneri 2a, and 13 and 10 French isolates clustered with sublineages 1 and 4 of S. sonnei respectively, indicating the presence of these three sublineages in France (Fig. 2, Supplementary Fig. 1). Notably, isolates belonging to MSMA sublineages from France were also predominately (26 of 27) from 16–60 years old male patients with no recent history of high-risk travel (Supplementary Data 1).
Collectively, these markers of population-level success suggest that the minor sublineage of S. flexneri 2a and sublineage 3 of S. sonnei performed poorly in their natural transmission setting relative to the other MSMA sublineages. In addition to causing a comparatively low number of cases and not persisting through to 2015–16 in UK MSM, they were not found in France, and were also the only two MSMA sublineages not observed in the final years of the sampling window, despite having been the earliest two sublineages in existence (Fig. 2).
Associations with AMR
To investigate the association of population-level success with AMR, genetic determinants of AMR were characterised and correlated with phylogeny. Specifically, this included the acquired resistance gene content and the presence of QRDR mutations (identified as in ref. 23). For both species, vertically inherited triple QRDR mutations responsible for resistance to ciprofloxacin were exclusively associated with monophyletic sublineages related to travel from Asia (OR 98 95% CI 29.7–395, p < 0.0001, Fig. 1, Supplementary Data 1), although one S. sonnei MSMA sublineage was nested within this ciprofloxacin-resistant sublineage. Unlike the MSMA sublineages, the occurrence of these ciprofloxacin-resistant sublineages over time was comparatively stable, or only slightly increasing (Fig. 2, Supplementary Data 1). In contrast, horizontally acquired resistance genes encoding azithromycin resistance were present multi-phyletically, and were strongly associated with MSMA sublineages (OR 58, 95% CI 20–231, p < 0.0001, Fig. 1, Supplementary Data 1). Genes encoding ESBLs were uncommon and not associated with specific phylogenetic sublineages (Fig. 1). Other AMR determinants conferring resistance to beta-lactams, trimethoprim, sulphonamide, chloramphenicol, tetracycline, streptomycin and spectinomycin antimicrobials were common among the isolates (Supplementary Data 1) and frequently carried on mobile genetic elements. Notably, the association of MSMA shigellosis with azithromycin resistance (rather than resistance to ciprofloxacin, the recommended treatment for shigellosis24) is thought to have arisen consequent to high treatment rates for other STIs commonly found in the shigellosis-affected MSM subpopulation15,16,19,25, rather than from empirical treatment for shigellosis. This ‘collateral damage’ hypothesis is supported by recent treatment reviews (both from the United Kingdom and the United States), which suggest that upwards of 80% of MSM with shigellosis receiving antimicrobial therapy are treated with ciprofloxacin18,26.
Fit sublineages are associated with pKSR100
To better understand the association of azithromycin resistance with MSMA shigellosis, we fully characterised the genetic elements carrying azithromycin-resistance genes in each MSMA sublineage (Methods, Supplementary Fig. 2). Azithromycin-resistance genes were always carried by large (>70 kb) plasmids, and the major sublineage of S. flexneri 2a and sublineages 1, 2 and 4 of S. sonnei carried the resistance genes mphA and ermB on the same plasmid; pKSR100, which contributed to the intercontinental emergence of MSMA S. flexneri 3a (Fig. 2, Supplementary Fig. 2, Supplementary Fig. 3). To confirm the association of pKSR100 with MSMA sublineages regardless of clonal population structure, and refute the existence of association with other genetic determinants, a bacterial genome-wide association study to detect sequence elements significantly associated with MSMA sublineage isolates was conducted (Methods), which confirmed that pKSR100 was strongly associated with MSMA sublineages (Fig. 3). The only other contiguous sequence to contain any sequence element with a higher significance than pKSR100 had a reduced density of MSMA-associated sequence elements and a significantly lower mean associative value relative to pKSR100 (Supplementary Fig. 4). The azithromycin-resistance plasmid in the minor sublineage of S. flexneri 2a and sublineage 3 of S. sonnei were distinct from pKSR100 and carried only mphA for encoding azithromycin resistance (Fig. 2, Supplementary Fig. 2). Phenotypic testing on a subset of isolates revealed that these plasmids conferred differing levels of azithromycin resistance depending on resistance gene content. Specifically, isolates carrying both mphA and ermB genes (n = 17) had minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) of ≥64 mg/l, whereas isolates containing only the mphA gene (n = 13) had MICs ≤32 mg/l and isolates with neither gene (n = 43) had MICs of ≤2 mg/l (Supplementary Data 1, Methods, Supplementary Table 3).
