More than 75 million people worldwide have been infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and there are now approximately 37 million individuals living with the infection. Untreated HIV replication causes progressive CD4+ T cell loss and a wide range of immunological abnormalities, leading to an increased risk of infectious and oncological complications. HIV infection also contributes to cardiovascular disease, bone disease, renal and hepatic dysfunction and several other common morbidities. Antiretroviral drugs are highly effective at inhibiting HIV replication, and for individuals who can access and adhere to these drugs, combination antiretroviral therapy leads to durable (and probably lifelong) suppression of viral replication. Viral suppression enables immune recovery and the near elimination of the risk for developing acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS). Despite effective treatment, HIV-infected individuals have a higher than expected risk of heart, bone, liver, kidney and neurological disease. When used optimally by an infected (or by an uninfected) person, antiretroviral drugs can virtually eliminate the risk of HIV transmission. Despite major advances in prevention sciences, HIV transmission remains common in many vulnerable populations, including men who have sex with men, injection drug users and sex workers. Owing to a lack of widespread HIV testing and the costs and toxicities associated with antiretroviral drugs, the majority of the infected population is not on effective antiretroviral therapy. To reverse the pandemic, improved prevention, treatment and implementation approaches are necessary.
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection probably spread from non-human primates to humans sporadically throughout the 1900s1,2. However, only in the 1980s did the virus come to the world's attention, when homosexual men in urban centres began presenting with advanced and unexplained immunodeficiency3. Within 2 years of the first report of what eventually became known as acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), scientists discovered the causative virus: HIV4,5. HIV has infected >75 million people worldwide, and an estimated 37 million people are now living with the virus6. HIV infection is one of the main causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide7, with most of the disease concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa. As the infection often takes hold in adults who are in the prime of their economic productivity, HIV infection has dramatically altered the economies of many countries. Its toll on human health — defined broadly — cannot be readily quantified.
On an individual level, the natural history of untreated HIV infection has been exceedingly well studied8. HIV primarily targets CD4+ T cells. After a transmission event, HIV takes hold in the mucosal tissues, and within days spreads to the lymphoid organs9. At about day 10, the virus becomes detectable in the blood and then continues to spread exponentially over the next few weeks, often peaking about day 30, when HIV antibody levels become detectable (Fig. 1). Individuals are probably most infectious at this point. The immune system then achieves some degree of control, and a ‘set point’ is established in which the level of HIV replication remains relatively stable, often for years10. Through mechanisms that are probably multidimensional and still not fully defined, HIV causes progressive loss of CD4+ T cells and a host of immunological abnormalities8,11. After several years, profound immunodeficiency emerges and individuals develop a characteristic infectious or oncological complication (these complications define AIDS; Fig. 1). Although the typical person progresses to death over a period of about 10 years, some progress rapidly, and a rare subset might never progress or progress very slowly12.
Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been available to treat HIV infection for nearly two decades. When used appropriately, ART is highly effective — completely or nearly completely suppressing HIV replication, improving immune function and greatly reducing the risk of developing AIDS. However, ART is not curative; if drugs are stopped, the virus almost invariably rebounds within weeks13.
There are two main strains or types of HIV: HIV-1 and HIV-2 (Box 1). In this Primer, we focus on HIV-1 as it is the more dominant and pathogenic stain. We first describe the epidemiology of HIV infection, highlighting the impact that ART has on a global level. We then discuss the pathogenesis of the infection, describing how HIV is transmitted, how it causes disease and how ART alters the virus–host interactions. We then discuss current approaches in prevention and management. In our final section on the long-term outlook, we highlight some of the dynamic arenas of HIV research, including the development of effective vaccines and injectable formulations of ART, and emerging efforts to the cure the infection.
Key affected populations
In nearly all regions of the world, HIV prevalence is highest in certain groups who share common risk factors. These key affected populations include men who have sex with men, intravenous drug users, people in prisons and other closed settings, sex workers and transgender people14. Each of these groups has complex legal and social issues related to their behaviours that increase their vulnerability to HIV infection, and prevent them from accessing prevention and treatment services. Given the high prevalence of HIV infection in these populations, they are considered as essential partners in an effective response to the pandemic. Infants of HIV-positive mothers are another group at high risk of infection, but one of the great success stories of HIV infection has been the near elimination of mother-to-child transmission when ART is used, as described below. On a global level, the incidence of HIV infection in the population of men who have sex with men has remained generally high over the past 10 years without evidence of decline observed in most communities in this time period15. This risk is due to, in part, the relatively high probability of transmission during receptive anal sexual intercourse and a higher number of exposures.
Generalized epidemics and global epidemiology
The HIV infection pandemic is generalized across the adult population in many regions of sub-Saharan Africa, with much of the burden of disease placed on women. In low-income and middle-income countries, approximately half of the people living with HIV infection are women; this proportion is higher (57%) in sub-Saharan Africa16. Most of the transmission events occur as a result of heterosexual transmission from a partner whose HIV status was not known or disclosed (Box 2). The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) regularly reports on the estimated burden of HIV infection in each country. On a per-capita basis, the countries with highest burden are Swaziland, Lesotho, Botswana and South Africa; South Africa is the country with the highest number of HIV-positive people14. However, within many countries in this region, large differences in prevalence are evident by geographic region, with South Africa and Kenya being examples. For example, in South Africa, the prevalence of HIV infection (in people 15–49 years of age) in the Western Cape is 7.8%, but 27.9% in KwaZulu-Natal17.
Although the burden has remained stable in many areas, it has declined in some countries, including Zimbabwe, Malawi and Tanzania14. This decline is probably owing to several factors, including increased use of condoms, which present a barrier to HIV transmission18; reductions in the prevalence of sexually transmitted infections, which are also associated with an increased risk of acquiring HIV infection; the saturation of the at-risk community; and, increasingly, the use of effective ART, which, as described below, makes an individual less infectious. Worldwide, 2 million new cases of people with HIV infections were estimated in 2014 — a decline of 35% from 2000 (Ref. 6).
In an unprecedented global response to the rapidly growing pandemic, several initiatives — including the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR; www.pepfar.gov) and the Global Fund for AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (www.theglobalfund.org) — began over a decade ago to provide three-drug combination ART to poorly resourced countries, mostly in Africa. On a global level, approximately 15 million of the 37 million people infected with HIV are now on therapy6, >10 million of whom are in Africa6. As a consequence of antiretroviral drug rollout, AIDS-related mortality has declined globally from a peak level of 2.4 million deaths in 2005 to approximately 1.5 million deaths in 2013.
Owing to the provision of antiretroviral drugs, which prevents children from acquiring HIV infection from their mothers around the time of birth, progress in the prevention of new cases of HIV infection among children has been dramatic (Box 3). In 2013, it was estimated that 240,000 children were newly infected with HIV, 58% fewer than in 2002 (Ref. 14). Since 2009, 900,000 new HIV infection cases have been prevented among children14.
HIV care cascade
Despite substantial public health investment in nearly all regions of the world, less than half of the HIV-infected population are receiving ART — this figure is somewhat higher in sub-Saharan Africa and lower in eastern Europe and central Asia as well as in north Africa and the Middle East6,14. Several barriers at various steps of the care pathway prevent full implementation of ART (Fig. 2), including limited availability and uptake of HIV testing, as no more than half of people with HIV infection have been diagnosed14. Among those known to be infected, linkage to and retention in care are incomplete19,20, and among those on ART, many have detectable viraemia. The lack of adherence programmes, routine viral load monitoring to detect treatment failure and affordable second-line and third-line regimens means that many treated patients in low-income and middle-income countries might have incomplete viral suppression.
When the nature of the emerging epidemic became apparent in the mid-1980s, numerous government and industry partners began what became an unprecedented investment into understanding how HIV is transmitted and how it causes disease (Fig. 3). These investments eventually paid off in terms of the development of effective prevention and treatment strategies and have contributed to dramatic advances in the management of other infections, most notably hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus.
Life cycle. HIV is a retrovirus and is, therefore, able to integrate its DNA into the host genome; this fact makes the virus exceedingly difficult to eradicate with current therapies. The virus has a small number of proteins and is remarkably efficient in its design. After gaining entry into a cell, single-strand RNA is reverse transcribed into HIV DNA, which is then integrated into the host DNA. Taking advantage of host enzymes, HIV is transcribed, proteins are produced and cleaved, and mature virions are released. These steps are now routinely inhibited in a therapeutic setting with a family of commercially available entry inhibitors, reverse transcriptase inhibitors, integrase strand transfer inhibitors and protease inhibitors (Fig. 4).
The primary receptor for HIV-1 is CD4, which is expressed on the surface of T lymphocytes, monocytes, macrophages and dendritic cells. HIV also requires a co-receptor to gain entry into the host cell, typically the chemokine receptors CCR5 and CXCR4. Different HIV-1 variants typically use one or the other chemokine receptor, but some can use either; viruses that use these co-receptors for entry are called R5, X4 or R5X4 viruses, respectively. CCR5 and CXCR4 are differentially expressed on some T cell subsets, with CCR5 expressed at high levels in memory T lymphocytes but not on naive T lymphocytes, whereas CXCR4 is expressed on both. CCR5 is also expressed on macrophages and dendritic cells.
The preferred targets for infection are activated T lymphocytes, which for reasons that remain to be defined are more permissive to infection than resting cells. Although dendritic cells are difficult to infect with HIV-1, they are able to ‘capture’ the virus and promote trans-infection of neighbouring T lymphocytes21. The virus can also attach to the follicular dendritic network, which retains the infectious virus in a concentrated manner within B cell follicles of lymph nodes. In addition, HIV causes lymphoid tissue fibrosis through several mechanisms, including upregulation of T regulatory cells and release of transforming growth factor-β22,23. Tissue fibrosis persists during long-term effective ART24. Much of the harm associated with the virus in both untreated and treated disease probably occurs in these lymphoid structures25.
HIV evolution. One of the hallmarks of HIV-1 infection is the high rate of variation, estimated to be on the order of one mutation every few replication events26. This high error rate coupled with continual high-level virus replication leads to the extensive variation in HIV-1. Which of these variants survives and thrives is shaped by selective forces applied by the immune system and antiretroviral drugs26. The envelope gene — which encodes the proteins that bind to CD4 and the co-receptors — is able to withstand extensive mutations, as shown by the fact that even within one infected individual the envelope sequence varies by 0.6–1% per year27,28. Envelope sequences from different individuals who are infected with different subtypes of HIV-1 differ on average by 25% and by as much as 35%29. This diversity poses major challenges for the development of a preventive vaccine.
HIV transmission. As the initial events in HIV-1 infection are difficult to study in humans, much of our knowledge about this critical period comes from studies of the related simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) infection in macaques. These studies show that productive infection of CD4+ T lymphocytes can be detected within the first 2 days of viral challenge30–32. The virus rapidly creates local foci of infection at the site of infection and then rapidly spreads to draining lymph nodes and eventually to distal lymph nodes and other tissues. In the SIV model, this all occurs within a 2-week period.
New infections are typically established by one or a few genetic variants33. Some variants can be more amenable to transmission (fitter) than others. Most notably, as CCR5 is highly expressed in CD4+ T cells within mucosal surfaces, the transmitted viruses almost invariably use CCR5 rather than CXCR4 for entry into the cell34–37. Indeed, individuals who lack CCR5 (who harbour the CCR5-Δ32 deletion) are almost fully protected from acquiring HIV infection38–41. During the course of HIV infection, the transmitted viruses evolve, presumably in response to changes in target cell population and immune response to the virus. In some but not all individuals, the virus population evolves from CCR5-tropic to CXCR4-tropic42; the mechanism for this shift remains poorly understood.
Studies have shown that the sequences of transmitted HIV-1 variants resemble the ancestral viral sequences from the infecting partner rather than the contemporaneous sequences, suggesting that the virus that was first acquired in the index case is still favoured for transmission compared with later-stage viruses43. Viruses that are transmitted tend to have envelope proteins with less glycosylation44–46 than those that are not transmitted, and some evidence suggests that transmitted viruses are less sensitive to the antiviral activities of interferons than those that are not transmitted47,48. The less-sensitive nature of transmitted viruses to interferons is of relevance given that HIV-1 induces a rapid interferon response — the virus must be able to circumvent this response to successfully establish a persistent infection49,50.
Primary or acute infection. The detection of virus in the blood (typically measured as viral RNA levels) is often associated with a short symptomatic phase marked by fever, generalized lymphadenopathy, a nonspecific rash, myalgias and/or malaise. More-severe complications — including meningitis — can occur, but many people are asymptomatic. During this period of primary or acute infection, the plasma levels of HIV RNA are typically at their peak (approximately 106–107 copies per ml). The severity of symptoms is strongly correlated with peak viral load during this phase of the infection51. Once the immune response develops (see below)52, the levels of virus decrease by about 100-fold to a steady-state level that is often referred to as the viral set point (Fig. 1a). This level can range from very few copies per ml of blood to approximately 106 copies per ml and tends to be higher in infants than adults53,54. Importantly, the set point level is correlated with clinical outcome: individuals with high viral load set point typically progress more rapidly to AIDS and death than those with lower viral set point levels10. Those very few individuals with very low viral load set points are referred to as HIV elite controllers and are of high interest (Box 4).
Features of both the virus and the host contribute to determination of the set point and the subsequent disease progression. In the SIV macaque model, different genetic variants have been shown to have distinct replication properties that influence clinical outcomes55. In the case of HIV infection, population-based studies also support a role for viral genotype in clinical outcome. Studies of transmission within couples, and in transmitting mothers and their infected infants, have shown that set point viral load levels are correlated in transmission pairs56,57, suggesting that viral characteristics determine replication and pathogenesis. Two recent studies have also shown that approximately one-third to one-half of variation in set point viral load is attributable to viral genotype58,59.
