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It is too early to tell. If the current adenovirus-based trials show some degree of protection or control of viral load, then we have a substantial beachhead from which to work.
Barton Haynes director Center for HIV-AIDS Vaccine Immunology
I think we will have something that modulates infection soon. [But] will we have something in a vial that's being distributed in the developing world? Highly unlikely.
Bruce Walker professor of medicine Harvard University
I give it about a 50/50 chance. I wouldn't rule it out. But a one-time therapeutic vaccine is not going to happen.
Gary Nabel director National Institutes of Health's Vaccine Research Center
I think that the chances of a partially effective vaccine being licensed for use in humans is low. Hopefully one will be in the pipeline.
Julie Overbaugh Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
A traditional vaccine like smallpox or polio, I very much doubt it. But something that delays progression to AIDS, there's a reasonable chance of that.
Dennis Burton professor The Scripps Research Institute
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Will there be an HIV vaccine in the next 10 years?. Nat Med 13, 518–519 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1038/nm0507-518b
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nm0507-518b