Within MSMA sublineages, pKSR100 was present in those sublineages that also had some makers of population-level success and the plasmid also appeared to have a role in driving epidemics. For example, the major S. flexneri 2a sublineage and the intercontinental S. flexneri 3a MSMA lineage, both showed a dramatic increase in numbers following the introduction of pKSR100 into those sublineages (Fig. 2, Supplementary Data 1, and ref. 19). Similarly, S. sonnei MSMA sublineages that were still present in the MSM transmission network in 2015/2016 and/or were present in France (i.e. sublineages 1, 2 and 4) also contained pKSR100. Contrastingly, the two MSMA sublineages that did not contain pKSR100 (the minor sublineage of S. flexneri 2a and sublineage 3 of S. sonnei) did not achieve such markers of population-level success (Fig. 2).
The exact reason behind the differential population-level success in pKSR100-containing sublineages is unknown. However, the two most likely explanations both have important consequences for public health. First, it is possible that the increased success of pKSR100-containing sublineages is attributable to the increased azithromycin resistance conferred. In which case, these results point to an epidemiologically relevant division of azithromycin resistance for Shigella circulating in MSM between the MICs of 32 and 64 mg/l. Alternatively (and not exclusively), is the possibility that the increased success of pKSR100-containing sublineages reflect that different genetic backgrounds of important resistance genes also have a role in determining the population-level success of a pathogen. Differential fitness of mobile genetic elements in bacterial hosts is well established in vitro27,28, but efforts to link in vitro fitness with epidemiological, population-level outcomes at a hospital-level have been unsuccessful29. Although recapitulation of population-level success in vitro is unrealistic, these results frame an exciting line of future in vitrowork with the collection of clinically relevant organisms in our study (and others relevant to HGT of AMR as they arise), that may be useful in interpreting the apparent impact of mobile genetic element carriage in determining pathogen population-level outcomes.
HGT of pKSR100 among MSMA sublineages
The detection of the same conjugative plasmid in multi-phyletic sublineages co-circulating a single epidemiological community is strongly suggestive that horizontal plasmid transmission is occurring among Shigella MSMA sublineages. The exact route of transfer is unknown, but three non-mutually exclusive scenarios exist: 1 the HGT occurred directly between Shigella sublineages in patients simultaneously infected with multiple types; 2 during Shigella infection, pKSR100 entered another bacterial host (e.g., in the host microbiota) permitting subsequent transfer to an alternate Shigella sublineage on repeat infection of that individual; 3 an alternate bacterial host that contains pKSR100 (possibly acquired during a prior Shigella infection) was transmitted onward to another human host who was infected (or subsequently infected) with an alternate Shigella sublineage (which then received pKSR100 from the alternate bacterial host). In the first two scenarios, infections of patients with multiple types of Shigella is necessary. Among our samples, we found ten patients with repeat Shigella infections, including nine with repeat infections of MSMA sublineages, and two patients infected with different species of Shigella (suggesting that reinfection with distinct genetic subtypes is occurring, as well as, potentially, chronic infection with near-identical subtypes—see Supplementary Table 4). The third scenario is consistent with the finding of the same (non-pKSR100) azithromycin-resistant plasmid in MSMA S. sonnei sublineage 3 and an isolate of verocytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli O117:H7 from an outbreak that occurred in the English MSM population in 201430 (Methods, Supplementary Fig. 5). Collectively, these findings provide evidence for the plausible epidemiological connectivity and potential mechanisms required for HGT of pKSR100 to have occurred among Shigella types in this setting.
In addition to pKSR100 being found in multi-phyletic organisms that were epidemiologically connected, further genomic evidence of HGT of pKSR100 was determined through comparative phylogenetics. Comparing isolate pKSR100 and genome phylogenetic positions indicated both horizontal and vertical modes of plasmid transmission among Shigella (Fig. 4). The relative contribution and combination of these two patterns of inheritance varied among the three Shigella types. Specifically, three successful sublineages of MSMA S. flexneri 3a (described in ref. 19) were associated with three pKSR100 variants (Fig. 4), one of which had an enhanced AMR repertoire, of trimethoprim, sulphonamide, and streptomycin antimicrobial resistances in addition to the ampicillin and azithromycin resistances encoded on all variants (Supplementary Fig. 6). Each plasmid variant was associated with clonal expansions of closely related genomic isolates of S. flexneri 3a, consistent with horizontal introduction of the plasmid into each sublineage and successful onward transmission of the sublineage/plasmid combination in the human host (i.e., vertical propagation of pKSR100, Fig. 4). In addition, one S. flexneri 3a sublineage isolate had a pKSR100 variant, which was more closely related with pKSR100 found in S. flexneri 3a isolates from a different sublineage, which is strongly indicative of horizontal transmission (arrow, Fig. 4). By contrast, S. sonnei primarily had one pKSR100 variant across sublineages 1, 2 and 4, and one evolutionary relationship indicated horizontal transmission (arrow, Fig. 4). For S. flexneri 2a, there appeared to have been a single introduction of pKSR100 into the major sublineage (Fig. 4).