HIV reservoir. Through mechanisms as yet poorly understood, HIV establishes quiescent (or latent) infection within memory CD4+ T cells. These cells are maintained indefinitely through homeostatic proliferation; some cells have stem-cell-like capacity for self-renewal60,61. HIV can also establish long-term infection of naive CD4+ T cells, cells of the monocyte and macrophage lineage, and perhaps other long-lived cells62–65. As demonstrated in the SIV macaque model, this reservoir of infected cells can be established as early as 3 days after infection66. Once HIV DNA is integrated into the host chromatin, the virus has the capacity to reinitiate rounds of replication as long as the cell persists62,63,65. ART can prevent new cells from becoming infected, but these drugs cannot eliminate infection once the viral DNA is successfully integrated into its target cell. Owing to the inherent potency of ART, replication is nearly completely inhibited, but residual replication at very low levels seems to occur in at least a subset of patients67,68. The lymph nodes that harbour the virus can be a ‘sanctuary’ for the virus in terms of limited antiretroviral drug penetration69 and limited host clearance mechanisms70. This reservoir is also the source of virus recrudescence among effectively treated individuals who interrupt or stop ART.
Current estimates suggest it would take several decades for the reservoir to decay to negligible levels naturally, assuming all new infection events are inhibited with ART71. Accelerating the rate of this decay could conceivably lead to a cure (see Outlook, below).
The host response
Adaptive immunity. Much of our knowledge of the immune mechanisms for HIV control in vivo is derived from careful study of HIV elite controllers, who maintain undetectable or very low levels of virus in the absence therapy (Box 4). Human leukocyte antigen-B*5701 (HLA-B*5701) in particular, but also other HLA alleles, are associated with control of HIV infection in the absence of therapy72,73. Of note, HLA has emerged as the most significant host genetic variant of viral control in subsequent genome-wide association studies, with limited evidence for other host single-nucleotide polymorphisms having a significant role72,73. Overall, these host genetic differences are thought to contribute approximately 10–15% of the variation in clinical outcome58,72.
The approximate 100-fold decrease in viral load as acute infection resolves is assumed to be attributable in large part to the development of HIV-specific CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs). With few exceptions (Box 4), this response fails to durably control the virus. With chronic exposure, the cells become dysfunctional74,75. In addition, as with antibody responses, the virus rapidly generates CTL escape mutations, leading to a loss of virus control and the establishment of a lifelong reservoir of viral strains that are impervious to the host primary clearance mechanisms52,76. Other cellular responses such as antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity have also been associated with viral control in multiple studies77, although the contribution of antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity in HIV infection is less well studied than that of the CTL response.
Immune evasion. The pathways that lead to immune clearance escape in vivo are not confined to those mutations that simply prevent direct recognition of the epitope. Envelope has considerable flexibility in the length of the variable loops and the extent of glycosylation, and longer loops and increased glycosylation can help to shield key epitopes78,79. Similarly, several binding surfaces of envelope, including the CCR5 co-receptor-binding domain, are only transiently exposed during the entry process, effectively masking conserved functional domains that could be targets for antibodies79. In addition, mutations outside of the antibody epitope might disrupt the epitope by causing conformational changes79.
Once the virus evades antibodies and enters the cell, it must evade cellular restriction factors, such as the apolipoprotein B mRNA-editing catalytic polypeptide-like 3 (APOBEC3) proteins (which mutate viral genomes), SAM and HD domain-containing protein 1 (SAMHD1; which depletes the pool of nucleoside triphosphates that are needed for reverse transcription) and tetherin (which prevents budding viruses from leaving). The viral accessory proteins Vif, Vpx and Vpu are responsible for neutralizing the activity of APOBEC3G, SAMHD1 and tetherin, respectively80–82. The HIV accessory protein Nef causes downregulation of HLA class I molecules in infected cells, which results in suboptimal presentation of HIV peptides to cytotoxic T cells83.
HIV ‘superinfection’. Interestingly, individuals infected with HIV from one source partner remain at risk for a second infection from another source partner84. Although the incidence of second infection is somewhat lower than that of first infection85, this occurrence nonetheless implies that the immune response to one strain of HIV is at best only partially protective against another strain. Thus, HIV-specific immune responses induced by vaccination will most likely need to be more broad and potent than those typically elicited by natural infection, in which there is also immune system compromise.
CD4+ T cell decline. During primary infection, a transient reduction in peripheral CD4+ T lymphocyte counts can often be detected, but these cell counts typically rebound to near-normal levels after primary infection resolves and then slowly decline over many years (Fig. 1b). Over time, the virus causes a slow depletion of circulating and tissue-based CD4+ T cells. Much of the HIV replication and presumably CD4+ T cell death occurs in gut-associated lymphoid tissue, which harbours high numbers of susceptible memory T lymphocytes. The high levels of replication in gut-associated lymphoid tissue in primary infection causes severe T cell depletion that is thought to make the intestinal lining permeable; systemic translocation of bacterial products leads to increased immune activation86. HIV infection causes dramatic and sustained increases in the frequency of activated and proliferating CD4+ and CD8+ T cells, many of which are destined to die even in the absence of infection. This generalized activation of the immune system contributes to the progressive loss of these cells, and the degree to which HIV infection causes T cell activation is an independent predictor of the rate at which individuals lose CD4+ T cells and progress to AIDS87,88.
Several mechanisms probably account for how HIV depletes CD4+ T cells. HIV replication can be directly cytopathogenic, although this is unlikely to account for all cell death, particularly in chronic infection. HIV infection of lymphocytes can generate incomplete reverse transcripts (HIV DNA), which stimulates an intense inflammatory response and death of local uninfected cells89. In addition to causing cell death directly or indirectly, HIV negatively affects the capacity of the immune system to regenerate new CD4+ T cells, in part by causing harm to stem cells and the thymus11 (Fig. 5).
Diagnosis, screening and prevention
Risk factors for HIV acquisition
HIV is transmitted through contact of infected body fluids with mucosal tissue, blood or broken skin (Table 1). Factors that increase the infectiousness of a person infected with HIV include higher levels of virus in plasma90 or genital secretions91, and other sexually transmitted infections92. Virus characteristics, such as higher envelope content, increased cell-free infectivity, increased interaction with dendritic cells and resistance to IFNα have been associated with increased infectivity48. HIV-negative people can be more susceptible to infection if they have a larger number of potential target cells (that is, activated CD4+ T cells) at the site of exposure, which would occur if they were infected with other sexually transmitted infectious agents or after trauma9. This notion extends to the association of male circumcision with lower HIV acquisition risk93; several mechanisms have been proposed for the role of the foreskin in HIV acquisition, including having a large surface area that is rich in activated target cells, having slow-healing micro-abrasions from sexual activity in uncircumcised men and acquiring protective changes in the penile microbiota after circumcision94–96. Long-acting injectable hormonal contraception has also been linked to increased HIV acquisition in observational studies97, possibly as a result of thinning of the vaginal epithelium, increased number of activated CD4+ T cells and/or reduced condom use in these women. Intravenous and non-intravenous drug use also increase the risk of HIV acquisition; the former through direct parenteral exposure and the latter probably owing to behavioural factors, such as sex without condom use, or selection of partners who are more likely to be infected with HIV.
Social and structural factors also drive HIV susceptibility and might account for some of the disparities observed in HIV prevalence and incidence within various populations. For example, smaller sexual networks might enable more-rapid dissemination of HIV than larger networks, as relatively small increases in the number of partners create substantial increases in connectivity within the network, before reaching saturation98. Furthermore, HIV is more likely to spread through sexual networks with larger numbers of undiagnosed and/or undertreated HIV-positive sexual partners.
HIV testing algorithms generally have changed over time, as test accuracy has increased. Current US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention99 and European guidelines for HIV testing100 recommend that screening be performed with an antigen–antibody assay (these assays are considered to be fourth generation; Table 2). Positive results should be confirmed with an antibody assay that can differentiate between HIV-1 and HIV-2 infections.
Detection of acute infection is important to prevent onward HIV transmission. Acute infection is thought to contribute disproportionately to new infections101,102: reasons include higher viral levels during this period, higher infectiousness of the recently transmitted virus103 and continued behavioural risk-taking by individuals unaware of their recently acquired HIV infection104. Immediate initiation of ART will reduce the symptoms of acute HIV infection, potentially reduce seeding of viral reservoirs and maintain the health of the newly infected individual while reducing the risk of transmission to uninfected partners (see below).
Rapid HIV testing, using blood from a finger-stick or collection of oral fluid, can provide HIV-1 infection test results within 30 minutes, and is useful in settings in which follow-up care of patients is challenging, such as for public outreach-based testing at bars or street fairs. However, most currently licensed rapid tests have limited sensitivity for detecting acute HIV infection; if possible, more-sensitive fourth-generation antigen–antibody tests and/or nucleic acid tests should be included when risk factors are suggestive of acute infection. The reduced sensitivity of testing in oral fluid secretions adds approximately 6 weeks to detection of the same test performed in blood specimens105. HIV immunoassays can revert to non-reactive after long-term suppressive therapy in some people infected with HIV106; thus, HIV testing should not be conducted in treated people who are already confirmed to be HIV positive.
The US Preventive Services Task Force recommends HIV testing at least once for all people 15–65 years of age, with more frequent testing for individuals at increased risk107. Individuals who are considered to be at high risk include sexually active men who have sex with men (except those in mutually monogamous relationships with an HIV-negative partner), active injection drug users and those who have acquired or seek testing for sexually transmitted infections. Other behavioural risk factors include anal or vaginal sex without condom use, particularly in those whose partners are at risk for HIV infection, and the exchange of sex for drugs or money. Recommendations for testing frequency for people at high risk generally suggest testing every 3–6 months, with concomitant testing for bacterial sexually transmitted infections. WHO guidelines recommend that in generalized HIV epidemics, all children and adults presenting for medical care should receive recommendations for HIV testing and have testing provided108. Such efforts should be supplemented by community-based and home-based HIV testing, to reach those who are not coming into care.
Although pre-test and post-test risk reduction counselling has been recommended for many years, strategies to increase the uptake of HIV testing in the United States have emerged and include dropping requirements for written informed consent and prevention counselling with HIV testing109. Opt-out testing is now recommended in many medical settings109. Data indicate that these measures have increased the uptake of HIV testing in hospitals110, emergency departments111 and with young people in multiple locations in the United States112.
Condom use in men has been a cornerstone of HIV prevention, as perfect use should completely prevent HIV transmission, as well as transmission of many other sexually transmitted infections. However, condom effectiveness has been estimated to be approximately 80% against heterosexual transmission of HIV infection113 and 70% against male-to-male sexual transmission114. Over-reporting of condom use probably contributes to these lower than expected effectiveness estimates, although improper use and condom failure also play a part115. Similarly, providing clean injection equipment can substantially reduce HIV transmission in injection drug users116, although syringe exchange programmes have not eliminated HIV transmission in drug users. Additional prevention tools are needed to augment these core strategies.
Prevention of mother-to-child transmission. In the absence of ART, HIV transmission rates from mother to newborn are common (15–25%) and are almost doubled by breastfeeding (approximately 35–40%)117. HIV transmission can occur during pregnancy, labour and delivery, or through breastfeeding. However, ART can be used to reduce infectiousness in the mother by reducing her viral load and as prophylaxis for the infant to prevent the incoming virus from establishing infection. Indeed, ART given to pregnant women with HIV infection and continued through the breastfeeding period reduces HIV transmission rates to <5%118. Elective caesarean delivery can be used when women have been diagnosed too late to achieve full viral suppression. Infant infection rates of 1–2% have been reported in low-income countries119. The WHO recommends that all HIV-positive pregnant and breastfeeding women be treated with antiretroviral regimens that maintain viral suppression, and that these regimens be maintained at least for the duration of the transmission risk120. It is also recommended that infants receive short-term ART for prophylaxis after birth. In addition, the WHO recommends that treatment be continued throughout the lifetime of the HIV-positive woman, as ART provides health benefits, reduces sexual transmission and prevents mother-to-child transmission during future pregnancies.
Medical circumcision. Three large randomized controlled trials of medical circumcision of HIV-negative men in sub-Saharan Africa demonstrated a reduction in HIV acquisition of 50–60% compared with uncircumcised men121–123, with increased protection observed over almost 5 years of follow-up124. Circumcision for HIV-positive men did not seem to reduce HIV transmission to their female partners, and the risk of transmission was increased when men resumed sexual activity before full healing of the circumcision wound125. Circumcision has also been shown to reduce the risk of other sexually transmitted infections123,126. A modelling consortium concluded that, over a 10-year period, one HIV infection could be averted for every 5–15 circumcisions performed in generalized epidemics127. The WHO recommends that male circumcision be considered an important component of comprehensive HIV prevention; this policy has been endorsed by ministers of health, policy makers and global stakeholders. However, there are insufficient data available about the potential role of circumcision in preventing HIV acquisition in circumcised men who perform anal sex with men (insertive anal sex)128.
Treatment as prevention. Observational studies have suggested that people with lower levels of viraemia are less likely to transmit HIV infection than those with high viral loads90. A randomized controlled trial of early (initiating ART at a CD4+ T cell count of >350 cells per μl) versus usual ART (initiated according to local guidelines) in serodiscordant couples (in which only one of the partners is HIV positive) demonstrated a 96% reduction in HIV transmissions from the HIV-positive partner in the treated group129. All infections except one in the early ART group resulted from partnerships outside of the primary (study) relationship, as determined by genetic sequencing of the infecting virus. Although only 2% of the couples in this study were men who have sex with men, preliminary results from two other studies also suggest that ART reduces transmission in men who have sex with men when HIV replication was fully controlled, as defined by an undetectable viral load130,131. Several other studies suggest that there may be a residual risk of HIV transmission in the several months after initiating ART; new infections did not occur after 6 months of treatment132. However, as a note of caution, another study among 14,000 HIV-infected clinic patients in six US cities, >90% of whom were receiving ART, plasma viral load was at a level commensurate with the risk of transmission (>1,500 RNA copies per ml) for >23% of the follow-up period133. Thus, it is important to remind patients who are being treated for HIV infection that the benefit of reduced risk of transmission comes from persistent viral load suppression. HIV-negative patients should be made aware that they may become infected from an HIV-positive partner if the partner is incompletely treated or recently non-adherent. Several large studies assessing the effect of ART on transmission at the community level are ongoing (see Outlook, below).
