Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Reconciling randomness and precision

One of my research goals has been to combine quantitative experiments and mathematical modelling to address questions of epigenetic regulation in vivo.

“A full understanding of epigenetic regulation calls for mathematical models”

Why does epigenetics need mathematics? Think of the phenomenon of variegation, which can be seen in plants as green and white patches on leaves, and in the eyes of mutant flies as red and white patches. These random patterns are the result of a switch between two extreme gene expression states that, once established, become epigenetically stable over many cell divisions. This random behaviour seems to be at odds with exquisite developmental precision and quantitative response to signals — both hallmarks of epigenetic regulation during development. A full understanding of epigenetic regulation calls for mathematical models that reconcile these properties of randomness and precision. The papers by Dodd et al. and Angel et al. are landmarks in this endeavour.

In their theoretical study, Dodd et al. were the first to recapitulate bistability using stochastic modelling of chromatin states. This work beautifully describes epigenetic processes in terms that are accessible to non-mathematicians: an array of nucleosomes, a modification state for each one, and a disruption of that state upon DNA replication. Moreover, this very simple model provided insights into some fundamental questions in epigenetics, showing that a system in which individual random nucleosomes change their state rapidly can nevertheless maintain a stable state at the level of the whole array that is robust to the perturbations of replication.

Angel et al. adapted and extended the Dodd model to address the quantitative aspect of vernalization (an epigenetic process that confers memory of winter in plants): the longer the cold exposure during winter, the stronger is the epigenetic silencing of a specific gene after the winter is over. This work stands as a landmark for several reasons. First, it is one of very few examples in epigenetics in which mechanistic modelling and rigorous quantitative experimentation are combined. Second, it demonstrated both theoretically and experimentally that the quantitative response to cold is achieved by a digital switch, which is both random and precise. It is random because any cell can switch the gene off or on, but precise because the number of cells in a silenced state is controlled by and directly proportional to the length of cold exposure. Finally, this work has wide consequences beyond vernalization. It established a theoretical framework, within which other questions can be addressed: for example, how does epigenetic regulation adapt to faster acting switches, and is it always digital? Incidentally, the supplemental material in Angel et al. is so comprehensive that, with rudimentary programming skills, it is possible to re-implement the entire model from scratch, which is extremely informative for understanding the relationship between randomness and precision.


  1. 1

    Dodd, I. B. et al. Theoretical analysis of epigenetic cell memory by nucleosome modification. Cell 129, 813–822 (2007)

    CAS  Article  Google Scholar 

  2. 2

    Angel, A. et al. A Polycomb-based switch underlying quantitative epigenetic memory. Nature 476, 105–108 (2011)

    CAS  Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information



Corresponding author

Correspondence to Leonie Ringrose.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The author declares no competing financial interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ringrose, L. Reconciling randomness and precision. Nat Rev Mol Cell Biol 16, 642 (2015).

Download citation

Further reading


Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing