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MYELODYSPLASTIC NEOPLASM

Assessment and validation of the molecular international prognostic scoring system for myelodysplastic syndromes

Abstract

The Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-M) is a novel risk stratification model for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) that builds on the IPSS and IPSS-R by incorporating mutational data. The model showed improved prognostic accuracy over the IPSS-R across three endpoints: overall survival (OS), leukemia-free survival (LFS) and leukemic transformation. This study aimed to validate the findings of the original in a large cohort of MDS patients, as well as assess its validity in therapy-related and hypoplastic MDS. We retrospectively reviewed clinical, cytogenetic and molecular data for 2355 MDS patients treated at the Moffitt Cancer Center. Correlative analysis between IPSS-R and mean IPSS-M scores and outcome predictions was performed on LFS, OS and leukemic transformation. Using the IPSS-M, patients were classified as Very Low (4%), Low (24%), Moderate-Low (14%), Moderate-High (11%), High (19%) and Very-High risk (28%). Median OS was 11.7, 7.1, 4.4, 3.1, 2.3, and 1.3 years from VL to VH risk subgroups. Median LFS was 12.3, 6.9, 3.6, 2.2, 1.4, and 0.5 years respectively. For patients with t-MDS and h-MDS the model retained its prognostic accuracy. Generalized use of this tool will likely result in more accurate prognostic assessment and optimize therapeutic decision-making in MDS.

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Fig. 1: IPSS-M model and risk categories.
Fig. 2: IPSS-M model and risk categories.
Fig. 3: Therapy-related Myelodysplastic Syndromes.
Fig. 4: IPSS-M in therapy-related Myelodysplastic Syndromes.
Fig. 5: IPSS-M in therapy-related MDS.
Fig. 6: Hypoplastic Myelodysplastic Syndromes.
Fig. 7: IPSS-M in hypoplastic MDS.
Fig. 8: IPSS-M in hypoplastic MDS as defined by the 5th edition of the WHO classification.

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Data availability

The authors confirm that the data supporting the findings of this study are available within the paper and/or its supplementary materials.

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Acknowledgements

Parts of this paper will be presented in preliminary form as three separate abstracts at the 2022 64th ASH Annual Meeting and Exposition as an oral presentation and three tow posters. The investigators would like to extend their sincerest gratitude to Dr Elsa Bernard and the Elli Papaemmanuil lab at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center for providing syntax code and additional support to facilitate batch-calculation analysis.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

(I) Conception and design: RK, LA. (II) Administrative support: RK, NA. (III) Provision of study materials or patients: RK, LA, DS, JL, KS, EP, NA, AK. (IV) Collection and assembly of data: NA, RK, LA. (V) Data analysis and interpretation: RK, LA, NA, OC. (VI) Paper writing: LA, RK, DS. (VII) Final approval of paper: All authors.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Luis E. Aguirre or Rami S. Komrokji.

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All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form. T-V: Abbvie: Consultancy; Novartis: Consultancy; Jazz: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; Incyte: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; CTI: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; BMS: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau. AK: Protagonist: Other: Research Support; Imago Biosciences: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Incyte: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Blueprint Medicines Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Abbvie: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; GSK - Sierra Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria, Other: Research Support, Speakers Bureau; Prelude Pharmaceuticals: Other: Research Support; BMS: Consultancy, Honoraria, Other: Research Support, Speakers Bureau; Morphosys: Other: Research Support; Pharmaessentia: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; CTI Biopharma: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. KS: Mablytics: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Pfizer: Consultancy, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Curis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; berGenBio: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Syntrix Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Incyte: Research Funding; AROG: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Gilead Sciences, Inc.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Astellas: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Bristol Myers Squibb: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees. JEL: Novartis: Consultancy; Jasper Therapeutics: Consultancy; Dedham Group: Consultancy; Boxer Capital: Consultancy; Dava Oncology: Consultancy; Syntrix Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Astellas: Consultancy; Agios/Servio: Consultancy; Jazz: Consultancy; BerGenBio: Consultancy; Millenium Pharma/Takeda: Consultancy; ElevateBio Management: Consultancy; Daiichi Sankyo: Consultancy; Celgene/BMS: Research Funding; AbbVie: Consultancy; Servier: Consultancy. EP: Incyte: Research Funding; Kura: Research Funding; Stemline: Honoraria; Taiho: Honoraria; Blueprint: Honoraria; Syntrix Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; BMS: Research Funding. DAS: Syntrix Pharmaceuticals: Research Funding; Nemucore: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Lixte: Patents & Royalties: LB-100; Magenta: Consultancy; Novartis: Consultancy, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Intellia: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Syndax: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Kite: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Incyte: Speakers Bureau; Shattuck Labs: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Aprea: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Agios: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda: Consultancy. RSK: Jazz: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Servio: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; CTI biopharma: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; PharmaEssentia: Honoraria, Other, Speakers Bureau; BMS: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Abbvie: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Geron: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Taiho: Honoraria, Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees. All other authors have no competing interests to declare.

Ethics approval

The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). The study was approved by institutional review board and individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived.

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Aguirre, L.E., Al Ali, N., Sallman, D.A. et al. Assessment and validation of the molecular international prognostic scoring system for myelodysplastic syndromes. Leukemia 37, 1530–1539 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41375-023-01910-3

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