Climate model projections of future precipitation extremes in the tropics are highly uncertain. Observations of year-to-year variations in extremes of present-day climate help to narrow down these projections to a rise in extreme rainfall by 6–14% per °C of warming.
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Lenderink, G. Tropical extremes. Nature Geosci 5, 689–690 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1587
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1587