By examining time alongside the comparative phylogenetics we developed a hypothetical model of the number of HGT events of pKSR100 (Methods, Supplementary Fig. 7), which also enabled correlation of HGT to the enhancement and triggering of epidemic increases of each Shigella type. Although it is possible unobserved organisms are involved in pKSR100 HGT (see above), and our subsample is only a representative quantitation of gene flow, our proposed combined genomic epidemiological model indicated that at least eight horizontal transmission events of pKSR100 occurred among genetically-distinct MSMA sublineages. This hypothetical model is summarised both statically (Supplementary Fig. 7) and as a narrated animation (Supplementary Movie 1), but in brief is as follows: plasmid pKSR100 first appeared in S. sonnei in 2009 and from there, moved into an emerging epidemic of S. flexneri 3a; pKSR100 then enhanced the epidemic of S. flexneri 3a, in which it circulated and diversified into three distinct variants; from there, one pKSR100 variant moved into the major sublineage of S. flexneri 2a in 2012, facilitating an epidemic of this sublineage; and another pKSR100 variant moved into (and back into) the three pKSR100-containing S. sonnei MSMA sublineages (1, 2 and 4) (Fig. 4).
In capturing the population-level epidemiological consequences of horizontal AMR transmission we have revealed heretofore unseen insights into AMR emergence and spread in important pathogens. Here, horizontal transmission of AMR among pathogenic bacterial species caused fundamental epidemiological shifts, including enhancing emerging epidemics and facilitating epidemics of previously circulating pathogens that were waiting for the ‘right’ AMR determinant to come along. These dramatic shifts contrasted with the incremental increases in pathogens carrying chromosomally encoded (vertically inherited) AMR, and demonstrated how these two types of resistances (elaborated and adapted to different populations in different geographical areas) can combine to form new highly resistant sublineages. It is important to consider that these overarching observations about AMR emergence were made within a specific patient subpopulation known to have increased connectivity and antimicrobial usage (in fact these features were almost certainly prerequisite in our being able to make these observations). However, the genomic processes in play here and their impact on pathogen epidemiology are likely translatable to the broader trends responsible for elaborating the global AMR crisis.
Of course, factors other than AMR, including changes in sexual behaviour and population immunity, will have also shaped these epidemics, and in truth the English MSM shigellosis epidemics are all but gone for now31. However, there is a clear and valuable lesson here for future AMR work. It is no longer enough to understand and trace AMR pathogen combinations as simple taxonomic compartments (e.g., azithromycin-resistant Shigella), as the genomic diversity contained within such compartments, and genetic exchange among them, also contributes to epidemiological outcomes (particularly where resistance is horizontally acquired). Clearly, we must continue to weave the sub-genomic study of pathogens into all facets of AMR research, surveillance and management, and work to determine the compartments, barriers and quantity of gene flow among pathogenic and non-pathogenic, as well as antimicrobial resistant and antimicrobial susceptible bacterial species.
Demographic associations of MSMA sublineages
To infer association of sublineages with MSM, the number of patients who were male, who had low-risk travel histories, and who were between 16 and 60 years old were calculated (for each category) and compared with those numbers among the entire (within species) data set among the UK representative subsample. These proportions were then compared using a two-tailed Fisher’s exact test (Supplementary Table 2). To generate a single indicative figure of association (i.e., the figure in the results) the same comparison was applied to the proportion of 16–60 years old male patients without a history of recent high-risk travel in MSMA sublineages relative to the entire UK representative subsample across species (i.e., 159 of 366 total and 96 of 103 among MSMA sublineage isolates).
