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Urine spermine and multivariable Spermine Risk Score predict high-grade prostate cancer

Prostate Cancer and Prostatic Diseases volume 24, pages 542–548 (2021)Cite this article

Subjects

Abstract

Background

To investigate the role of urine spermine and Spermine Risk Score in prediction of high-grade prostate cancer (HGPCa, ISUP grade group ≥2).

Methods

Nine hundred and five consecutive men with elevated PSA were prospectively recruited from two hospitals. Core analyses focused on consecutive men with PSA 4–20 ng/mL (n = 600). Pre-biopsy urine without prior prostatic massage was analyzed for spermine level with ultra-high performance liquid chromatography with triple quadrupole mass spectrometer (UPLC-MS/MS). The proportions of PCa and HGPCa were compared across different spermine ranges. Logistic regressions were used to form different models, and their performances were compared using area under curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

PCa and HGPCa were diagnosed in 30.8% (185/600) and 17.2% (103/600) men, respectively, and were significantly associated with lower urine spermine levels. Between the lowest and highest quartiles of spermine results, a threefold increase in PCa risk (49.3% vs. 16.7%) and 3.5-fold increase in ISUP grade group ≥2 PCa risk (31.3% vs. 8.7%) were observed. Multivariate analysis showed PSA, prostate volume (PV), digital rectal examination (DRE), and spermine, which were independent predictors for PCa and HGPCa, and a Spermine Risk Score with these factors achieved the highest AUC of 0.78 for PCa and 0.82 for HGPCa. At 90% sensitivity for HGPCa, 36.7% biopsies and 24.4% ISUP grade group 1 diagnoses could have been avoided, with a negative predictive value of 95.4%. DCA revealed net clinical benefit of the Spermine Risk Score. Internal validation with bootstrapping showed good discrimination and calibration.

Conclusion

Urine spermine and Spermine Risk Score identified men at higher risk of HGPCa and reduced unnecessary biopsies.

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Fig. 1

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Ms Shaz Cheng for her help in this project.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. SH Ho Urology Centre, Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China

    Peter Ka-Fung Chiu, Jeremy Yuen-Chun Teoh, Chun-Hong Chan, Ryan Tsz-Hei Tse, Chi-Ho Leung, Yim-Ping Wong & Chi-Fai Ng

  2. Department of Chemistry, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong SAR, China

    Yan-Ho Fung & Ka-Leung Wong

  3. Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, North District Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China

    Ka-Lun Lo & Kai-Man Li

  4. Department of Urology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

    Monique J. Roobol

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  1. Peter Ka-Fung Chiu
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Correspondence to Ka-Leung Wong or Chi-Fai Ng.

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Conflict of interest

K-LW holds a patent for urinary polyamines as prostate cancer detection biomarkers (patent no. US20180172695A1). The other authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Chiu, P.KF., Fung, YH., Teoh, J.YC. et al. Urine spermine and multivariable Spermine Risk Score predict high-grade prostate cancer. Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis 24, 542–548 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41391-020-00312-1

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