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Deglacial Indian monsoon failure and North Atlantic stadials linked by Indian Ocean surface cooling

Abstract

The Indian monsoon, the largest monsoon system on Earth, responds to remote climatic forcings, including temperature changes in the North Atlantic1,2. The monsoon was weak during two cool periods that punctuated the last deglaciation—Heinrich Stadial 1 and the Younger Dryas. It has been suggested that sea surface cooling in the Indian Ocean was the critical link between these North Atlantic stadials and monsoon failure3; however, based on existing proxy records4 it is unclear whether surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea dropped during these intervals. Here we compile new and existing temperature proxy data4,5,6,7 from the Arabian Sea, and find that surface temperatures cooled whereas subsurface temperatures warmed during both Heinrich Stadial 1 and the Younger Dryas. Our analysis of model simulations shows that surface cooling weakens the monsoon winds and leads to destratification of the water column and substantial subsurface warming. We thus conclude that sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean are indeed the link between North Atlantic climate and the strength of the Indian monsoon.

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Figure 1: The thermal evolution of the Arabian Sea across the last deglaciation, relative to the late Holocene (0–2,000 yr BP) mean.
Figure 2: Spatial expression of the surface and subsurface proxy response to the Heinrich 1 (H1) event, relative to mean deglacial conditions.
Figure 3: Changes in the thermal structure of the Arabian Sea during an equilibrium simulation of an idealized Heinrich Event.
Figure 4: Changes in ocean currents in the Arabian Sea in response to a simulated Heinrich Event.

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Acknowledgements

We thank F. He for assistance with the TraCE data. Funding for this research was provided by the National Science Foundation (Grant #OCE-1203892 to J.E.T.) and the International Meteorological Institute at Stockholm University, with contributions from the Center for Climate & Life at Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.

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Contributions

J.E.T. and F.S.R.P. designed the study. J.E.T. measured and analysed the TEX86 and U37K proxy data from the Gulf of Aden core, and synthesized previously published proxy data. P.deM. measured and analysed the δ18O and Mg/Ca data from the Gulf of Aden core. F.S.R.P. designed and performed the model analysis and contributed to the interpretation of the proxy data. J.E.T. wrote the paper with contributions from all the authors.

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Correspondence to Jessica E. Tierney.

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The authors declare no competing financial interests.

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Tierney, J., Pausata, F. & deMenocal, P. Deglacial Indian monsoon failure and North Atlantic stadials linked by Indian Ocean surface cooling. Nature Geosci 9, 46–50 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2603

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