Confirmation of sublineage designation as MSMA
To confirm our classification of phylogenetic sublineages as being MSMA, epidemiological interview data from patients whose isolates were submitted through Institut Pasteur were used to explore the association between recent MSM activity and the phylogenetic classification of isolates. These data are being collected as part of a public health enquiry into an ongoing outbreak of azithromycin-resistant shigellosis in France. Contact details for male patients without a recent history of high-risk travel (i.e., travel to Africa, Asia or Latin America), aged 16–60 years old were retrieved from clinical laboratories and interviewed by telephone by a Santé Publique France epidemiologist (who was blinded to the phylogenetic classification of the patient’s isolate). Of 57 patients that fit these criteria, attempts were made to contact 34, and 13 interviews were successfully completed. Interviews comprised a standard questionnaire to retrospectively identify travel history and sexual exposure (sex with male partner(s); sex with female partner(s); sex with both male and females partner(s); no sex partners; unknown; refused to respond) in the month prior to diagnosis. In total, 9 of 10 (90%) patients reporting recent MSM activity within the month prior to diagnosis had isolates belonging to MSMA sublineages and 3 of 3 (100%) patients not reporting such activity had isolates outside of these lineages. This resulted in a significant association of recent patient MSM activity with isolates belonging to MSMA lineages (p = 0.0140, two-tailed Fisher’s exact test).
Azithromycin-resistance determinants among MSMA sublineages
Contiguous sequences were de novo assembled for each isolate using a custom pipeline32. Azithromycin-resistance gene-containing contiguous sequences were identified using Resfinder33. The length (in bp) of these contiguous sequences was extracted and correlated with phylogenetic position to identify clusters sharing the same azithromycin resistance determinant. Additional AMR genes co-inherited with the azithromycin-resistance genes (Supplementary Data 1) were also used to identify phylogenetic clusters sharing an azithromycin-resistance determinant. The longest length azithromycin-resistance gene-carrying contiguous sequence from each of the MSMA sublineages were compared using BLAST34 alongside pKSR100 from S. flexneri 3a and the related plasmid R100 with visualisation using ACT35. Following on from this, Single-Molecule-Real-Time sequencing was performed on 15 isolates, representative from each Shigella sublineage as well as through different positions in the pKSR100 phylogeny (results in Supplementary Fig. 6, Supplementary Data 1). DNA was extracted using the MasterPure Complete DNA and RNA extraction kit and sequenced on the Pacific Biosciences Sequel, and the data was assembled as follows: assembly by HGAPv3;36 circularisation using Circlator v1.1.3;37 and polishing by Quiver v1 (SMRT-analysis: a software suite for analysing single-molecule, real-time DNA sequencing data, https://github.com/PacificBiosciences/SMRT-Analysis). SMRT-sequenced AZM resistance determinants were unavailable for two sublineage representatives as the S. sonnei sublineage 1 representative failed to regrow for extraction, and on comparative genetic analysis, the plasmid from S. sonnei sublineage 3 representative had been lost. In the comparative genetic results for these sublineages (Supplementary Fig. 6) the full-length contiguous sequences assembled from Illumina-sequencing are used (and duly indicated).
Detection of pKSR100 among all isolates
In addition to the above, a combination of orthologue detection and mapping was used to infer pKSR100 presence across all isolates. Core genome analysis (using roary ref. 38) of all UK representative subsample isolates and the MSMA S. flexneri 3a sublineage was used to identify the presence and count of 86 pKSR100 orthologues among isolates. Those isolates containing ≥60 orthologues were mapped to a concatenated Shigella genome and pKSR100 pseudomolecule (as in ref. 19) and those with ≥90% coverage over the pKSR100 region were deemed to contain pKSR100 (Supplementary Data 1, Supplementary Fig. 3).
Genome-wide association analysis of MSMA sublineages
Sequence element enrichment analysis was run on all 357 UK cross-sectional isolates with the 103 isolates belonging to MSMA sublineages being a binary phenotype. Assemblies were generated using a pipeline32 and kmer counting (of kmers present in between 5 and 95% of isolates) was performed with fsm-lite39. Population structure estimation was made using mash40 and converted into a three-dimensional distance matrix using scripts inbuilt to SEER39. Associations of kmers were then run with SEER and filtered for positive effect size; a minor allele frequency of >5%; an unadjusted pvalue of <10e-5; and an adjusted pvalue of 10e-8. Filtered kmers were then converted to fastq format, mapped to a draft assembly of an S. flexneri 2a major sublineage isolate, converted to a Manhattan plot (again using SEER inbuilt scripts) and visualised with Phandango41. This revealed a significant association of MSMA sublineage designation with pKSR100 (Fig. 3). For comparison of the association of sequence elements detected for pKSR100 and contiguous sequence 123, the positively correlated sequence elements mapping to each of contiguous sequence 4 (pKSR100) and contiguous sequence 123 in the draft genome of isolate ERR1364107 (shown in Fig. 3) were extracted were analysed as follows: the number of sequence elements mapping to each contiguous sequence was divided by the total length of the contiguous sequence in bases was calculated to generate a ‘Positively correlated sequence elements per base’ figure; box plots were generated of the negative logarithms of the adjusted p values of the sequence elements mapping to each contiguous sequence; and the means of these data distributions were compared using an unpaired (Welch) t-test (Supplementary Fig. 4).