Post-exposure prophylaxis. Beginning in the 1990s, animal studies demonstrated that antiretroviral drugs, when given before or shortly after SIV challenge, could reduce or eliminate the risk of infection134. The data indicated that post-exposure prophylaxis should begin as soon as possible after exposure, but no longer than 72 hours after exposure, and treatment should continue for 4 weeks to maximize the chance that productive infection is prevented. Although these parameters have not been confirmed in controlled clinical trials135, these general guidelines have been followed for both occupational and non-occupational (sex or drug use-related) exposures in many industrialized countries. When available, information about the HIV clinical status (for example, viral load) and treatment regimen (for example, the resistance profile) of the index case can be useful in choosing a post-exposure prophylactic regimen. The US Public Health Service updated its recommendations in 2013 to include three-drug or four-drug regimens in the post-exposure setting136. Since 1999, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has identified only one confirmed case of occupationally acquired HIV infection137, probably reflecting the efficacy of post-exposure prophylaxis.
Pre-exposure prophylaxis. For individuals known to be at high risk of becoming infected with HIV, using antiretroviral drugs before an exposure (‘pre-exposure prophylaxis’) can provide substantial protection. The most closely studied regimen is daily oral tenofovir disoproxil fumarate co-formulated with emtricitabine (TDF/FTC). Both agents are nucleoside analogues that inhibit viral replication. Daily oral TDF/FTC in an uninfected person reduces HIV acquisition by as much as 86% in men who have sex with men138 and 76% in heterosexual serodiscordant couples139. Other trials have demonstrated lower levels of efficacy140,141 and some have failed to demonstrate any efficacy142,143. These conflicting results seem to be due to poor adherence to antiretroviral drugs. Indeed, modelling based on measurement of drug levels in the blood and mucosal tissue suggest that very high levels of efficacy (>90%) can be achieved with high levels of adherence144. Given that TDF concentrates in vaginal tissue at levels that are 10–100-times lower than rectal tissue145, strict adherence to daily pre-exposure prophylaxis might be required to prevent HIV acquisition in women. By contrast, less than daily dosing might be protective in men who have sex with men, as demonstrated in analyses of the correlation of drug levels in the blood with efficacy in trials146. One trial of ‘on-demand’ (rather than continuous) pre-exposure prophylaxis with dosing before and after anal sex showed high levels of efficacy146. The WHO147 and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention148,149 recommend that daily TDF/FTC pre-exposure prophylaxis be given to individuals at high risk of acquiring HIV infection through sexual exposure or injection drug use. Other prophylaxis formulations are currently being explored, including long-acting injectable agents and vaginal rings150–152. If proven successful, these agents could be combined with hormonal contraception, perhaps reducing the perceived stigma of taking an HIV prophylactic regimen.
Access to pre-exposure prophylaxis can be limited if providers are not comfortable or willing to prescribe the drugs, or if health programmes are unable to help to pay for them. Some providers have expressed reluctance to prescribe pre-exposure prophylaxis because of concerns that poor adherence will limit effectiveness and lead to higher rates of antiretroviral resistance. Some have also suggested that pre-exposure prophylaxis might lead to decreased condom use and increase the rate of sexually transmitted infections153. These negative consequences have not yet been seen.
HIV vaccine. Among the many challenges in developing a preventive HIV vaccine is the lack of a known correlate of protection; despite a robust immune response against HIV, infected individuals do not spontaneously eliminate the virus or its detrimental effects, as occurs with many other infectious diseases. Given that successful infection of CD4+ T cells can lead to latent infection (which we discuss below) in a manner that is impervious to immune responses or ART, it is likely that immune responses that prevent the initial integration of virus, such as antibody-mediated defences, will be required to prevent infection. The development of protective antibodies through vaccination is challenging given the substantial sequence diversity in envelope proteins, glycosylation of envelope antigens that shield conserved epitopes from immune responses and variable regions that stimulate immunodominant but non-protective immune responses. It is also possible that ongoing exposure to viral antigens will be required to generate a robust immune response that is capable of protecting against infection154,155. Vaccines that clear or control HIV after infection has occurred are also being pursued156.
There have been five efficacy trials of HIV vaccine candidates, with only one — the RV144 trial — showing evidence of protection. This trial assessed a combination HIV vaccine (canarypox vector with protein subunit boost) and resulted in a 31% reduction in HIV acquisition among 16,000 Thai men and women over a 3.5-year period157. Analysis of data from this trial suggested that non-neutralizing antibodies, acting by a different mechanism, may have been responsible for protection. Specifically, IgG antibody against a particular part of the outer coat of the virus — namely, the V1V2 region of envelope — was associated with reduced HIV acquisition, with a 48% efficacy against viruses that matched the vaccine at a single amino acid in this region158. Interestingly, high titres of IgA antibodies were associated with reduced efficacy; additional analyses suggest that these antibodies can interfere with HIV-specific IgG antibodies by blocking their ability to mediate killing of infected cells through antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity. These data provide proof of principle that a protective HIV vaccine can be developed and demonstrate the potential importance of non-neutralizing antibodies in protection.
To achieve higher levels of protection, new strategies are being evaluated (for example, see www.avac.org, www.hvtn.org and www.iavi.org). These include later boosting, inducing neutralizing antibodies and generating a more-balanced cellular immune response. Recently, a growing family of broadly neutralizing antibodies have been isolated from a subset of individuals infected with HIV; efforts to induce these antibodies through active immunization have so far been unsuccessful155. Several efficacy trials are anticipated to begin over the next several years, each testing a different approach.
Combination prevention. As all of the prevention strategies now being developed will likely prove to be only partially effective, combination approaches will probably be needed. Some combinations might prove to be synergistic and have a greater affect than might be expected based on our understanding of individual efficacy (Fig. 6). For example, modelling studies suggest that combining a circumcision programme for HIV-negative men with a programme aimed at reducing sex without condom use in the same community would decrease new HIV infections to a greater extent than expected from each intervention individually159. Large-scale efficacy trials of combination prevention strategies are currently underway160.
The development of combination ART is often touted as one of the greatest achievements of modern medicine. When given to adherent and motivated individuals, contemporary combination regimens reduce the level of viraemia by several orders of magnitude in a matter of weeks. The degree of viral suppression is so great that viral evolution and the emergence of drug-resistant mutations are prevented. In principle, these regimens should work indefinitely. In the absence of viral replication, the immune system recovers much of its lost function and AIDS is prevented.
ART is not always fully effective. The development and transmission of drug resistance remains a major concern (see below). Even if durable viral suppression is achieved, many individuals fail to restore optimal immune function, even after several years of ART (Box 5). Finally, all drugs have potential for short-term and long-term toxicities. Even subtle toxicities can have a large cumulative effect given that these drugs must be administered for life.
Approximately 25 unique antiretroviral drugs have been approved for use in adults by the US and European regulatory agencies. These drugs span five therapeutic classes, each targeting a unique step in the life cycle of the virus (Fig. 4;Table 3). Antiretroviral drugs are generally first developed and approved for the management of HIV infection in adults; it can take several years for these drugs to be developed in the paediatric population (Box 3). Although industry continues to develop novel therapeutic approaches, the lack of major unmet needs with existing options had led to a dramatic decline in pace of investment in the past few years. Accordingly, the available combination approaches will not likely change dramatically over the next several years (and perhaps decades).
Nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors. Nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) act by blocking reverse transcriptase. These drugs are analogues of natural nucleosides and nucleotides, and are preferentially incorporated into HIV DNA, leading to termination of DNA synthesis (Fig. 4). For historical reasons, most new drugs have been studied and approved for initial therapy as a component of a three-drug regimen containing two nucleoside or nucleotide analogues and a potent third drug from another class. Currently, only two first-line nucleoside or nucleotide ‘backbone’ regimens are recommended: tenofovir and emtricitabine or abacavir and lamivudine (both are largely used as fixed-dose, once-daily regimens). Tenofovir is associated with subtle but consistent declines in renal function and bone function; Fanconi syndrome is also a rare complication. Tenofovir alafenamide fumarate (TAF) is a recently developed prodrug of tenofovir that demonstrates less kidney and bone toxicity. TAF may have greater penetration into lymphoid tissues (where most HIV resides) than tenofovir and is expected to replace tenofovir in most future regimens. Abacavir is associated with potentially life-threatening allergic reactions in individuals who harbour the HLA-B*5701 allele; testing for this allele is required161. Observational data from large clinical cohorts indicate that abacavir might be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease162, particularly in those with multiple risk factors; whether this association is real is the focus of ongoing debate.
The nucleoside analogues zidovudine (commonly known as AZT) and stavudine are no longer widely used in resource-rich settings. These drugs have been associated with several potential complications, including anaemia (zidovudine), neuropathy (stavudine), hepatic steatosis (both), lactic acidosis (both) and potentially disfiguring loss of body fat known as lipoatrophy (zidovudine and, to a greater extent, stavudine). Stavudine was formerly part of the WHO-recommended first-line regimen and was widely used in the past, but is now being phased out owing to these toxic effects. Zidovudine is still used in second-line regimens in sub-Saharan Africa and elsewhere.
Given the persistent concerns that the entire drug class can cause subtle but irreversible toxicities, many research groups have attempted to construct nucleoside analogue-sparing regimens. Regimens in which only a protease inhibitor is used have proven to be effective, but less so than those that also included nucleoside or nucleotide analogues. Other regimens involving potent drugs but excluding nucleoside or nucleotide analogues have proven to be less effective than expected, particularly at high viral loads163. A compromise in which only a single well-tolerated nucleoside analogue (lamivudine or emtricitabine) is used as the backbone seems promising164.
Integrase strand transfer inhibitors. Integrase strand transfer inhibitors prevent the HIV genome from being integrated into the host genome (Fig. 4). As a class, these drugs are potent, well tolerated and safe. Dolutegravir-containing regimens have been consistently found to be superior or at least non-inferior to other first-line regimens165,166; dolutegravir is administered once daily in treatment-naive individuals, has limited toxicity and limited drug–drug interactions. Raltegravir has comparable activity to dolutegravir167, and when both toxicity and virological efficacy are considered, is more effective than other common first-line options168,169. However, it has to be administered twice daily. Elvitegravir is rapidly metabolized by the liver and requires co-administration with a pharmacological booster (cobicistat) that prevents hepatic clearance. Cobicistat inhibits the renal secretion of creatinine, making it difficult to monitor kidney function in a clinical setting. The fixed dose combination of elvitegravir, cobicistat, tenofovir and emtricitabine is not recommended for patients with kidney dysfunction. Drug–drug interactions are common with cobicistat. In the most recent US Department of Health and Humans Services treatment guidelines170, four of the five recommended first-line regimens include an integrase strand transfer inhibitor.
Non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors. Non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) inhibit reverse transcriptase in a manner that is very different from the NRTIs. These drugs bind to a pocket near the active site, which causes a conformational change of the enzyme and inhibition of reverse transcription (Fig. 4). As a class, the NNRTIs are potent, safe and easy to produce (making them affordable). When used in adherent patients as part of three-drug regimens, these drugs have proven to be very effective. Efavirenz has in the past been the most widely used drug in high-income countries. Although potent and generally well tolerated, the drug has some central nervous system toxicity and might increase the risk of depression and suicidality171. A lower dose might prove to be as effective and better tolerated172. Nevirapine was part of the first WHO-recommended regimen in the past and has been widely used in many low-income countries owing to its low cost and availability as a generic drug. Nevirapine is effective, but can cause severe hepatotoxicity and rash when used in patients with higher CD4+ T cell counts; the drug should not be initiated in women with CD4+ T cell counts of >250 cells per μl or men with counts of >400 cells per μl. Rilpivirine seems to be the best-tolerated NNRTI, but is less effective in individuals with high plasma HIV RNA levels173, and is only recommended for individuals with a viral load of <100,000 RNA copies per ml and CD4+ T cell counts of >200 cells per μl174. Etravirine is approved for twice-daily dosing, but can probably be administered once daily175. The drug is generally only used after others have failed.
Protease inhibitors. As the virion matures and buds from the cell, long polypeptide chains are enzymatically cleaved into mature functional proteins by the HIV enzyme protease. Protease inhibitors block this late step in the life cycle of the virus (Fig. 4). When used with two nucleoside analogues, protease inhibitors are also highly effective. These drugs are rapidly metabolized by the liver and are often co-administered with a drug that inhibits these metabolic pathways (ritonavir or cobicistat, referred to as pharmacological ‘boosters’). These drugs generally cause mild gastrointestinal symptoms and dyslipidaemia. Several protease inhibitors have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease176, although this has not been demonstrated with darunavir and atazanavir, two of the more widely used drugs.
Owing to their high manufacturing costs, protease inhibitors are generally only used in low-income regions in second-line and third-line regimens. Atazanavir has been a popular protease inhibitor as it has fewer gastrointestinal side effects than many other protease inhibitors, but it was discontinued at a higher rate than raltegravir or darunavir in a recent randomized clinical trial, primarily because of hyperbilirubinaemia168. Darunavir (when boosted with ritonavir or cobicistat) is also popular and has comparable efficacy to other first-line regimens168, although one study found it to be less effective than dolutegravir165. In the most recent US Department of Health and Humans Services treatment guidelines, darunavir was the only recommended first-line protease inhibitor170.
Entry inhibitors. Entry inhibitors prevent HIV from entering the cell (Fig. 4). For example, maraviroc binds to CCR5 and prevents R5 virus variants from entering the cells. The drug requires a highly technical test to ensure that patients do not harbour virus variants that use CXCR4, and the drug has to be administered twice daily. Enfuvirtide binds to HIV directly; this drug is rarely used as it is expensive and must be injected twice daily.
When to start ART
Therapy is strongly indicated in those with advanced immunodeficiency (CD4+ T cell counts of <200 cells per μl)177. On the basis of a series of randomized clinical trials that directly or indirectly compared immediate with deferred therapy among those with moderate-stage disease178,179, as well as a wealth of supporting observational data, all guidelines have recommended ART for those who have a CD4+ T cell count of <350 cells per μl, and most guidelines recommend ART for those with a count of <500 cells per μl.
