Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Comment
  • Published:

Commercial progress and challenges for photovoltaics

The past five years have seen substantial cost reductions and greatly increased uptake of photovoltaics. Growth is being driven by ongoing improvements in both silicon solar cell costs and performance, making the commercialization of new technologies increasingly difficult.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Relevant articles

Open Access articles citing this article.

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Figure 1: Silicon photovoltaic technology, annual market composition and associated spot prices for silicon wafers, cells and modules.
Figure 2: Evolution of module manufacturing costs and energy conversion efficiencies.
Figure 3: Tandem solar cells and their limiting efficiencies.

References

  1. Wesoff, E. First Solar's CTO discusses record 18.6% efficient thin-film module. Greentech Media (15 June 2015); http://go.nature.com/IWMUto

  2. Jackson, P. et al. Phys. Status Solidi RRL 9, 28–31 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Yang, Y. & Li, G. (eds) Progress in High-Efficient Solution Process Organic Photovoltaic Devices (Springer, 2015).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  4. Hardin, B. E., Snaith, J. J. & McGehee, M. D. Nature Photon. 6, 162–169 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Green, M. A., Ho-Baillie, A. & Snaith, H. J. Nature Photon. 8, 506–541 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Photovoltaics Report (Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, 2015); http://go.nature.com/8G3CRa

  7. Mints, P. Global photovoltaic shipments jump 15% in 2014. IDTecEx (19 February 2015); http://go.nature.com/bhc9jp

  8. 2014 Snapshot of Global PV Markets (International Energy Agency, Photovoltaic Power Systems Programme, 2015); http://go.nature.com/XFdvAT

  9. Wang, X. 2015 PV Market Outlook (Asia Solar Energy Forum, 2015); http://go.nature.com/d6XUXL

    Google Scholar 

  10. International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic (ITRPV) 2014 Results (ITRVP, 2015); http://go.nature.com/2wXfUx

  11. Bollinger, M., Weaver, S. & Zuboy, J . Prog. Photovoltaics 23, 1847–1856 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. New Energy Outlook 2015: Long-term Projections of the Global Energy Sector (Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2015); http://go.nature.com/aPwDU9

  13. Current and Future Costs of Photovoltaics: Long-term Scenarios for Market Development, System Prices and LCOE of Utility-scale PV Systems (Fraunhofer ISE, 2015); http://go.nature.com/3k9Jad

  14. Randall, T. The way humans get electricity is about to change forever. BloombergBusiness (23 June 2015); http://go.nature.com/rzfTVI

  15. Kind, P. H. Pathways to a 21st Century Electric Utility (Ceres, 2015); http://go.nature.com/XbRPgF

    Google Scholar 

  16. de Wild-Scholten, M. J. Sol. Energy Mater. Sol. Cells 119, 296–305 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Pearsall, N. M. & Hill, R. in Applications of Photovoltaics (ed. Hill, R. ) Ch. 5 (Adam Hilger, 1989).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Redlinger, M. et al. The Present, Mid-Term, and Long-Term Curves For Tellurium; Updates in the Results from NREL's Cdte PV Module Manufacturing Cost Model NREL/PR-6A20-60430 (NREL, 2013).

  19. Tinker, L. in 31st European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition 3CO.7.1 (WIP, 2015).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Hübler, A. C. & Kempa, H. in Organic Photovoltaics (eds Brabec, C. et al.) Ch. 19 (Wiley, 2008).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Kanatzidis, M. in 1st International Conference on Perovskite Solar Cells and Optoelectronics (PSCO-2015) Paper IL 2 (2015).

  22. Porter, M. E. Harv. Bus. Rev. 86, 79–83 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Sunmodule Protect 30-Year Limited Warranty SW-02-6038US 11–2014 (SolarWorld, 2014); http://go.nature.com/FM9wzf

  24. BNEF PV Module Maker Tiering System (Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2015); http://go.nature.com/XkRrj8

  25. Green, M. A. Sol. Energy Mater. Sol. Cells 143, 190–197 (2015).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Green, M. A. Third Generation Photovoltaics (Springer, 2003).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Shah, A. et al. Science 285, 692–698 (1999).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Dimroth, F. Physica Status Solidi C 3, 373–379 (2006).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Green, M. A. IEEE Trans. Electron Dev. 31, 671–678 (1984).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Richter, A. et al. IEEE J. Photovoltaics 3, 1184–11901 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Goodrich, A. C. et al. Sol. Energy Mater. Sol. Cells 114, 110–135 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Rinaldi, N. Solar PV module costs to fall to 36 cents per watt by 2017. Greentech Media (17 June 2013); http://go.nature.com/vUat1r

  33. Siemer, J. & Knoll, B. Photon International 73 (February 2013).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Martin A. Green.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Green, M. Commercial progress and challenges for photovoltaics. Nat Energy 1, 15015 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/nenergy.2015.15

Download citation

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nenergy.2015.15

This article is cited by

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing