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A national comparison between the collocated short- and long-term radon measurements in the United States

Journal of Exposure Science & Environmental Epidemiology (2023)Cite this article

Abstract

Background

Knowing the geographical and temporal variation in radon concentrations is essential for assessing residential exposure to radon, the leading cause of lung cancer in never-smokers in the United States. Tens of millions of short-term radon measurements, which normally last 2 to 4 days, have been conducted during the past decades. However, these massive short-term measurements have not been commonly used in exposure assessment because of the conflicting evidence regarding their correlation with long-term measurements, the gold standard of assessing long-term radon exposure.

Objective

We aim to evaluate the extent to which a long-term radon measurement can be predicted by a collocated short-term radon measurement under different conditions.

Methods

We compiled a national dataset of 2245 pairs of collocated short- and long-term measurements, analyzed the predictability of long-term measurements with stratified linear regression and bootstrapping resampling.

Results

We found that the extent to which a long-term measurement can be predicted by the collocated short-term measurement was a joint function of two factors: the temporal difference in starting dates between two measurements and the length of the long-term measurement. Short-term measurements, jointly with other factors, could explain up to 79% (0.95 Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.73–0.84) of the variance in seasonal radon concentrations and could explain up to 67% (0.95 CI: 0.52–0.81) of the variance in annual radon concentrations. The large proportions of variance explained suggest that short-term measurement can be used as convenient proxy for seasonal radon concentrations. Accurate annual radon estimation entails averaging multiple short-term measurements in different seasons.

Significance

Our findings will facilitate the usage of abundant short-term radon measurements, which have been obtained but was previously underutilized in assessing residential radon exposure.

Impact statement

  • Tens of millions of short-term radon measurements have been conducted but underutilized in assessing residential exposure to radon, the greatest cause of lung cancer in non-smokers. We investigate the correlations between collocated short- and long-term measurements in 2245 U.S. buildings and find that short-term measurements can explain ~75% of the variance in subsequent long-term measurements in the same buildings. Our results can facilitate the usage of massive short-term radon measurements that have been conducted to estimate the spatial and longitudinal distribution of radon concentrations, which can be used in epidemiological studies to quantify the health effects of radon.

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Fig. 1: Locations of paired measurements and the frequency distribution of the measurement length.
Fig. 2: The histograms of short- and long-term measurements.
Fig. 3: The correlation between short- and long-term measurements in each stratification.
Fig. 4: The trends of R2 in models stratified by alternative cutting points of temporal difference and measurement length.
Fig. 5: The different trends of R2 in three categories of measurement length.

Code availability

All model codes are available at the following link: https://github.com/longxiang1025/Radon_Mortality.

Data availability

The final research data will be stored in a public respiratory upon publication.

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Acknowledgements

Shawn Price, Director of Laboratory Operations at Spruce Environmental Technologies, Inc, provided us with the radon measurements used in this study and reviewed the manuscript. This publication is made possible by U.S. EPA grant RD-835872, NIH grant R21ES029637, and NIH grant K99ES034459. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the grantee and do not necessarily represent the official view of the U.S. EPA or NIH. Further, U.S. EPA and NIH do not endorse the purchase of any commercial products or services mentioned in the publication.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, Boston, MA, 02215, USA

    Longxiang Li, Brent A. Coull & Petros Koutrakis

  2. Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA

    Brent A. Coull

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  1. Longxiang Li
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Contributions

LL: Conceptualization, methodology, software, validation, formal analysis, investigation, writing—original draft, visualization. BAC: Methodology, writing—review & editing. PK: Conceptualization, resources, data curation, writing - review & editing, supervision, project administration, funding acquisition.

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Correspondence to Longxiang Li.

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Li, L., Coull, B.A. & Koutrakis, P. A national comparison between the collocated short- and long-term radon measurements in the United States. J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41370-023-00521-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41370-023-00521-5

Keywords

  • Radiation
  • Air pollution
  • Personal exposure

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