The optimal time to start ART has been debated for many years. Some expert panels have argued that as AIDS event rates are low in people with high CD4+ T cell counts, the potential toxicities associated with ART could outweigh any benefit and therapy should be deferred180. Other groups have argued that ART should be recommended in early stage disease because it prevents irreversible harm to the immune system and perhaps other organ systems, improves qualify of life and reduces the risk of transmission174. To address this ongoing controversy, several large randomized clinical trials have been performed. In a study based in Côte d'Ivoire, west Africa (Temprano ANRS 12136)181, approximately 2,000 untreated adults (mostly women) with a CD4+ T cell count between 350 cells and 800 cells per μl were randomly assigned to immediate versus delayed (based on local WHO guidelines) ART. Early ART was associated with a 44% decrease in severe HIV morbidity181. The International Network for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials (INSIGHT) network performed a randomized study of early versus deferred ART in 4,685 asymptomatic adults with a CD4+ T cell count of >500 cells per μl (the Strategic Timing of AntiRetroviral Treatment (START) study). The group assigned to receive deferred ART were recommended to start ART when it became apparent that the more-aggressive use of ART was associated with a 57% decrease in the risk of developing serious illness or death182. The study was performed in >35 countries in all income brackets (low, middle and high), and the benefit of early ART was consistently observed in all regions.
ART is expected to be recommended for anyone with HIV infection. However, individuals who are not ready to commit to therapy should not be treated until they feel that they can adhere to therapy (to avoid promoting virus drug resistance), or until CD4+ T cell counts decline to levels that make waiting too risky in terms of developing AIDS-related complications. Therapy can also be reasonably deferred for those rare elite controllers, although recent uncontrolled studies suggest that they too might benefit from therapy in terms of chronic inflammation183.
Regardless of disease state, ART is generally recommended in HIV-discordant couples, HIV-positive women who are pregnant or who are breastfeeding, individuals co-infected with hepatitis B and in the WHO guidelines for all HIV-positive children under 5 years of age.
Antiretroviral drug resistance
The vast majority of individuals who are infected with ‘wild-type’ HIV and who are able to adhere to a contemporary therapeutic regimen are able to fully suppress HIV replication184. However, incomplete adherence to therapy results in ongoing HIV replication in the presence of drug, which invariably leads to the selection of mutations within the virus that confer resistance to antiretroviral drugs. The rate at which resistance emerges depends in large part on the selective advantage that the ensuing mutation or mutations confer to the virus. Mutations that reduce the inherent capacity of the virus to replicate (viral fitness)185 and/or mutations that only have subtle effects on drug susceptibility are slow to emerge186. Mutations have been shown to emerge rapidly for the NNRTIs, as well as the NRTIs lamivudine and emtricitabine. Mutations emerge more slowly for many of the NRTIs (including tenofovir and abacavir) and some integrase strand transfer inhibitors (for example, raltegravir), but rarely for boosted protease inhibitors and the integrase strand transfer inhibitor dolutegravir.
Once drug resistance emerges, it can be transmitted to others. The prevalence of drug resistance in transmitted variants has been in the range of 5–15% for high-income countries187–189, with rates generally higher in the United States than in Europe190. The prevalence of transmitted drug resistance has generally been low in low-income and middle-income countries, but has increased in recent years as the penetration of therapy into these regions has increased189. One meta-analysis showed that the prevalence of transmitted drug-resistant HIV doubled between 2004–2008 and 2009–2013 (Ref. 190). As viral load monitoring is not routinely carried out in many low-income countries, concerns have been raised that people will be maintained on partially effective therapy for prolonged periods of time, which could eventually lead to a major epidemic of transmitted resistance.
Quality of life
Health-related quality of life is a multidimensional concept that incorporates factors such as physical, cognitive, emotional and social functioning. Many factors common among those with HIV infection that could affect quality of life (Fig. 7) include: polypharmacy, treatment toxicity, poor mental health related to the burden of a lifelong chronic condition, substance abuse, social isolation and stigma. Indeed, as compared with the general population, people diagnosed with HIV infection have a lower health-related quality of life191. Importantly, this reduced quality of life has been found to be independent of other risk factors, including socioeconomic status and access to health care, and occurs across all viral load and CD4+ T cell strata. The effect was greatest in those people who were diagnosed for the longest time191.
Little data are available to help us understand the extent to which reduced quality of life in people living with HIV infection can be directly attributed to adverse effects of antiretroviral drugs. As mentioned above, some, if not all, nucleoside analogues can cause disfiguring and irreversible loss of body fat (lipoatrophy). All antiretroviral drugs can cause mild adverse effects. As these drugs must be taken daily for an individual's lifetime, even mild adverse effects can cumulatively contribute to a poor quality of life. Common effects include mild depression and abnormal dreams (with efavirenz), gastrointestinal symptoms (with ritonavir-boosted protease inhibitors and tenofovir) and rash (many drugs).
Co-morbidities and ageing
Although most of the traditional complications associated with AIDS can now be easily prevented with ART, some residual morbidity risk persists, including cardiovascular disease, osteopenia and osteoporosis, some cancers, liver dysfunction, renal dysfunction and neurocognitive disease192,193. In many studies, when those with HIV infection are compared with age-matched individuals without HIV infection, the excess risk is comparable to other traditional risk factors such as hypertension and hyperlipidaemia194. Much of this excess risk is attributable to a greater burden of traditional risk factors in HIV-positive individuals — particularly tobacco use and obesity. However, many factors are present because of the HIV infection, including persistent immune dysfunction and inflammation195 and antiretroviral drug toxicity162,196,197.
In addition to these concerns about co-morbidity, concerns have been raised in the popular and scientific press that HIV infection and/or its treatment affect ageing. The notion that the biology of ageing might be affected by HIV infection is perhaps not surprising, as many of the biological factors known to influence cell and tissue ageing are common in this disease (such as mitochondrial toxicity, metabolic abnormalities, telomere shortening, inflammation and stem cell dysfunction)198. Many of the clinical factors known to adversely affect healthy ageing are also common in those with HIV infection (for example, multi-morbidity, polypharmacy, poverty, substance abuse and social isolation)199. Some of the more-common geriatric syndromes, including frailty, seem to be more common in those with HIV disease than in those without the disease; this finding is particularly true for people who are in their sixth and seventh decade of life200.
The prevention, management and investigation of HIV infection has and will probably remain vibrant. Within the prevention arena, we have in the past few years witnessed a dramatic shift in prevention research from behavioural to biomedical interventions, with treatment of the infected partner and pre-exposure prophylaxis in the uninfected partner offering high levels of protection. These approaches have already made a considerable ‘dent’ in preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV. Within the vaccine space, a dramatic shift has been made from vaccines that aim to enhance T cell function and control HIV post-infection to vaccines that generate antibody-based prevention with an aim of preventing infection. Within the therapeutic space, strategies that are aimed at delaying ART are being replaced by those recommending ART universally. It can be safely assumed that research will continue to drive innovation — all arenas of HIV care and investigation promise to continue to be very dynamic.
