Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Commentary
  • Published:

Bumpy path to a warmer world

Decadal climate variability has long received limited attention. With the slow-down in surface warming since the late 1990s, the decadal scale has rightly become a focus of attention: for assessing climate change and its impacts, it is of critical importance.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Figure 1: Ocean observations.




  2. Keenlyside, N. S., Latif, M., Jungclaus, J., Kornblueh, L. & Roeckner, E. Nature 453, 84–88 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Knight, J. et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90 (State of the Climate in 2008 special supplement), 22–23 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Barnston, A. G. et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 84, 1783–1796 (2003).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Hawkins, E. & Sutton, R. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90, 1095–1107 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Meehl, G. A. et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90, 1467–1485 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Visbeck, M. Nature Geosci. 1, 1–2 (2008).

    Google Scholar 


  9. IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013);

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations


Corresponding author

Correspondence to Martin Visbeck.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Visbeck, M. Bumpy path to a warmer world. Nature Geosci 7, 160–161 (2014).

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI:


Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing