A magnitude 8 or greater earthquake has a one in three chance of hitting in the next 50 years.
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Goldfinger, C. et al. Turbidite Event History: Methods and Implications for Holocene Paleoseismicity of the Cascadia Subduction Zone. USGS Prof. Pap. 1661-F (USGS, Reston, Virginia, in the press).
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Lovett, R. Risk of giant quake off American west coast goes up. Nature (2010). https://doi.org/10.1038/news.2010.270