The 90-90-90 programme
The current scale-up of HIV therapies to sub-Saharan Africa and other regions of the world has delivered ART to >15 million people to date. However, major gaps in delivery of HIV services remain. An estimated 30–50% of people infected with HIV remain undiagnosed14, 30% of patients eligible for treatment do not start in a timely way19 and 20–30% of patients on treatment are not known to be retained in care after 2 years201–203. Only 32% of children with HIV infection are on ART6. These gaps are reflected in the still-high death toll: >1 million HIV-related deaths occur each year6.
To address these gaps, the global community has recently set the ‘90-90-90’ goals. By 2020, it is hoped that 90% of people with HIV infection will be diagnosed, that 90% of those diagnosed will be on ART and that 90% of those on ART will have viral suppression. The fact that perhaps only one-third of the HIV-infected population in the United States are on effective ART demonstrates the ambitious nature of this goal204.
The 90-90-90 programme will only be possible through multidisciplinary efforts that seek to encourage testing and to get those infected with HIV to engage with the health care system. Ongoing studies are exploring a wide range of potential programmatic improvements, including SMS text messages to engage patients in antenatal care, conditional cash transfers for uptake of male medical circumcision, rapid scale-up of HIV testing, scale-up of ART at a population level and peer support for improving retention on ART. If successful, these strategies, along with continued donor and national funding for HIV programmes, might sustain and advance the delivery of clinical interventions and eventually bring the pandemic under control.
Treatment as prevention trials
ART can dramatically reduce a person's infectiousness. Providing access to testing and treatment for all individuals within a community could have dramatic effects on public health. At least four community cluster randomized trials are underway in eastern and southern Africa to explore the hypothesis that universal testing and initiation of ART will lead to reductions in the number of new infections at a population level (Sustainable East Africa Research in Community Health (SEARCH)205, Population Effects of ART to Reduce HIV Transmission (PopART)160, Botswana Combination Prevention Project (BCPP)206 and Impact of Immediate Versus South African Recommendations Guided ART Initiation on HIV Incidence (ARNS/TasP)207). Given the costs involved with universal testing and treatment, national governments and other funders need rigorous demonstration that such investments will have the expected effect on the pandemic.
The proportion of people with HIV infection who are required to be diagnosed, on ART and with viral suppression to achieved ‘near elimination’ of transmission (that is, <1 per 1,000 person years) will vary by setting, but has been estimated to be as high as around 90% in men who have sex with men in the United Kingdom208.
Injectable antiretroviral drugs
A key limitation of modern ART is that therapy must be taken every day for life. On a community level, delivering drugs to a global population in need has raised numerous logistical challenges. On an individual level, adherence to a daily medication can often be challenging, particularly for individuals living in poverty, who have mental disorders or who are active substance abusers209. These concerns also apply to the use of antiretroviral drugs as prevention (pre-exposure prophylaxis), for which limited adherence has been a major barrier142.
Long-acting injectable antiretroviral drugs have the potential to address these concerns. Cabotegravir (an integrase strand transfer inhibitor related to dolutegravir) and rilpivirine (a US FDA-approved NNRTI) have both been formulated as long-acting injectables. Monthly (and perhaps even less frequent) injections are feasible and seem to offer protection; a formulation of cabotegravir given monthly has been shown to protect macaques from acquiring SIV infection after high-dose exposures210. In addition to the development of these long-acting injectable drugs, monthly insertion of vaginal rings containing antiretroviral agents is being evaluated as a means to prevent HIV acquisition in women152.
Several new HIV vaccine approaches are currently under development or in early phase testing (see www.avac.org and www.iavi.org). Numerous broadly neutralizing antibodies have been identified and are being developed to target conserved regions of HIV envelope. Many of these antibodies can neutralize as much as 90% of HIV strains, and when combined, can neutralize an even higher percentage211. These antibodies are highly protective when administered passively in animal challenge models. Plans are underway to test these antibodies as passive immunoprophylaxis211; if successful, these studies will create a target threshold of neutralizing antibody needed for protection and might be reverse-engineered to facilitate active immunization strategies.
A vaccine using a recombinant rhesus cytomegalovirus vector failed to prevent SIV acquisition in monkeys but resulted in an apparent elimination of the infection in approximately 50% of those that acquired the virus212,213. Unlike the previous approach that relies on antibody-mediated protection, the mechanism of action of this vaccine seems to be solely related to a cellular immune response, without the contribution of antibody-mediated protection, pointing out that multiple approaches to development of an HIV vaccine may be successful.
As more-effective biomedical prevention strategies for pre-exposure prophylaxis become available, the benefit from vaccines and other newer approaches will be more challenging and expensive to evaluate. However, combined approaches might provide synergies, such as using a combination of pre-exposure prophylaxis with an active immunization strategy. In this setting, pre-exposure prophylaxis could provide protection during the immunization phase of a vaccine regimen, before the immune response has fully matured. Other combinations might also create synergies, such as combining interventions for HIV-infected and uninfected individuals within the same population.
Although ART is effective, it is relatively expensive (currently about $135 per year for a generic fixed-dose combination of efavirenz–tenofovir–lamivudine in sub-Saharan Africa), has short-term and long-term toxicity and must be delivered indefinitely. Recognizing these limitations, there is growing interest for a curative intervention214. Ideally, such an intervention would be safe, scalable and result in either eradication of the virus within a person or in durable host-mediated control of the virus (much like what happens naturally in elite controllers). The successful haematopoietic stem cell transplant from a donor whose cells lacked CCR5 and was naturally resistant to HIV infection provided the first proof that a cure is possible215; complete eradication of all virus was apparently achieved in this remarkable case216. Even in the absence of complete eradication of the virus, durable host-mediated control in the presence of a very small reservoir might be feasible, as suggested by one study of 14 individuals who received early ART in France217 (Box 4).
As the primary barrier to a cure is the presence of a very stable population of resting memory cells harbouring quiescent integrated HIV genomes (see above), emerging efforts are aimed at reversing (or activating) the virus in these cells, enabling them to produce viral proteins that can be targeted by host immune clearance mechanisms (shock and kill; Fig. 8). Several other approaches are being pursued.
Advances in HIV prevention, treatment and access to services have dramatically reduced the impact of HIV and AIDS globally. These remarkable advances have reversed the trend toward decreased life expectancy throughout Africa in the 1990s; indeed, there has been an overall 8% increase in life expectancy in Africa between 2000 and 2012 (Ref. 218). Applying lessons learned from HIV research of the past three decades, and striving for the development of a preventive vaccine and HIV cure, could lead to a HIV-free generation.
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The authors thank E. Abrams, J. Gallant, M. Gandhi, E. Geng, T. Ruel and S. Pillai for advice.
S.G.D. has consulted for Bristol-Myers Squibb, GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis and Janssen, and has received research support from Gilead and Merck. A.P. has attended various advisory boards, has received speaker fees for meetings in the past 4 years for Gilead Sciences and has received research support from GlaxoSmithKline. J.O. and S.B. declare no competing interests.
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Deeks, S., Overbaugh, J., Phillips, A. et al. HIV infection. Nat Rev Dis Primers 1, 15035 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/nrdp.2015.35
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