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Built for stability


State-of-the-art climate models are largely untested against actual occurrences of abrupt change. It is a huge leap of faith to assume that simulations of the coming century with these models will provide reliable warning of sudden, catastrophic events.

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Figure 1: Simulated and reconstructed early Eocene temperatures.


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Correspondence to Paul Valdes.

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Valdes, P. Built for stability. Nature Geosci 4, 414–416 (2011).

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