Phenotyping of MSMA Shigella
To determine the phenotype conferred by the various azithromycin-resistance plasmids detected in MSMA sublineages, the MIC of 74 isolates from MSMA and non-MSMA sublineages were determined using Etest strips (BioMérieux) and/or in-agar dilution using a frozen azithromycin reference panel with concentrations ranging from 1 to 256 μg/ml. In-agar antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed according to Clinical Laboratory Standards Institute methods, with Staphylococcus aureus ATCC 29213/ NCTC 12973 used as a quality control strain42. For each isolate, a final inoculum of 5 × 105 CFU/ml was targeted. Plates were read after 18 h of incubation at 35° ± °C. Results in Supplementary Data 1 and summarised in Supplementary Table 3.
Plasmid similarity between E. coli and S. sonnei
An E. coli O117:H7 isolated in 2014 from the outbreak was sequenced using SMRT sequencing as above, and de novo assembly was compared with azithromycin resistance encoding plasmids from MSMA Shigella sublineages in this study. This showed that the S. sonnei sublineage 3 plasmid was present in the E. coli outbreak isolate (Supplementary Fig. 5).
Comparative phylogenetics of genome phylogenies with pKSR100
Comparative phylogenetics of pKSR100 with whole-genome phylogenies was conducted within Dendroscope43. The whole-genome phylogenies were (from top to bottom): a Bayesian-inferred phylogenetic tree of S. flexneri 3a based on 1243 variable sites (from ref. 19); the tree presented in Fig. 1 for S. flexneri 2a and the S. sonnei whole-genome phylogeny incorporating the MSMA clusters from the UK in 2015/16 (as shown in Supplementary Fig. 1). The pKSR100 tree was constructed from isolates that contained ≥60 pKSR100 orthologues and mapped to ≥90% of pKSR100 sequence. Mapping and variant calling against pKSR100 (Genbank accession: LN624486) as previously described19, was followed maximum likelihood phylogenetic inference based on the resulting 110 variable sites using RAxML44. The pKSR100 tree in Fig. 4 is rooted to allow visualisation of the HGT events discussed in the text.
Temporal phylogenetic reconstruction
Multiple sequence alignments used to generate the comparative phylogenetic trees for S. sonnei, S. flexneri 2a, were analysed by Bayesian Evolutionary Analysis by Sampling Trees (BEAST) as in ref. 19 (three 50,000,000 length chains using the strict molecular clock and exponential population model with a 10% burn-in) and median (Fig. 2) and 95% Highest Posterior Densities (Supplementary Fig. 7) for MSMA and ciprofloxacin-resistant sublineage most recent common ancestors were extracted.
For data relating to isolates from Public Health England: No individual patient consent was required or sought as PHE has authority to handle patient data for public health monitoring and infection control under section 251 of the UK National Health Service Act of 2006 (previously section 60 of the Health and Social Care Act of 2001). The project was reviewed and approved by the PHE Research Support and Governance Office and Caldicott Panel deemed to comply with public health surveillance standards. For data relating to isolates from Institut Pasteur: Data collected were part of an ongoing public health investigation into an ongoing outbreak of azithromycin-resistant shigellosis and as such were not subject to ethical approval (see Methods).
All sequencing and genome assembly data for isolates in this study are available under project number PRJEB12097 in the European Nucleotide Archive. Further detail linking isolates and sample accession numbers within the project are available in Supplementary Data 1. The authors declare that all other data supporting the findings of this study are available within the article and its Supplementary Information files, or are available from the authors upon request.
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The authors are grateful to the administrative, sequencing and pathogen informatics teams at the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute as well as Dr John Lees for discussions regarding genome-wide association study, and other helpful scientists who commented on the work in progress during formal and informal presentations. The authors also thank John Were for his contribution to managing epidemiological data and Vivienne DoNascimento for her technical assistance in susceptibility testing. This work was supported by Wellcome Trust grant number 206194, and KSB is supported by a Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Career Development Fellowship (106690/A/14/Z).